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New Hampshire 1st District - Guinta vs. Shea-Porter

Candidates

Frank Guinta

Frank Guinta (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Carol Shea-Porter

Carol Shea-Porter (D)*

Bio | Campaign Site

New Hampshire Snapshot

RCP Ranking:
2010 State Races:
Governor | Senate | NH-2

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2008:
President | Senate | NH-1
2006: Governor | NH-2
2004: President | Senate | NH-1 | NH-2

Polling Data

PollDateSampleGuinta (R)Shea-Porter (D)Spread
Final Results----54.042.4Guinta +11.6
WMUR/UNH10/27 - 10/31434 LV4639Guinta +7
The Hill/Penn, Schoen & Berland (D)10/9 - 10/12407 LV4742Guinta +5
WMUR/UNH10/7 - 10/12339 LV4836Guinta +12
WMUR/UNH9/23 - 9/29237 LV4939Guinta +10
American Res. Group9/22 - 9/26400 LV5040Guinta +10
WMUR/UNH4/12 - 4/21225 LV4238Guinta +4
PPP (D)4/17 - 4/18647 LV4645Guinta +1
WMUR/UNH1/27 - 2/3168 LV4333Guinta +10
WMUR/UNH7/19 - 7/27238 LV3944Shea-Porter +5
NH1

Race Analysis

10/27/10 -- Anti-war activist Carol Shea-Porter won this district in a stunning 2006 upset of Jeb Bradley.  She held off Bradley again in the 2008 election.  This time, however, she looks to be in big trouble against Manchester Mayor Frank Guinta.  She's trailed in almost all of the polls, which is a horrendous place for an incumbent to be at this point in the game.  She's the underdog.

Previous Election Results

  2008: Shea-Porter (D) 52%, Bradley (R) 46%   2008: Obama (D) 53%, McCain (R) 46%
  2006: Shea-Porter (D) 51%, Bradley (R) 49%   2004: Bush (R) 51%, Kerry (D) 48%
  2004: Bradley (R) 63%, Nadeau (D) 37%   2000: Bush (R) 49%, Gore (D) 46%