|Poll||Date||Sample||Keating (D)||Perry (R)||Spread|
|Final Results||--||--||46.9||42.4||Keating +4.5|
|Boston Globe/UNH||10/17 - 10/22||349 LV||37||33||Keating +4|
|WGBH/MassINC||10/13 - 10/15||400 LV||46||43||Keating +3|
|2008: Delahunt (D) (Unopposed)
||2008: Obama (D) 55%, McCain (R) 43%
|2006: Delahunt (D) 64%, Beatty (R) 29%||2004: Kerry (D) 56%, Bush (R) 43%
|2004: Delahunt (D) 66%, Jones (R) 34%||2000: Gore (D) 54%, Bush (R) 39%|
10/27/10 --The polls show Keating in the lead, though not by a very big margin. Perry has received some awful publicity in the press, so he probably is the slight underdog. But anything can happen in this district that gave Scott Brown 60 percent of the vote.
Massachusetts' 10th District is the South Shore of Massachusetts Bay, down through Cape Cod and Nantucket. Today it is the base of Massachusetts Republicanism, such as it is, giving Scott Brown 60 percent of the vote, while going for Barack Obama at just over his national average.
Republicans were hopeful that they could take the district back after Gerry Studds retired in 1996. In the spirit of the Class of 1994, they nominated Edward Teague, the self-proclaimed “Newt of the North.” 1996 turned out to be the wrong year to be compared to Newt Gingrich in Massachusetts, and Bill Delahunt won with a solid 54 percent of the vote. He has been easily re-elected ever since.
Delahunt retired this year. A large number of Republicans faced off in the September primary, and the winner was state Rep. Jeff Perry. Perry will face off again Norfolk District Attorney Bill Keating. Perry has some baggage, but in this environment it may not matter. This is the Republicans’ best chance to recapture the seat since they last won it in 1970.