|Poll||Date||Sample||Bentley (R)||Sparks (D)||Spread|
|Final Results||--||--||57.9||42.1||Bentley +15.8|
|Press Register||10/6 - 10/21||777 LV||48||35||Bentley +13|
|Rasmussen Reports||9/21 - 9/21||500 LV||55||35||Bentley +20|
|Rasmussen Reports||8/19 - 8/19||500 LV||58||34||Bentley +24|
|Rasmussen Reports||7/22 - 7/22||500 LV||55||35||Bentley +20|
|Rasmussen Reports||6/3 - 6/3||500 LV||56||37||Bentley +19|
|Rasmussen Reports||5/25 - 5/25||500 LV||44||31||Bentley +13|
10/9/10 -- With three weeks to go, Bentley is up by twenty points in the polls. Sparks is a talented politician, but it is difficult to see how he pulls this one off.
Governor Bob Riley is term-limited after a tumultuous two terms. State Representative Robert Bentley, a fairly traditional conservative, will face Democratic nominee Ron Sparks.
Sparks, the agriculture commissioner, has long been touted by the Democratic netroots as a potential statewide candidate in Alabama, and in 2006 he was the leading Democrat on the statewide ticket, winning re-election with 59 percent of the vote. A self-described liberal, he trounced 7th District Congressman Artur Davis in the Democratic primary, who had focused on the general election and tried mightily to position himself as a conservative Democrat. As a result, Davis placed himself too far to the right of the primary electorate.
At the end of the day, this is likely going to be a bad year to be running as a Democrat, and we suspect it will be even worse for a self-proclaimed liberal Democrat, especially in Alabama.