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Minnesota 8th District - Cravaack vs. Oberstar


Chip Cravaack

Chip Cravaack (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Jim Oberstar

Jim Oberstar (D)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Minnesota Snapshot

RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races:
Governor | MN-1 | MN-6 | MN-7

----------PAST KEY RACES----------

President | Senate | MN-3 | MN-6
2006: Senate | Governor | MN-6
2004: President

Polling Data

PollDateSampleCravaack (R)Oberstar (D)Spread
Final Results----48.246.6Cravaack +1.6
SurveyUSA10/25 - 10/28665 LV4647Oberstar +1

Race Analysis

10/28/10 -- SurveyUSA shows Cravaack within a point of Oberstar.  Obviously this is not a good place for an incumbent to be on the eve of an election, and Oberstar's 36-year-old Congressional career is in real danger of ending.

10/27/10 -- A Democrat has represented the iron range since the 1940s.  But the district has gradually followed white working class voters over to the Republican camp, and this is increasingly Republican territory.  Internal polling has shown a tight race here, and while we still think Jim Oberstar has an edge, it isn't an overwhelming one.

Previous Election Results

  2008: Oberstar (D) 68%, Cummins (R) 32%   2008: Obama (D) 53%, McCain (R) 44%
  2006: Oberstar (D) 64%, Grams (R) 34%   2004: Kerry 53% (D), Bush (R) 46%
  2004: Oberstar (D) 65%, Groettum (R) 32%   2000: Gore (D) 50%, Bush (R) 45%