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Tennessee 5th District - Cooper v. Hall

Candidates

Jim Cooper

Jim Cooper (D)*

Bio | Campaign Site

David Hall

David Hall (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Tennessee Snapshot

RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races:
Governor | TN-4 | TN-6 | TN-8

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2008:
President | Senate
2006: Governor | Senate
2004: President

TN5

Previous Election Results

  2008: Cooper (D) 66%, Donovan (R) 31%   2008: Obama (D) 56%, McCain (R) 43%
  2006: Cooper (D) 69%, Kovach (R) 28%   2004: Kerry (D) 52%, Bush (R) 47%
  2004: Cooper (D) 69%, Knapp (R) 31%   2000: Gore (D) 57%, Bush (R) 41%

Race Analysis

In an increasingly Republican state, Nashville and Memphis represent the only remaining pockets of true Democratic strength.  The 5th district – which includes Nashville and some of its suburbs – gave John Kerry 52 percent of its vote and Barack Obama 56 percent; Davidson County’s 60 percent vote share for Obama was just shy of Shelby County’s 64 percent.

Jim Cooper represented a rural Tennessee district until he decided to run for the Senate in 1994. He lost to Fred Thompson – badly – and his career seemed to be in limbo until Democrat Bob Clement decided to run  for Thompson’s open seat in 2002, and Cooper replaced him. Although his district is much more solidly Democratic than his old seat, Cooper is still something of a fiscal conservative; he voted against a version of the stimulus and was a late vote for the health care plan.

Cooper’s district is Democratic enough that he shouldn’t have any problem with re-election. His opponent, building contractor David Hall, has raised a quarter of a million dollars as of the end of the second quarter, which is a respectable amount. If the wave gets big enough, it could carry Hall in with it, but Cooper starts out with the edge.