2010 Senate Races

RealClearPolitics Ratings
RCP Race-by-Race Changes
Final Senate Map

2010 House Races

RealClearPolitics Ratings
RCP Race-by-Race Changes
Generic Congressional Ballot
Final House Map

2010 Governor Races

RealClearPolitics Ratings
RCP Race-by-Race Changes
Final Governors Map

Senate 2010 Polls
News & Election Videos

New Mexico Governor - Martinez vs. Denish

Candidates

Diane Denish

Diane Denish (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Susana Martinez

Susana Martinez (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

New Mexico Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races:
NM-1 | NM-2 | NM-3

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2008:
President | Senate | NM-1 | NM-2
2006: Governor | NM-1
2004: President | NM-1 | NM-2 | NM-3

Polling Data

PollDateSampleDenish (D)Martinez (R)Spread
Final Results----46.453.6Martinez +7.2
RCP Average10/12 - 10/28--42.353.0Martinez +10.7
Albuquerque Journal10/27 - 10/281003 LV4353Martinez +10
Rasmussen Reports10/24 - 10/24750 LV4252Martinez +10
SurveyUSA10/12 - 10/14647 LV4254Martinez +12

All New Mexico Governor - Martinez vs. Denish Polling Data

RCP Poll Average
New Mexico Governor - Martinez vs. Denish
42.3Denish (D)
53.0Martinez (R)+10.7

Embeddable Widget

 

After making your selection, copy and paste the embed code above. The code changes based on your selection below.

180 x 338   300 x 338   450 x 338   Custom Width

px

Minimum pixel width is 180px.
Embed

Race Analysis

10/11/10 -- Martinez seems to be running away with this:  She's opened up a near-double digit lead, and has gone over 50 percent in some polls.  She's in a very strong position with about 3 weeks to go.

----------Race Preview---------

For years, New Mexico was an island of Democratic-leaning voting in the rock-ribbed Republican Mountain West. Republicans haven’t controlled the state Senate since the 1920s, nor have they won the state House since the 1950s. The state has a Hispanic plurality, many of whose families have lived in the Land of Enchantment since what is now New Mexico was simply a part of Mexico. Geographically, the counties in the north are heavily Hispanic, the counties in the southeast are mostly Republican, and the city of Albuquerque and its suburbs are a Democratic-leaning swing area.

In 2002, Democrats replaced libertarian Republican Gary Johnson with Democrat Bill Richardson. Richardson was a fairly popular governor, who won re-election overwhelmingly in 2006. But Richardson’s numbers have taken a beating as the economy grinds on, hitting 28 percent earlier this year.

Needless to say, these numbers have been a drag on his lieutenant governor’s bid to occupy the statehouse this fall. Republicans have nominated Dona Ana County (Las Cruces) District Attorney Susana Martinez to be their standard bearer. Martinez has narrowly led Denish in the polls, but it is early, the leads are small, and there is plenty of time for the state’s Democratic tilt to pull the race back towards the Democrats.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleDenish (D)Martinez (R)Spread
Final Results----46.453.6Martinez +7.2
RCP Average10/12 - 10/28--42.353.0Martinez +10.7
Albuquerque Journal10/27 - 10/281003 LV4353Martinez +10
Rasmussen Reports10/24 - 10/24750 LV4252Martinez +10
SurveyUSA10/12 - 10/14647 LV4254Martinez +12
Rasmussen Reports10/10 - 10/10750 LV4352Martinez +9
Albuquerque Journal9/27 - 9/30941 LV4249Martinez +7
Rasmussen Reports9/29 - 9/29500 LV4151Martinez +10
Daily Kos/PPP (D)9/25 - 9/26LV4250Martinez +8
Albuquerque Journal8/23 - 8/27942 LV3945Martinez +6
Rasmussen Reports8/24 - 8/24500 LV4451Martinez +7
Magellan Strategies (R)6/21 - 6/21542 LV4344Martinez +1
Rasmussen Reports6/3 - 6/3500 LV4244Martinez +2
Rasmussen Reports5/25 - 5/25500 LV4342Denish +1
SurveyUSA5/23 - 5/251405 LV4349Martinez +6
Rasmussen Reports3/24 - 3/24500 LV5132Denish +19
PPP (D)2/18 - 2/20990 LV4632Denish +14