2010 Senate Races

RealClearPolitics Ratings
RCP Race-by-Race Changes
Final Senate Map

2010 House Races

RealClearPolitics Ratings
RCP Race-by-Race Changes
Generic Congressional Ballot
Final House Map

2010 Governor Races

RealClearPolitics Ratings
RCP Race-by-Race Changes
Final Governors Map

Senate 2010 Polls
News & Election Videos

Nevada Governor - Sandoval vs. Reid

Candidates

Rory Reid

Rory Reid (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Brian Sandoval

Brian Sandoval (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Nevada Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking:
2010 State Races:
Senate | NV-3

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2008:
President | NV-3
2006: Governor | NV-2 | NV-3
2004: President | Senate | NV-3

Polling Data

PollDateSampleReid (D)Sandoval (R)Spread
Final Results----41.653.4Sandoval +11.8
RCP Average10/25 - 10/31--39.055.7Sandoval +16.7
PPP (D)10/30 - 10/31682 LV4455Sandoval +11
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon10/25 - 10/27625 LV3854Sandoval +16
Rasmussen Reports10/25 - 10/25750 LV3558Sandoval +23

All Nevada Governor - Sandoval vs. Reid Polling Data

RCP Poll Average
Nevada Governor - Sandoval vs. Reid
39.0Reid (D)
55.7Sandoval (R)+16.7

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Race Analysis

Nevada is really something of a city-state. Although geographically massive, 86 percent of its votes are cast in the Las Vegas and Reno/Sparks metro areas. These are some of the fastest growing areas in the United States. The state’s politics are thus typically in a state of flux, with politicians having to reintroduce themselves every four years.

This already tempestuous political situation was thrown further into turmoil when the Las Vegas real estate market collapsed. In 2008, this allowed Barack Obama to win a huge victory in a state that typically had close elections. This year, the dynamics are not so favorable to the governing parties. In the Republican primary, voters swept aside scandal-tarred incumbent Governor Jim Gibbons in favor of former federal judge Brian Sandoval.

Sandoval will face off against Clark County Commission chair Rory Reid, son of the senator. In the general election, the ire that swept aside Gibbons will likely be directed against the Democrat, who is the son of an unpopular senator. Things have gotten bad enough for Reid that he has taken to dropping his last name from advertisements. If Sandoval wins and acquits himself well, he will probably be in the mix for a national run in 2012 or 2016.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleReid (D)Sandoval (R)Spread
Final Results----41.653.4Sandoval +11.8
RCP Average10/25 - 10/31--39.055.7Sandoval +16.7
PPP (D)10/30 - 10/31682 LV4455Sandoval +11
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon10/25 - 10/27625 LV3854Sandoval +16
CNN/Time10/20 - 10/26773 LV3458Sandoval +24
Rasmussen Reports10/25 - 10/25750 LV3558Sandoval +23
Rasmussen Reports10/17 - 10/17750 LV3756Sandoval +19
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon10/11 - 10/12625 LV3752Sandoval +15
Rasmussen Reports10/11 - 10/11750 LV4055Sandoval +15
Suffolk University10/8 - 10/11500 LV3950Sandoval +11
PPP (D)10/7 - 10/9504 LV4352Sandoval +9
Rasmussen Reports10/5 - 10/5750 LV4053Sandoval +13
CNN/Time10/1 - 10/5789 LV3356Sandoval +23
Rasmussen Reports9/28 - 9/28750 LV4053Sandoval +13
Retail Assoc. of Nevada/POS (R)9/21 - 9/23500 LV3945Sandoval +6
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon9/20 - 9/22625 LV3751Sandoval +14
CNN/Time9/10 - 9/14789 LV3158Sandoval +27
Rasmussen Reports9/13 - 9/13750 LV3952Sandoval +13
Reuters/Ipsos9/10 - 9/12463 LV3160Sandoval +29
FOX News/POR-Rasmussen9/11 - 9/111000 LV3856Sandoval +18
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon9/7 - 9/9625 LV3652Sandoval +16
Rasmussen Reports9/1 - 9/1750 LV3660Sandoval +24
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon8/23 - 8/25625 LV3153Sandoval +22
Rasmussen Reports8/16 - 8/16750 LV4055Sandoval +15
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon8/9 - 8/11625 LV3652Sandoval +16
Reuters/Ipsos7/30 - 8/1462 LV3950Sandoval +11
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon7/26 - 7/28625 LV3150Sandoval +19
Rasmussen Reports7/27 - 7/27750 LV4050Sandoval +10
PPP (D)7/16 - 7/18630 RV3852Sandoval +14
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon7/12 - 7/14625 LV3647Sandoval +11
Rasmussen Reports7/12 - 7/12750 LV3657Sandoval +21
Rasmussen Reports6/22 - 6/22500 LV3355Sandoval +22
Rasmussen Reports6/9 - 6/9500 LV3154Sandoval +23
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon6/1 - 6/3625 LV3751Sandoval +14
R2000/Daily Kos (D)**5/31 - 6/2600 LV4151Sandoval +10
Rasmussen Reports4/27 - 4/27500 LV3553Sandoval +18
Mason-Dixon4/5 - 4/7625 RV3550Sandoval +15
Rasmussen Reports3/31 - 3/31500 LV3455Sandoval +21
Rasmussen Reports3/3 - 3/3500 LV3553Sandoval +18
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon2/22 - 2/24625 RV2951Sandoval +22
Rasmussen Reports2/3 - 2/3500 LV3345Sandoval +12
Mason-Dixon11/30 - 12/2625 LV3449Sandoval +15
Mason-Dixon10/6 - 10/8500 LV3350Sandoval +17
Mason-Dixon8/17 - 8/18400 LV3249Sandoval +17