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Connecticut 5th District - Caligiuri vs. Murphy


Sam Caligiuri

Sam Caligiuri (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Chris Murphy

Chris Murphy (D)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Connecticut Snapshot

RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races:
Gov | Sen | CT-1 | CT-2 | CT-4

----------PAST KEY RACES----------

President | CT-4
2006: Governor | Senate | CT-2 | CT-4 | CT-5
2004: President | Senate | CT-2 | CT-4

Polling Data

PollDateSampleCaligiuri (R)Murphy (D)Spread
Final Results----45.954.1Murphy +8.2
CT Capitol Report/MRG10/28 - 10/31911 LV5244Caligiuri +8
CT Capitol Report/MRG10/24 - 10/26595 LV4746Caligiuri +1
CT Capitol Report/MRG10/3 - 10/5481 LV5044Caligiuri +6

Previous Election Results

  2008: Murphy (D) 59%, Cappiello (R) 39%   2008: Obama (D) 56%, McCain (R) 42%
  2006: Murphy (D) 57%, Johnson (R) 43%   2004: Kerry (D) 49.3%, Bush (R) 49%
  2004: Johnson (R) 60%, Gerratana (D) 38%   2000: Gore (D) 52%, Bush (R) 43%

Race Analysis

10/24/10 -- The most recent polling shows Murphy trailing Caliguri.  This is probably the most Republican district in the state, and it is very much at risk of shifting back to its Republican roots.

----------Race Preview---------

The 5th District is a collection of towns stretching from the state’s western border with New York to the suburbs of Hartford. It includes the bucolic Litchfield Hills and the Farmington River Valley, which tend to vote Republican, as well as heavily Democratic towns like New Britain. Overall the district has a slight Democratic tilt, with a Cook PVI of D+2.

The district was represented by Nancy Johnson, a moderate Republican, from 1982 until 2006. She lost that year to Chris Murphy, a young, ambitious state legislator. Murphy has a reliably liberal voting record, earning a 100 percent vote rating from Americans for Democratic Action. Murphy faces state Senator Sam Caliguri in the general election. If the district follows the national mood against the Democratic Party, this district could be a pickup for the GOP on election night.