2010 Senate Races

RealClearPolitics Ratings
RCP Race-by-Race Changes
Final Senate Map

2010 House Races

RealClearPolitics Ratings
RCP Race-by-Race Changes
Generic Congressional Ballot
Final House Map

2010 Governor Races

RealClearPolitics Ratings
RCP Race-by-Race Changes
Final Governors Map

Senate 2010 Polls
News & Election Videos

Utah Senate - Lee vs. Granato

Candidates

Sam Granato

Sam Granato (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Mike Lee

Mike Lee (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Utah Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races:
Governor | UT-2

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2008:
President
2006: Senate | UT-1 | UT-2 | UT-3
2004: President | Gov | Sen | UT-1 | UT-2 | UT-3

Polling Data

PollDateSampleGranato (D)Lee (R)Spread
Final Results----32.861.6Lee +28.8
RCP Average10/13 - 10/28--30.055.3Lee +25.3
Deseret News10/25 - 10/281206 LV3057Lee +27
Mason-Dixon10/25 - 10/27625 LV3248Lee +16
Rasmussen Reports10/13 - 10/13500 LV2861Lee +33

All Utah Senate - Lee vs. Granato Polling Data

Race Analysis

Bob Bennett was born the son of a senator, and in 1992 won the seat that his father had held for 24 years. Bennett was a moderate conservative and usually voted a somewhat more liberal line than the typical GOP senator.

Still, in almost any year, in almost any state, a Republican senator with a lifetime American Conservative Union rating of 84 percent would be considered conservative enough to win re-election. But 2010 is not any year, and Utah is not any state. It is one of the most heavily Republican states in the Union, giving over 60 percent of the vote to John McCain in 2008. The state Republican Party holds a convention each election cycle, with the top two vote-getters advance to the primary. Since the party is dominated by conservatives, this ensures some type of check on the election of a senator who is too far to the left for the party to stomach.

Support for immigration reform and the eponymous Wyden-Bennett health care bill -- which was very similar to the bill Obama eventually pushed through -- proved too much for Bennett to survive in this Tea Party-driven year. Bennett came in third at the GOP convention, and the septuagenarian exited the political stage.

The eventual winner of the GOP primary was attorney Mike Lee, a 39-year-old former Supreme Court clerk who ran to the right of his primary opponent, Tim Bridgewater. The former gubernatorial aide will face off against Utah Alcoholic Beverage Control Commission Chair Sam Granato in the fall.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleGranato (D)Lee (R)Spread
Final Results----32.861.6Lee +28.8
RCP Average10/13 - 10/28--30.055.3Lee +25.3
Deseret News10/25 - 10/281206 LV3057Lee +27
Mason-Dixon10/25 - 10/27625 LV3248Lee +16
Deseret News10/11 - 10/14600 LV3153Lee +22
Rasmussen Reports10/13 - 10/13500 LV2861Lee +33
UtahPolicy/Western Wats9/30 - 10/3600 RV2152Lee +31
Deseret News9/7 - 9/13600 LV2552Lee +27
Rasmussen Reports8/23 - 8/23500 LV2954Lee +25
Rasmussen Reports6/23 - 6/23500 LV2858Lee +30