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Oklahoma Senate - Coburn vs. Rogers

Candidates

Tom Coburn

Tom Coburn (R)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Jim Rogers

Jim Rogers (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Oklahoma Snapshot

RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races: Governor | OK-2

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2008:
President | Senate
2006: Governor
2004: President | Senate | OK-1

Polling Data

PollDateSampleCoburn (R)Rogers (D)Spread
Final Results----70.526.1Coburn +44.4
Sooner Poll10/3 - 10/7352 LV6222Coburn +40
Rasmussen Reports9/23 - 9/23500 LV6826Coburn +42
Rasmussen Reports8/26 - 8/26500 LV6724Coburn +43
Rasmussen Reports7/28 - 7/28500 LV6531Coburn +34
Rasmussen Reports6/30 - 6/30500 LV6526Coburn +39

Race Analysis

In 2004, former Senate Majority Whip Don Nickles, a Republican, decided to retire. The Republican Party had a divisive primary battle between Oklahoma City Mayor Kirk Humprheys and former Congressman Tom Coburn. Humprheys was the establishment candidate, while Coburn, a former congressman from the northeastern portion of the state, was seen as a rabble-rouser with a penchant for missteps (such as declaring that schools in southeastern Oklahoma would only let one girl at a time go to the bathroom because of rampant lesbianism).  Coburn won the primary, and Republicans held their breath as he faced off against conservative Democrat Brad Carson. In the end, the race wasn’t close; Coburn won by 10 points.

Coburn’s tenure in Congress has been less focused on social issues than you might have expected from the campaign. He has been known to do everything he can to slow down the legislative process on spending bills he opposes. He has become quite popular in Oklahoma, and there is little indication that he is in any danger in this race.