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New York Senate - Townsend vs. Schumer

Candidates

Charles Schumer

Charles Schumer (D)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Jay Townsend

Jay Townsend (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

New York Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races:
Governor | Senate (Special) | NY-1 | NY-2 | NY-4 | NY-13 | NY-19 | NY-20 | NY-22 | NY-23 | NY-24 | NY-25 | NY-27 | NY-29

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2008:
Pres | NY-13 | NY-25 | NY-26 | NY-29
2006: Governor | NY-19 | NY-20 | NY-24 | NY-25 | NY-26 | NY-29
2004: President

Polling Data

PollDateSampleSchumer (D)Townsend (R)Spread
Final Results----65.433.0Schumer +32.4
RCP Average10/18 - 10/30--61.832.6Schumer +29.2
Siena10/27 - 10/30603 LV6432Schumer +32
Marist10/26 - 10/28415 LV6036Schumer +24
SurveyUSA10/25 - 10/28544 LV6232Schumer +30
Quinnipiac10/18 - 10/24672 LV6432Schumer +32
Rasmussen Reports10/19 - 10/19500 LV5931Schumer +28

All New York Senate - Townsend vs. Schumer Polling Data

(After October 4th registered voter poll results will not be added to RCP State Poll Averages.)

Race Analysis

Since the founding of the Republican Party in the 1850s, New York politics was divided between Republican upstate and Democratic New York City.  The growth of the suburbs and the movement of the white working class toward the party of Eisenhower moved the balance toward the Republicans for a while.  But as the suburbs moved back toward the Democrats in the 1990s and 2000s, the state likewise became solidly Democratic.

In 1998, Charles Schumer took advantage of this movement in the suburbs and handily defeated three-term Senator Alfonse D'Amato.  Schumer has been re-elected handily ever since.  The polls in the latest race suggest that he is still favored to win, albeit by a reduced margin.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleSchumer (D)Townsend (R)Spread
Final Results----65.433.0Schumer +32.4
RCP Average10/18 - 10/30--61.832.6Schumer +29.2
Siena10/27 - 10/30603 LV6432Schumer +32
Marist10/26 - 10/28415 LV6036Schumer +24
SurveyUSA10/25 - 10/28544 LV6232Schumer +30
Quinnipiac10/18 - 10/24672 LV6432Schumer +32
Marist10/18 - 10/20505 LV6335Schumer +28
Rasmussen Reports10/19 - 10/19500 LV5931Schumer +28
Siena10/14 - 10/18647 LV6728Schumer +39
New York Times10/10 - 10/15LV6121Schumer +40
SurveyUSA10/11 - 10/13633 LV6330Schumer +33
SurveyUSA10/5 - 10/7627 LV6030Schumer +30
Quinnipiac10/1 - 10/51141 LV6332Schumer +31
CNN/Time10/1 - 10/5585 LV5741Schumer +16
PPP (D)10/1 - 10/3592 LV5937Schumer +22
Marist9/19 - 9/22617 LV5837Schumer +21
SurveyUSA9/20 - 9/21572 LV5433Schumer +21
Siena9/16 - 9/21801 RV6330Schumer +33
Quinnipiac9/16 - 9/20751 LV5438Schumer +16
Rasmussen Reports9/16 - 9/16500 LV5836Schumer +22
Siena7/6 - 7/12760 RV6326Schumer +37
Rasmussen Reports6/16 - 6/16500 LV5433Schumer +21
Siena6/7 - 6/9808 RV6026Schumer +34
Marist5/3 - 5/5686 RV6627Schumer +39
(After October 4th registered voter poll results will not be added to RCP State Poll Averages.)