|Poll||Date||Sample||Cravaack (R)||Oberstar (D)||Spread|
|Final Results||--||--||48.2||46.6||Cravaack +1.6|
|SurveyUSA||10/25 - 10/28||665 LV||46||47||Oberstar +1|
10/28/10 -- SurveyUSA shows Cravaack within a point of Oberstar. Obviously this is not a good place for an incumbent to be on the eve of an election, and Oberstar's 36-year-old Congressional career is in real danger of ending.
10/27/10 -- A Democrat has represented the iron range since the 1940s. But the district has gradually followed white working class voters over to the Republican camp, and this is increasingly Republican territory. Internal polling has shown a tight race here, and while we still think Jim Oberstar has an edge, it isn't an overwhelming one.
|2008: Oberstar (D) 68%, Cummins (R) 32%||2008: Obama (D) 53%, McCain (R) 44%
|2006: Oberstar (D) 64%, Grams (R) 34%||2004: Kerry 53% (D), Bush (R) 46%
|2004: Oberstar (D) 65%, Groettum (R) 32%||2000: Gore (D) 50%, Bush (R) 45%