|Poll||Date||Sample||Frazier (R)||Perlmutter (D)||Spread|
|Final Results||--||--||41.8||53.4||Perlmutter +11.6|
|Magellan Strategies (R)||8/26 - 8/26||830 LV||40||39||Frazier +1|
|2008: Perlmutter (D) 64%, Lerew (R) 36%||2008: Obama (D) 59%, McCain (R) 39%
|2006: Perlmutter (D) 55%, O'Donnell (R) 42%||2004: Kerry (D) 51%, Bush (R) 48%
|2004: Beauprez (R) 55%, Thomas (D) 43%||2000: Bush (R) 50%, Gore (D) 50%|
The Denver suburbs stretch out across miles of flatland east of the city. In 2002, a Democratic judge selected the Democrats’ map after the legislature deadlocked. This map placed the newly-created 7th District in the Denver inner suburbs, and drew it to slightly favor Democrats. But Republican Bob Beauprez nevertheless narrowly won the district over a flawed Democratic candidate. Republicans tried to redraw the lines when they took control of the legislature in 2002, but the state Supreme Court found the new lines unconstitutional.
In 2006, Beauprez ran for governor, leaving the 5th District open. Ed Perlmutter won in a landslide, and easily kept the district in 2008. But this year has been a rough one for the suburbs, and voters nationally are giving the GOP a second look. There have been some signs that this is occurring in Colorado as well as in places like New York and Pennsylvania. Perlmutter faces a capable opponent in Aurora City Councilor Ryan Frazier and is in for a fight in this D+4 district.