2010 Senate Races

RealClearPolitics Ratings
RCP Race-by-Race Changes
Final Senate Map

2010 House Races

RealClearPolitics Ratings
RCP Race-by-Race Changes
Generic Congressional Ballot
Final House Map

2010 Governor Races

RealClearPolitics Ratings
RCP Race-by-Race Changes
Final Governors Map

Senate 2010 Polls
News & Election Videos

Delaware Senate - O’Donnell vs. Coons

Candidates

Chris Coons

Chris Coons (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Christine O\'Donnell

Christine O'Donnell (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Delaware Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races:
DE-AL

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2008:
President
2006: DE-1
2004: President

Polling Data

PollDateSampleCoons (D)O'Donnell (R)Spread
Final Results----56.640.0Coons +16.6
RCP Average10/14 - 10/27--53.039.0Coons +14.0
Monmouth10/25 - 10/271171 LV5141Coons +10
Fairleigh Dickinson10/20 - 10/26797 LV5736Coons +21
Rasmussen Reports10/14 - 10/14500 LV5140Coons +11

All Delaware Senate - O’Donnell vs. Coons Polling Data

RCP Poll Average
Delaware Senate - O’Donnell vs. Coons
53.0Coons (D)+14.0
39.0O'Donnell (R)

Race Analysis

10/7/10 -- The polls show Coons above 50 percent, and leading O'Donnell by a healthy amount.  O'Donnell seems to be getting voters who voted for John McCain, and not much else.  And it is never a good sign when your first advertisement has to clarify for voters that you are not a wiccan.

Unless the polls are just completely wrong this cycle, she seems on a track to lose.

----------Race Preview---------

In 1631, a group of Dutch traders formed a small village on the eastern shore of the New World. They called it Zwaanendael and intended to use it as a trading outpost. Zwaanendael was short-lived however. The leader of the trading company that founded it visited the village a year after it was founded, only to find that the settlers had been killed and the buildings burned by Native Americans, the result of some unknown and unfortunate incident.

From these inauspicious beginnings arose one of the smallest but most important states in the Union, the state in which many of its major corporations would eventually become located. Straddling the Mason-Dixon line, the state is in many ways a microcosm of the country throughout its history. The southern two counties (Kent and Sussex) are rural Southern in character and politics, and accepted the practice of slavery during the early years of the Republic. The northern county (New Castle), by contrast, is more Northern in character and encompasses a major city (Wilmington) which later came to be dominated by its suburban outskirts. Thus Delaware has typically been an bellweather state in presidential elections; it voted for the winner of the popular vote in every election from 1952 through 2000.

The state was the site of one of the major political upsets this year when a little-known political activist named Christine O'Donnell upset Rep. Mike Castle in the GOP primary. Castle, a moderate Republican, was the favorite to claim the seat previously held by Vice President Joe Biden. O'Donnell is much more conservative than Castle, however, and trails New Castle County Executive Chris Coons significantly in the polls. Still, she's raised around $2 million, so she can't be written off in the general election.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleCoons (D)O'Donnell (R)Spread
Final Results----56.640.0Coons +16.6
RCP Average10/14 - 10/27--53.039.0Coons +14.0
Monmouth10/25 - 10/271171 LV5141Coons +10
Fairleigh Dickinson10/20 - 10/26797 LV5736Coons +21
Rasmussen Reports10/14 - 10/14500 LV5140Coons +11
SurveyUSA10/11 - 10/122355 LV5433Coons +21
CNN/Time10/8 - 10/12834 LV5738Coons +19
Monmouth10/8 - 10/11790 LV5738Coons +19
Magellan Strategies (R)10/10 - 10/10928 LV5436Coons +18
FOX News/POR-Rasmussen10/9 - 10/91000 LV5438Coons +16
Fairleigh Dickinson9/27 - 10/3801 LV5336Coons +17
CNN/Time9/17 - 9/21703 LV5539Coons +16
FOX News/POR-Rasmussen9/18 - 9/181000 LV5439Coons +15
Rasmussen Reports9/15 - 9/15500 LV5342Coons +11
PPP (D)9/11 - 9/12958 LV5034Coons +16
Rasmussen Reports9/2 - 9/2500 LV4736Coons +11
Daily Kos/PPP (D)8/7 - 8/8620 RV4437Coons +7
Rasmussen Reports8/5 - 8/5500 LV4636Coons +10
Rasmussen Reports7/14 - 7/14500 LV3941O\'Donnell +2