New York 25th District - Buerkle vs. Maffei
New York Snapshot
RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races: Gov | Sen (Special) | Sen | NY-1 | NY-2 | NY-4 | NY-13 | NY-19 | NY-20 | NY-22 | NY-23 | NY-24 | NY-27 | NY-29
----------PAST KEY RACES----------
2008: Pres | NY-13 | NY-25 | NY-26 | NY-29
2006: Governor | NY-19 | NY-20 | NY-24 | NY-25 | NY-26 | NY-29
2004: President
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | Buerkle (R) | Maffei (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 50.2 | 49.8 | Buerkle +0.4 |
| Siena | 10/10 - 10/12 | 623 LV | 39 | 51 | Maffei +12 |
| AAF/Ayers (R) | 7/28 - 8/1 | 400 LV | 41 | 44 | Maffei +3 |
Previous Election Results
| 2008: Maffei (D) 55%, Sweetland (R) 42% | 2008: Obama (D) 56%, McCain (R) 43% |
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| 2006: Walsh (R) 51%, Maffei (D) 49% |
2004: Kerry (D) 50%, Bush (R) 48% |
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| 2004: Walsh (R) 90%, Hawkins (G) 10% |
2000: Gore (D) 51%, Bush (R) 45% |
Race Analysis
Syracuse is one of the three cities that vie for the claim to be the founding place for the Republican Party. And for years, it elected Republicans regularly to Congress. But as the 20th Century wore on, the city shifted leftward, and in 2008, the district containing the city gave Barack Obama 56 percent of the vote.
In 2008 it also voted for Dan Maffei, the first Democrat to represent the district in several decades. Maffei has proved to be a reliable vote for the Democratic leadership, and faces a surprisingly stiff challenge from state Assistant Attorney General Ann Marie Buerkle. If the wave gets big enough, Maffei could be in real trouble.