|Poll||Date||Sample||Brownback (R)||Holland (D)||Spread|
|Final Results||--||--||63.4||32.1||Brownback +31.3|
|SurveyUSA||10/22 - 10/26||561 LV||59||32||Brownback +27|
|SurveyUSA||10/10 - 10/12||619 LV||60||32||Brownback +28|
|SurveyUSA||9/14 - 9/16||602 LV||59||32||Brownback +27|
|SurveyUSA||8/12 - 8/15||588 LV||67||25||Brownback +42|
|Rasmussen Reports||8/4 - 8/4||500 LV||57||34||Brownback +23|
|Rasmussen Reports||6/30 - 6/30||500 LV||59||31||Brownback +28|
|Rasmussen Reports||5/11 - 5/11||500 LV||58||27||Brownback +31|
|Rasmussen Reports||2/24 - 2/24||500 LV||55||33||Brownback +22|
While Kansas has fairly consistently voted Republican at the federal level since the end of the Great Depression, the state has elected a number of Democratic governors. In fact, no Republican has succeeded another Republican in the state since the 1960s.
In 2002, Kathleen Sebelius was able to take advantage of a longstanding split between moderate and conservative Republicans to edge into the Governor’s mansion. She then won a large victory in 2006. After she joined Barack Obama’s cabinet as Secretary of Health and Human Services, Lieutenant Governor Mark Parkinson, a former Republican, took her place. Parkinson announced that he would not run for a full term.
Republican Senator Sam Brownback will be the GOP’s nominee against state Senator Tom Holland. Brownback has led handily in the polls and, barring a major meltdown, will be the state’s next governor.