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Wisconsin Senate - Feingold vs. Johnson

Candidates

Russ Feingold

Russ Feingold (D)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Ron Johnson

Ron Johnson (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Wisconsin Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races:
Governor | WI-3 | WI-7 | WI-8

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2008:
President | WI-8
2006: Governor | WI-8
2004: President | Senate

Polling Data

PollDateSampleFeingold (D)Johnson (R)Spread
Final Results----47.051.9Johnson +4.9
RCP Average10/25 - 10/28--45.052.7Johnson +7.7
McClatchy/Marist10/26 - 10/28491 LV4552Johnson +7
PPP (D)10/26 - 10/281372 LV4453Johnson +9
Rasmussen Reports10/25 - 10/25750 LV4653Johnson +7

All Wisconsin Senate - Feingold vs. Johnson Polling Data

(After October 4th registered voter poll results will not be added to RCP State Poll Averages.)
RCP Poll Average
Wisconsin Senate - Feingold vs. Johnson
45.0Feingold (D)
52.7Johnson (R)+7.7

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Race Analysis

11/2/10 -- The polling here has been stable to an uncanny degree.  Unless something is grossly off, Feingold's senate career is over.

10/8/10 -- Feingold's numbers haven't moved at all in almost a year -- indeed the consistency is almost eerie.  To win, he has to make up a point almost every other day, which is going to be very hard for a well-known incumbent to do.

----------Race Preview---------

For most of its history, the political tradition in Wisconsin was neither Republican nor Democrat: It was Progressive.  Robert LaFollette and his sons dominated the state's politics.  There was no Democratic Party to speak of, so the only question was whether the state would elect a progressive Republican or a Progressive.  As the Democratic Party blossomed in the state during the 1940s and 50s, that Progressive impulse became housed in the Democratic Party.

Today, Russ Feingold is the embodiment of that tradition.  He's a maverick liberal, with a penchant for good government programs and a dislike of money in politics.

But Wisconsin is no longer the bastion of Progressivism it once was; during the 1980s and 1990s it actually was a test case for all manner of conservative initiatives, most prominently welfare reform.  Feingold is being challenged by conservative manufacturer Ron Johnson.  Feingold's numbers have started out in the low forties, which is a horrendous place for an incumbent to be.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleFeingold (D)Johnson (R)Spread
Final Results----47.051.9Johnson +4.9
RCP Average10/25 - 10/28--45.052.7Johnson +7.7
McClatchy/Marist10/26 - 10/28491 LV4552Johnson +7
PPP (D)10/26 - 10/281372 LV4453Johnson +9
Rasmussen Reports10/25 - 10/25750 LV4653Johnson +7
WPR/St. Norbert10/12 - 10/15402 LV4749Johnson +2
CNN/Time10/8 - 10/12931 LV4452Johnson +8
Rasmussen Reports10/11 - 10/11750 LV4552Johnson +7
Reuters/Ipsos10/8 - 10/11451 LV4451Johnson +7
Rasmussen Reports9/29 - 9/29750 LV4254Johnson +12
McClatchy/Marist9/26 - 9/28503 LV4552Johnson +7
FOX News/POR-Rasmussen9/25 - 9/251000 LV4452Johnson +8
CNN/Time9/17 - 9/21963 LV4551Johnson +6
Daily Kos/PPP (D)9/18 - 9/19665 LV4152Johnson +11
Rasmussen Reports9/15 - 9/15750 LV4451Johnson +7
Rasmussen Reports8/24 - 8/24750 LV4647Johnson +1
Rasmussen Reports8/10 - 8/10750 LV4647Johnson +1
Rasmussen Reports7/27 - 7/27750 LV4648Johnson +2
Rasmussen Reports7/13 - 7/13750 LV4647Johnson +1
Magellan Strategies (R)7/12 - 7/121145 LV4543Feingold +2
Univ. of Wisconsin6/9 - 7/10297 LV3328Feingold +5
PPP (D)6/26 - 6/27638 LV4543Feingold +2
Rasmussen Reports6/21 - 6/21500 LV4645Feingold +1
Rasmussen Reports5/25 - 5/25500 LV4644Feingold +2
(After October 4th registered voter poll results will not be added to RCP State Poll Averages.)