2010 Senate Races

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2010 House Races

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2010 Governor Races

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Senate 2010 Polls
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Ohio Governor - Kasich vs. Strickland

Candidates

John Kasich

John Kasich (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Ted Strickland

Ted Strickland (D)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Ohio Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races:
Senate | OH-1 | OH-6 | OH-10 | OH-12 | OH-13 | OH-15 | OH-16 | OH-18

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2008:
President | OH-1 | OH-2 | OH-15 | OH-16
2006: Sen | Gov | OH-1 | OH-2 | OH-15 | OH-18
2004: President | Senate

Polling Data

PollDateSampleKasich (R)Strickland (D)Spread
Final Results----49.446.7Kasich +2.7
RCP Average10/25 - 10/31--49.046.5Kasich +2.5
Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin.10/27 - 10/31930 LV5248Kasich +4
FOX News/POR-Rasmussen10/30 - 10/301000 LV4844Kasich +4
PPP (D)10/28 - 10/301356 LV4948Kasich +1
Quinnipiac10/25 - 10/30848 LV4746Kasich +1

All Ohio Governor - Kasich vs. Strickland Polling Data

RCP Poll Average
Ohio Governor - Kasich vs. Strickland
49.0Kasich (R)+2.5
46.5Strickland (D)

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Race Analysis

11/2/10 7:25am -- The polls are close, but Kasich is in the lead and Strickland is below 50 percent.  An upset isn't impossible, but these type of situations typically don't work out well for incumbents.

10/21/10 -- Right now the CNN/Time poll showing Strickland up looks like an outlier.  But most trends start out with polls that look like outliers at first.  Hopefully we'll get some new polls in here soon.

10/11/10 -- Strickland has been firing away at Kasich, and seems to have knocked the Congressman down a few notches.  But he hasn't done much to improve his own position.  Strickland still can't get above 45 percent in the polls, with little time to turn things around.

----------Race Preview---------

2006 saw one of the largest gubernatorial blowouts in Senate history, as Congressman Ted Strickland blew out Republican Secretary of State Ken Blackwell by a 60-37 margin. Blackwell was seen as a rising star by state and national Republicans, but the national Democratic tide, combined with Blackwell’s across-the-board conservatism, led to a blowout in this swing state.

Strickland’s tenure as Governor has been rocky, as the state shed both jobs and population. He came under heavy fire when an intern lost a list of state employees and their social security numbers. His job approval ratings have drifted under 50 percent.

Strickland initially trailed GOP Congressman John Kasich in their head-to-head matchups. Kasich was a former Congressman and chair of the budget committee that produced the country’s last balanced budgets. But Kasich has something of an Achilles Heel -- from 2001-2008 he was employed by Lehman Brothers, the investment firm whose collapse precipitated the financial system collapse of 2008. Strickland has hit Kasich hard on his ties to the bank, and may be able to use these ties to seal the congressman’s fate.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleKasich (R)Strickland (D)Spread
Final Results----49.446.7Kasich +2.7
RCP Average10/25 - 10/31--49.046.5Kasich +2.5
Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin.10/27 - 10/31930 LV5248Kasich +4
FOX News/POR-Rasmussen10/30 - 10/301000 LV4844Kasich +4
PPP (D)10/28 - 10/301356 LV4948Kasich +1
Quinnipiac10/25 - 10/30848 LV4746Kasich +1
Columbus Dispatch*10/20 - 10/291445 LV4947Kasich +2
Rasmussen Reports10/26 - 10/26750 LV4844Kasich +4
SurveyUSA10/22 - 10/26613 LV4944Kasich +5
Quinnipiac10/18 - 10/24686 LV4943Kasich +6
FOX News/POR-Rasmussen10/23 - 10/231000 LV4743Kasich +4
CNN/Time10/15 - 10/19863 LV4748Strickland +1
Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin.10/14 - 10/18839 LV4947Kasich +2
Quinnipiac10/12 - 10/171188 LV5141Kasich +10
FOX News/POR-Rasmussen10/16 - 10/161000 LV4943Kasich +6
Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin.10/8 - 10/13705 LV5143Kasich +8
Rasmussen Reports10/11 - 10/11750 LV4845Kasich +3
FOX News/POR-Rasmussen10/9 - 10/91000 LV4742Kasich +5
Suffolk University10/4 - 10/6500 LV4642Kasich +4
Quinnipiac9/29 - 10/31025 LV5041Kasich +9
FOX News/POR-Rasmussen10/2 - 10/21000 LV4943Kasich +6
Rasmussen Reports9/27 - 9/27500 LV5042Kasich +8
CBS News/NY Times9/23 - 9/27941 LV4342Kasich +1
FOX News/POR-Rasmussen9/25 - 9/251000 LV4543Kasich +2
Reuters/Ipsos9/23 - 9/25440 LV4746Kasich +1
Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin.9/16 - 9/20852 LV4945Kasich +4
FOX News/POR-Rasmussen9/18 - 9/181000 LV4741Kasich +6
CNN/Time9/10 - 9/14820 LV5144Kasich +7
Quinnipiac9/9 - 9/14730 LV5437Kasich +17
Rasmussen Reports9/13 - 9/13750 LV5043Kasich +7
SurveyUSA9/10 - 9/13641 LV5240Kasich +12
FOX News/POR-Rasmussen9/11 - 9/111000 LV4843Kasich +5
Columbus Dispatch*8/25 - 9/31622 LV4937Kasich +12
Rasmussen Reports8/30 - 8/30750 LV5240Kasich +12
PPP (D)8/27 - 8/29475 LV5040Kasich +10
Rasmussen Reports8/16 - 8/16750 LV5242Kasich +10
Reuters/Ipsos8/6 - 8/8417 LV4839Kasich +9
Rasmussen Reports8/2 - 8/2750 LV4542Kasich +3
Rasmussen Reports7/19 - 7/19750 LV4843Kasich +5
Rasmussen Reports6/29 - 6/29500 LV4740Kasich +7
PPP (D)6/26 - 6/27482 LV4341Kasich +2
Quinnipiac6/22 - 6/271107 RV3843Strickland +5
Rasmussen Reports6/3 - 6/3500 LV4742Kasich +5
Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin.5/11 - 5/20668 LV4449Strickland +5
Rasmussen Reports5/5 - 5/5500 LV4645Kasich +1
Quinnipiac4/21 - 4/261568 RV3844Strickland +6
R2000/Daily Kos (D)**4/5 - 4/7600 LV4045Strickland +5
Rasmussen Reports3/30 - 3/30500 LV4645Kasich +1
Quinnipiac3/23 - 3/291526 RV3843Strickland +5
PPP (D)3/20 - 3/21630 LV4237Kasich +5
Rasmussen Reports3/4 - 3/4500 LV4938Kasich +11
Quinnipiac2/16 - 2/211662 RV3944Strickland +5
Rasmussen Reports2/5 - 2/6500 LV4741Kasich +6
Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin.1/13 - 1/19808 LV5145Kasich +6
Rasmussen Reports1/12 - 1/12500 LV4740Kasich +7
ORL/Wenzel Strategies (R)1/8 - 1/121001 RV4333Kasich +10
Rasmussen Reports12/7 - 12/7500 LV4839Kasich +9
Quinnipiac11/5 - 11/91123 RV4040Tie
Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin.10/14 - 10/20687 RV4748Strickland +1
Rasmussen Reports9/23 - 9/23500 LV4645Kasich +1
Quinnipiac9/10 - 9/131074 RV3646Strickland +10
R2000/Daily Kos (D)**7/6 - 7/8600 LV3944Strickland +5
Quinnipiac6/26 - 7/11259 RV3843Strickland +5
PPP (D)6/17 - 6/19619 RV4244Strickland +2
Quinnipiac4/28 - 5/41079 RV3251Strickland +19
Quinnipiac3/10 - 3/151299 RV3151Strickland +20
Quinnipiac1/29 - 2/21127 RV2656Strickland +30
PPP (D)1/17 - 1/18578 RV3945Strickland +6