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New Mexico 3rd District - Lujan vs. Mullins

Candidates

Ben Ray Lujan

Ben Ray Lujan (D)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Tom Mullins

Tom Mullins (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

New Mexico Snapshot

RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races:
Governor | NM-1 | NM-2

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2008:
President | Senate | NM-1 | NM-2
2006: Governor | NM-1
2004: President | NM-1 | NM-2 | NM-3

Polling Data

PollDateSampleLujan (D)Mullins (R)Spread
Final Results----57.043.0Lujan +14.0
Daily Kos/PPP (D)9/25 - 9/26540 LV4943Lujan +6
PPP (D)2/18 - 2/20400 LV4236Lujan +6
NM3

Previous Election Results

  2008: Lujan (D) 57%, East (R) 31%   2008: Obama (D) 61%, McCain (R) 38%
  2006: Udall (D) 75%, Dolin (R) 25%   2004: Kerry (D) 54%, Bush (R) 45%
  2004: Udall (D) 69%, Tucker (R) 31%   2000: Gore (D) 52%, Bush (R) 43%

Race Analysis

10/4/2010 -- It is a statement of just how bad a year 2010 has been for Democrats that this heavily Democratic district looks like it may be a bit competitive.  Two Public Policy Polling polls have shown Freshman Democrat Ben Ray Lujan under 50 percent.  Given the Democratic tilt of the district, Lujan is still the favorite, but not the prohibitive favorite we'd normally expect in this district.