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Maryland Senate - Wargotz vs. Mikulski

Candidates

Barbara Mikulski

Barbara Mikulski (D)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Eric Wargotz

Eric Wargotz (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Maryland Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races:
Governor | MD-1

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2008:
President
2006: Senate | Governor
2004: President

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMikulski (D)Wargotz (R)Spread
Final Results----61.836.3Mikulski +25.5
RCP Average10/11 - 10/24--58.533.8Mikulski +24.7
Rasmussen Reports10/24 - 10/24750 LV5638Mikulski +18
Washington Post10/19 - 10/221434 LV6427Mikulski +37
Baltimore Sun/OpinionWorks10/15 - 10/20798 LV5932Mikulski +27
Gonzales Res.10/11 - 10/16816 LV5538Mikulski +17

All Maryland Senate - Wargotz vs. Mikulski Polling Data

Race Analysis

Oddly enough, in the early 1970s, Maryland had two Republican senators. One, Glenn Beall, Jr., was conservative and suffered one of the ten worst drubbings of any Senate incumbent in history in 1976 (his father had a top-five loss in 1964). The other one, Charles McC. Mathias, was cut from classic New England establishment Republican cloth. As a result, even in a terrible Republican year such as 1974, he was able to win with a convincing 17-point margin of victory.

Mathias retired in 1986 and was succeeded by the woman whom he had defeated in 1974: Barbara Mikulski (other Democrats who lost in 1974 but went on to solid careers include Harry Reid and Bill Clinton). Mikulski has won re-election four times with at least 60 percent of the vote. She’s polled below 60 percent of the vote several times this cycle against Queen Anne County Commissioner Eric Wargotz, but that doesn’t make her particularly vulnerable.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMikulski (D)Wargotz (R)Spread
Final Results----61.836.3Mikulski +25.5
RCP Average10/11 - 10/24--58.533.8Mikulski +24.7
Rasmussen Reports10/24 - 10/24750 LV5638Mikulski +18
Washington Post10/19 - 10/221434 LV6427Mikulski +37
Baltimore Sun/OpinionWorks10/15 - 10/20798 LV5932Mikulski +27
Gonzales Res.10/11 - 10/16816 LV5538Mikulski +17
Washington Post9/22 - 9/26730 LV6129Mikulski +32
Rasmussen Reports9/15 - 9/15750 LV5438Mikulski +16
Rasmussen Reports8/17 - 8/17750 LV5539Mikulski +16
PPP (D)7/10 - 7/12569 RV5927Mikulski +32
Rasmussen Reports7/8 - 7/8500 LV5833Mikulski +25