2010 Senate Races

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2010 House Races

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2010 Governor Races

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Senate 2010 Polls
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New York Governor - Paladino vs. Cuomo

Candidates

Andrew Cuomo

Andrew Cuomo (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Carl Paladino

Carl Paladino (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

New York Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races:
Senate (Special) | Senate | NY-1 | NY-2 | NY-4 | NY-13 | NY-19 | NY-20 | NY-22 | NY-23 | NY-24 | NY-25 | NY-27 | NY-29

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2008:
Pres | NY-13 | NY-25 | NY-26 | NY-29
2006: Governor | NY-19 | NY-20 | NY-24 | NY-25 | NY-26 | NY-29
2004: President

Polling Data

PollDateSampleCuomo (D)Paladino (R)Spread
Final Results----61.434.1Cuomo +27.3
RCP Average10/18 - 10/30--55.035.0Cuomo +20.0
Siena10/27 - 10/30603 LV5833Cuomo +25
Marist10/26 - 10/28415 LV5637Cuomo +19
SurveyUSA10/25 - 10/28544 LV5533Cuomo +22
Quinnipiac10/18 - 10/24672 LV5535Cuomo +20
Rasmussen Reports10/19 - 10/19500 LV5137Cuomo +14

All New York Governor - Paladino vs. Cuomo Polling Data

(After October 4th registered voter poll results will not be added to RCP State Poll Averages.)
RCP Poll Average
New York Governor - Paladino vs. Cuomo
55.0Cuomo (D)+20.0
35.0Paladino (R)

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Race Analysis

For years, the stepping stone to a major party nomination was to be elected Governor of New York.  From 1876 until 1948, Governors of the state were on the ticket as President or Vice President in 14 of 19 elections (other New Yorkers were on tickets in two of the remaining five elections).  But as the years wore on, New York's prominence faded, and California and Texas replaced the Empire State as the home of Presidents.

In 2006, the state overwhelmingly elected Eliot Spitzer as its President.  But Spitzer was caught up in a prostitution scandal, and the reins of power were transferred to his Lieutenant Governor, David Paterson.  Then Paterson's popularity cratered, leaving an opening for Attorney General Andrew Cuomo to seek the Governor's mansion.

No major Republican stepped up to oppose Cuomo.  Republicans nominated real estate developer Carl Paladino, and early polls showed a tightening race.  But a number of high profile misteps by Paladino seemingly moved the race toward the Democrats, and Cuomo enters the final stretch as the favorite.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleCuomo (D)Paladino (R)Spread
Final Results----61.434.1Cuomo +27.3
RCP Average10/18 - 10/30--55.035.0Cuomo +20.0
Siena10/27 - 10/30603 LV5833Cuomo +25
Marist10/26 - 10/28415 LV5637Cuomo +19
SurveyUSA10/25 - 10/28544 LV5533Cuomo +22
Quinnipiac10/18 - 10/24672 LV5535Cuomo +20
Marist10/18 - 10/20505 LV6037Cuomo +23
Rasmussen Reports10/19 - 10/19500 LV5137Cuomo +14
Siena10/14 - 10/18647 LV6326Cuomo +37
New York Times10/10 - 10/15LV5924Cuomo +35
SurveyUSA10/11 - 10/13633 LV5933Cuomo +26
SurveyUSA10/5 - 10/7627 LV5734Cuomo +23
CNN/Time10/1 - 10/5585 LV5541Cuomo +14
Quinnipiac10/1 - 10/51141 LV5537Cuomo +18
Siena10/3 - 10/4636 LV5632Cuomo +24
PPP (D)10/1 - 10/3592 LV5338Cuomo +15
Marist9/27 - 9/29591 LV5338Cuomo +15
Marist*9/19 - 9/22617 LV5233Cuomo +19
SurveyUSA9/20 - 9/21527 LV4940Cuomo +9
Siena*9/16 - 9/21801 RV5724Cuomo +33
Quinnipiac9/16 - 9/20751 LV4943Cuomo +6
Rasmussen Reports9/16 - 9/16500 LV5438Cuomo +16
Quinnipiac8/23 - 8/291497 RV6023Cuomo +37
Siena8/9 - 8/16788 RV6027Cuomo +33
Quinnipiac7/20 - 7/261165 RV5525Cuomo +30
Rasmussen Reports7/20 - 7/20500 LV5829Cuomo +29
Siena7/6 - 7/12760 RV6423Cuomo +41
Rasmussen Reports6/24 - 6/24500 LV5525Cuomo +30
Quinnipiac6/15 - 6/201592 RV5923Cuomo +36
Siena6/7 - 6/9808 RV6023Cuomo +37
Siena5/17 - 5/20905 RV6522Cuomo +43
Marist5/3 - 5/5686 RV6722Cuomo +45
Rasmussen Reports4/27 - 4/27500 LV5525Cuomo +30
Siena4/12 - 4/15806 RV6419Cuomo +45
Quinnipiac4/6 - 4/111381 RV6024Cuomo +36
Rasmussen Reports3/29 - 3/29500 LV5128Cuomo +23
(After October 4th registered voter poll results will not be added to RCP State Poll Averages.)