|Poll||Date||Sample||Muri (R)||Smith (D)||Spread|
|Final Results||--||--||45.1||54.9||Smith +9.8|
|SurveyUSA||10/22 - 10/25||590 LV||46||49||Smith +3|
|SurveyUSA||9/14 - 9/16||586 LV||46||49||Smith +3|
|2008: Smith (D) 65%, Postma (R) 35%||2008: Obama (D) 58%, McCain (R) 40%
|2006: Smith (D) 66%, Cofchin (R) 34%||2004: Kerry (D) 53%, Bush (R) 45%
|2004: Smith (D) 63%, Lord (R) 34%||2000: Gore (D) 53%, Bush (R) 43%|
10/29/10 -- The latest SurveyUSA poll confirms what we've suspected: Smith is in for the fight of his political life.
Washington’s 9th District is the southern suburbs and exurbs of Seattle, stretching from Renton and Burien south across the Tacoma suburbs, and then following Puget Sound westward to the outskirts of Olympia. The district was once swing territory and in 1994 elected a Christian conservative, Randy Tate.
Like most northern suburban districts, this district swung toward the Democrats in the 1990s and 2000s. Tate lasted only a single cycle, before losing to state Senator Adam Smith in 1996. Smith went on to compile a moderately liberal voting record in Congress. He hasn’t fallen below 59 percent of the vote in his career.
This cycle, he’s voted for most of President Obama’s agenda. The district gave Obama 58 percent of the vote, so this seemed like a relatively safe position to take. But in the all-party primary, Smith managed only 51.2 percent of the vote. His opponent, Dick Muri, is a Pierce County councilman, who should give Smith his toughest re-election fight yet.