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South Dakota Governor - Daugaard vs. Heidepriem


Dennis Daugaard

Dennis Daugaard (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Scott Heidepriem

Scott Heidepriem (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

South Dakota Snapshot

RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races: SD-AL

----------PAST KEY RACES----------

President | Senate
2006: Governor
2004: President | Senate | SD-AL

Polling Data

PollDateSampleDaugaard (R)Heidepriem (D)Spread
Final Results----61.538.5Daugaard +23.0
Rasmussen Reports10/20 - 10/20500 LV5536Daugaard +19
Rasmussen Reports10/4 - 10/4500 LV5733Daugaard +24
Rasmussen Reports9/8 - 9/8500 LV5728Daugaard +29
Rasmussen Reports8/3 - 8/3500 LV5927Daugaard +32
Rasmussen Reports7/6 - 7/6500 LV5235Daugaard +17
Rasmussen Reports6/10 - 6/10500 LV5236Daugaard +16
Rasmussen Reports5/26 - 5/26500 LV5136Daugaard +15
Rasmussen Reports4/21 - 4/21500 LV5333Daugaard +20
Rasmussen Reports3/25 - 3/25500 LV4932Daugaard +17
Rasmussen Reports2/23 - 2/23500 LV4132Daugaard +9

Race Analysis

South Dakota is by some historical measures the nation’s most Republican state. From the time of its founding into the 1930s it had only a token Democratic presence in its state legislature, and even after the Great Depression gave birth to a competitive Democratic Party, they only occasionally won the gubernatorial race.

The state’s Democrats today suffer from the longest gubernatorial drought in the nation, as they have not won a governor’s race since 1974. There was some thought that Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, daughter of a former House majority leader and granddaughter of a governor would make a run for it, but she opted to run for re-election to the House instead.

Republicans nominated Lieutenant Governor Dennis Daugaard to succeed popular Governor Mike Rounds. Democrats nominated State Senate Minority Leader Scott Heidepriem. The two parties thus ensured that this race would result in more candidate misspellings than any race in history. More to the point, Daugaard seems unlikely to lose in what is shaping up to be a good GOP year.