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Colorado 7th District - Frazier vs. Perlmutter

Candidates

Ryan Frazier

Ryan Frazier (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Ed Perlmutter

Ed Perlmutter (D)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Colorado Snapshot

RCP Ranking:
2010 State Races: 
Gov | Sen | CO-3 | CO-4

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2008:
President | Senate | CO-4
2006: Governor | CO-4 | CO-5 | CO-7
2004: President | Senate

Polling Data

PollDateSampleFrazier (R)Perlmutter (D)Spread
Final Results----41.853.4Perlmutter +11.6
Magellan Strategies (R)8/26 - 8/26830 LV4039Frazier +1
CO7

Previous Election Results

  2008: Perlmutter (D) 64%, Lerew (R) 36%   2008: Obama (D) 59%, McCain (R) 39%
  2006: Perlmutter (D) 55%, O'Donnell (R) 42%   2004: Kerry (D) 51%, Bush (R) 48%
  2004: Beauprez (R) 55%, Thomas (D) 43%   2000: Bush (R) 50%, Gore (D) 50%

Race Analysis

The Denver suburbs stretch out across miles of flatland east of the city. In 2002, a Democratic judge selected the Democrats’ map after the legislature deadlocked. This map placed the newly-created 7th District in the Denver inner suburbs, and drew it to slightly favor Democrats. But Republican Bob Beauprez nevertheless narrowly won the district over a flawed Democratic candidate. Republicans tried to redraw the lines when they took control of the legislature in 2002, but the state Supreme Court found the new lines unconstitutional.

In 2006, Beauprez ran for governor, leaving the 5th District open. Ed Perlmutter won in a landslide, and easily kept the district in 2008. But this year has been a rough one for the suburbs, and voters nationally are giving the GOP a second look. There have been some signs that this is occurring in Colorado as well as in places like New York and Pennsylvania. Perlmutter faces a capable opponent in Aurora City Councilor Ryan Frazier and is in for a fight in this D+4 district.