2010 Senate Races

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RCP Race-by-Race Changes
Final Senate Map

2010 House Races

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Generic Congressional Ballot
Final House Map

2010 Governor Races

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Final Governors Map

Senate 2010 Polls
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Arizona Governor - Brewer vs. Goddard

Candidates

Jan Brewer

Jan Brewer (R)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Terry Goddard

Terry Goddard (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Arizona Snapshot

RCP Average:
RCP Ranking:
2010 Key Races:
Senate | AZ-1 | AZ-3 | AZ-5 | AZ-7 | AZ-8

----------PAST KEY RACES----------


2008:
President | AZ-1 | AZ-3
2006: Senate | AZ-1 | AZ-5 | AZ-8
2004: President | AZ-1

Polling Data

PollDateSampleBrewer (R)Goddard (D)Spread
Final Results----54.742.2Brewer +12.5
RCP Average10/1 - 10/28--50.339.3Brewer +11.0
Rasmussen Reports10/28 - 10/28500 LV5339Brewer +14
Daily Kos/PPP (D)10/23 - 10/24664 LV5244Brewer +8
Behavior Research Center10/1 - 10/10LV4635Brewer +11

All Arizona Governor - Brewer vs. Goddard Polling Data

Race Analysis

10/26/10 -- There's been some closing of the polls here, but Governor Brewer remains above 50 percent in most polls.  She's still the favorite, though perhaps not by the 20-point margin once assumed.

10/9/10 -- Governor Brewer seems to have endured about everything that an incumbent can endure -- including an embarrassing debate performance -- and yet she remains fully in the driver's seat here.

----------Race Preview---------

At the beginning of the year, Governor Jan Brewer (who assumed the governorship after Janet Napolitano was confirmed as secretary of the Department of Homeland Security) looked like a dead governor walking. She was topping out at around 44 percent in the polls and even trailed her Democratic opponent, Attorney General Terry Goddard, in some samples. Her approval of a tax increase to close the budget gap caused her approval to crater among Republicans, and it wasn’t even clear that she would be the GOP nominee.

Arizona’s controversial immigration bill changed all of that. In the furor that erupted, her base rallied around her, and her lead expanded to where she was above the 50 percent mark.  The Justice Department's lawsuit is unlikely to do anything but help her further.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleBrewer (R)Goddard (D)Spread
Final Results----54.742.2Brewer +12.5
RCP Average10/1 - 10/28--50.339.3Brewer +11.0
Rasmussen Reports10/28 - 10/28500 LV5339Brewer +14
Daily Kos/PPP (D)10/23 - 10/24664 LV5244Brewer +8
Behavior Research Center10/1 - 10/10LV4635Brewer +11
Rasmussen Reports10/3 - 10/3500 LV5539Brewer +16
Rasmussen Reports9/7 - 9/7500 LV6038Brewer +22
Rasmussen Reports8/25 - 8/25500 LV5738Brewer +19
Rasmussen Reports7/21 - 7/211200 LV5637Brewer +19
Behavior Research Center6/30 - 7/11524 RV4525Brewer +20
Rasmussen Reports6/29 - 6/29500 LV5335Brewer +18
Rasmussen Reports5/17 - 5/17500 LV5239Brewer +13
R2000/Daily Kos (D)**5/3 - 5/5600 LV4248Goddard +6
Rasmussen Reports4/27 - 4/27500 LV4840Brewer +8
PPP (D)4/23 - 4/25813 LV4447Goddard +3
Rasmussen Reports4/14 - 4/14500 LV4440Brewer +4
Rasmussen Reports3/16 - 3/16500 LV3645Goddard +9