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Illinois 14th District - Hultgren vs. Foster


Bill Foster

Bill Foster (D)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Randy Hultgren

Randy Hultgren (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

IL-14 Snapshot

RCP Ranking:
2010 State Races: 
Governor | Senate | IL-8 | IL-10 | IL-11 | IL-17

----------PAST KEY RACES-----------

President | IL-10 | IL-11
2006: Governor | IL-6 | IL-8
2004: President | Senate

Polling Data

PollDateSampleFoster (D)Hultgren (R)Spread
Final Results----45.151.3Hultgren +6.2
WeAskAmerica10/31 - 10/31784 LV4550Hultgren +5
The Hill/Penn, Schoen & Berland (D)10/9 - 10/12406 LV4243Hultgren +1
WeAskAmerica8/4 - 8/41028 RV3744Hultgren +7

Previous Election Results

  2008: Foster (D) 58%, Oberweis (R) 42%   2008: Obama (D) 55%, McCain (R) 44%
  2006: Hastert (R) 60%, Laesch (D) 40%   2004: Bush (R) 55%, Kerry (D) 44%
  2004: Haster (R) 69%, Zamora (D) 31%   2000: Bush (R) 54%, Gore (D) 42%

Race Analysis

10/26/10 -- Hultgren has continued to lead, and Foster is below 45 percent in the polls.  The national mood would have to improve substantially for Democrats to carry this district.

----------Race Preview---------

Illinois’s 14th District, the western Chicago exurbs, is one of the fastest growing in the country.  In a state that only grew 3 percent in the 2000s, it grew 20.4 percent. This exurban growth is centered around the city of Aurora and in neighboring Kendall County. Although the district takes in rural counties to the west as well as a slice of DuPage County to the East, about two-thirds of the population lives in Kendall and Kane Counties.

In the past 100 years this area has almost always sent Republicans to Congress. It broke tradition in the Watergate year of 1974, and did so again in 2007. In the special election to replace retiring House Speaker Dennis Hastert, Republicans nominated Jim Oberweis, a perennial statewide loser. The winner, Democratic physicist Bill Foster, benefitted from a divided Republican Party (Oberweis’ opponent refused to endorse him) and from Barack Obama’s coattails.

Foster has compiled a fairly conservative voting record among the Democrats. He voted for the stimulus and the health care bill, but opposed the Waxman-Markey version of cap-and-trade legislation. He’ll face off against state Senator Randy Hultgren in the fall, who narrowly led Foster in the one poll taken of the race.