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Tennessee Governor - Haslam vs. McWherter

Candidates

Bill Haslam

Bill Haslam (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Mike McWherter

Mike McWherter (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Tennessee Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races:
TN-4 | TN-5 | TN-6 | TN-8

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2008:
President | Senate
2006: Governor | Senate
2004: President

Polling Data

PollDateSampleHaslam (R)McWherter (D)Spread
Final Results----65.033.1Haslam +31.9
RCP Average7/6 - 10/7--56.032.0Haslam +24.0
Rasmussen Reports10/7 - 10/7500 LV5931Haslam +28
Mason-Dixon7/19 - 7/21625 RV4931Haslam +18
WSMV - Nashville7/6 - 7/7603 RV6034Haslam +26

All Tennessee Governor - Haslam vs. McWherter Polling Data

Race Analysis

Tennessee was long something of an anomaly in the South. It had a strong Republican presence in the eastern portion of the state (and to a lesser extent in the West South Central region), which allowed it to maintain a sizeable presence in the state. Unlike the rest of the South, Democratic presidential candidates rarely received more than 55 percent of the vote there, and in good Republican years, they even lost.

So Tennessee was one of the first states in the South to align with the GOP and was the first to elect two Republican senators. It also occasionally elected Republican Governors, even during the Jim Crow era: It did so in 1880, 1910, 1912 and 1920.

Since Jim Crow ended, the state has tended to alternate the governorship between the parties: Democrats from 1966-1970, 1974-1978, 1986-1994 and 2002 to the present, with Republicans in the gaps. This year, the Republican mayor of Knoxville, Bill Haslam, will take on Mike McWherter, son of a former governor. Even without the state being due for a switchover, the Obama administration is deeply unpopular here, which means McWherter faces an uphill climb.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleHaslam (R)McWherter (D)Spread
Final Results----65.033.1Haslam +31.9
RCP Average7/6 - 10/7--56.032.0Haslam +24.0
Rasmussen Reports10/7 - 10/7500 LV5931Haslam +28
Rasmussen Reports8/9 - 8/9500 LV5631Haslam +25
Mason-Dixon7/19 - 7/21625 RV4931Haslam +18
WSMV - Nashville7/6 - 7/7603 RV6034Haslam +26
Rasmussen Reports6/15 - 6/15500 LV5032Haslam +18
Rasmussen Reports3/22 - 3/22500 LV4527Haslam +18