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South Carolina Governor - Haley vs. Sheheen

Candidates

Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Vincent Sheheen

Vincent Sheheen (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

South Carolina Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking:
2010 State Races: Senate | SC-5

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2008:
President | Senate | SC-1
2006: Governor
2004: President | Senate

Polling Data

PollDateSampleHaley (R)Sheheen (D)Spread
Final Results----51.447.1Haley +4.3
RCP Average10/5 - 10/19--48.037.3Haley +10.7
Rasmussen Reports10/19 - 10/19500 LV4738Haley +9
Insider Advantage10/19 - 10/19878 LV5137Haley +14
Winthrop10/5 - 10/10741 LV4637Haley +9

All South Carolina Governor - Haley vs. Sheheen Polling Data

(After October 4th registered voter poll results will not be added to RCP State Poll Averages.)

Race Analysis

10/14/10 -- There's some polling evidence that suggests that the race may be tightening, although two of the polls were commissioned by a Democratic polling firm.  Haley has taken some lumps on her family's finances, but is still the favorite here.

----------Race Preview---------

This may go down as one of the tawdriest races in history. Governor Mark Sanford is term-limited, his two terms marred by the sex scandal that nearly brought down his administration. A crowded GOP field ran to succeed him in this heavily Republican state, and as the primary neared, Nikki Haley emerged as the Republican frontrunner.

But then Haley was hit by allegations by a blogger that she had had an affair with him. A second South Carolina Republican later claimed to have had a one-night stand with Haley at a Republican convention.

The allegations didn’t seem particularly credible, and didn’t stick. Haley won by a landslide in the runoff election. In the general election, she’ll face off against state Senator Vincent Shaheen, whose path to the nomination was considerably less controversial. It would still take something significant to derail Haley’s ascent in this heavily Republican state.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleHaley (R)Sheheen (D)Spread
Final Results----51.447.1Haley +4.3
RCP Average10/5 - 10/19--48.037.3Haley +10.7
Rasmussen Reports10/19 - 10/19500 LV4738Haley +9
Insider Advantage10/19 - 10/19878 LV5137Haley +14
Winthrop10/5 - 10/10741 LV4637Haley +9
Hamilton Campaigns (D)10/1 - 10/4500 LV4944Haley +5
Hamilton Campaigns (D)9/24 - 9/28500 LV5141Haley +10
Rasmussen Reports9/22 - 9/22500 LV5033Haley +17
Rasmussen Reports8/25 - 8/25500 LV5236Haley +16
Rasmussen Reports7/29 - 7/29500 LV4935Haley +14
Rasmussen Reports6/23 - 6/23500 LV5240Haley +12
Rasmussen Reports6/10 - 6/10500 LV5534Haley +21
PPP (D)5/22 - 5/231255 LV4434Haley +10
(After October 4th registered voter poll results will not be added to RCP State Poll Averages.)