News & Election Videos

New Jersey Senate

Candidates

Frank Lautenberg*

Frank Lautenberg* (D)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Dick Zimmer

Dick Zimmer (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

New Jersey Snapshot

RCP Senate Ranking: Likely Dem

Senate Race:
Presidential Race:

Competitive House Races: NJ-3
| NJ-7

Key 2006 State Races:
Senate

2004 President: Kerry (D) vs. Bush (R)

Polling Data

PollDateSampleLautenberg (D)Zimmer (R)Spread
Final Results----55.642.4Lautenberg +13.2
RCP Average10/23 - 10/31--52.534.8Lautenberg +17.7
Monmouth/Gannett10/29 - 10/31801 LV5031Lautenberg +19
SurveyUSA10/29 - 10/30632 LV5237Lautenberg +15
Fairleigh Dickinson10/23 - 10/29852 LV5232Lautenberg +20
Research 200010/26 - 10/28600 LV5639Lautenberg +17

All New Jersey Senate Polling Data

Race Summary

This race got a major facelift March 5 when Republican Party favorite Anne Estabrook announced she had suffered a minor stroke and was leaving the race. Estabrook had two big things going for her that made her a serious competitor against the longtime New Jersey public official, Frank Lautenberg: moderate stances and personal wealth.

The race received two more jolts when Rep. Rob Andrews announced he would challenge Lautenberg in the Democratic primary and former GOP Rep. Dick Zimmer -- who lost the 1996 race for this seat to Bob Torricelli -- announced his entrance to the GOP primary. 

Zimmer defeated state Sen. Joe Pennacchio and professor Murray Sabrin in the June 3 primary, and Lautenberg held off Andrews, who attacked Lautenberg for being too old (he turned 84 this year), 58%-36%.

Previous Election Results

Senate
2006: Menendez (D) 53, Kean Jr. (R) 44
2002: Lautenberg (D) 54, Forrester (R) 44
2000: Corzine (D) 50, Franks (R) 47
1996: Torricelli (D) 53, Zimmer (R) 43

President
2004: Kerry (D) 53, Bush (R) 46
2000: Gore (D) 56, Bush (R) 40
1996: Clinton (D) 54, Dole (R) 36

Demographics

Population (2007 est.): 8,685,920
Registered Voters:
Dem 24.3% | Rep 18.2% | Other 57.5%
Occupation: Blue Collar 19.7% | White Collar 66.5% | Gray Collar 13.8%
Race: White 66.0% | Hispanic 13.3% | Black 13.0% | Asian 5.7%

Polling Data

PollDateSampleLautenberg (D)Zimmer (R)Spread
Final Results----55.642.4Lautenberg +13.2
RCP Average10/23 - 10/31--52.534.8Lautenberg +17.7
Monmouth/Gannett10/29 - 10/31801 LV5031Lautenberg +19
SurveyUSA10/29 - 10/30632 LV5237Lautenberg +15
Fairleigh Dickinson10/23 - 10/29852 LV5232Lautenberg +20
Research 200010/26 - 10/28600 LV5639Lautenberg +17
Strategic Vision (R)10/24 - 10/26800 LV4941Lautenberg +8
Marist10/20 - 10/21628 LV4841Lautenberg +7
Quinnipiac10/16 - 10/191184 LV5533Lautenberg +22
Monmouth/Gannett10/15 - 10/18723 LV5236Lautenberg +16
SurveyUSA10/11 - 10/12551 LV5138Lautenberg +13
Rasmussen10/7 - 10/7500 LV5137Lautenberg +14
Fairleigh Dickinson9/29 - 10/5760 LV5034Lautenberg +16
SurveyUSA9/27 - 9/28611 LV5138Lautenberg +13
Strategic Vision (R)9/26 - 9/28800 LV4841Lautenberg +7
Rasmussen9/16 - 9/16500 LV4942Lautenberg +7
Strategic Vision (R)9/14 - 9/16800 LV4740Lautenberg +7
Monmouth/Gannett9/11 - 9/14589 LV4636Lautenberg +10
Quinnipiac9/10 - 9/141187 LV4839Lautenberg +9
Research 20009/9 - 9/11600 LV4941Lautenberg +8
Marist9/5 - 9/8805 RV5140Lautenberg +11
Fairleigh Dickinson9/4 - 9/7872 LV4635Lautenberg +11
Zogby8/7 - 8/11803 LV5032Lautenberg +18
Quinnipiac8/4 - 8/101468 LV4841Lautenberg +7
Rasmussen8/4 - 8/4500 LV5338Lautenberg +15
Monmouth/Gannett7/17 - 7/21--4537Lautenberg +8
Strategic Vision (R)7/11 - 7/13800 LV4832Lautenberg +16
Rasmussen7/7 - 7/7500 LV4936Lautenberg +13
Fairleigh Dickinson6/17 - 6/22589 RV4528Lautenberg +17
Quinnipiac6/5 - 6/81473 RV4738Lautenberg +9
Rasmussen6/4 - 6/4500 LV4544Lautenberg +1

All Commentary & News Stories

- N.J. Democrat Is Target After Breaking From the Pack - Wash Post

- Lautenberg Tops Andrews - Newark Star-Ledger

- Incumbent Faces Ex-Congressman - AP