News & Election Videos

Mississippi Senate - Special

Candidates

Ronnie Musgrove

Ronnie Musgrove (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Roger Wicker*

Roger Wicker* (R)*

Bio | Campaign Site

Mississippi Snapshot

RCP Senate Ranking: Leans GOP

Senate Race:
Presidential Race:

Competitive House Races: MS-01

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMusgrove (D)Wicker (R)Spread
Final Results----44.755.3Wicker +10.6
RCP Average10/13 - 10/29--39.750.0Wicker +10.3
Research 200010/27 - 10/29600 LV4451Wicker +7
Rasmussen10/27 - 10/27500 LV4354Wicker +11
Press Register10/13 - 10/23405 LV3245Wicker +13

All Mississippi Senate - Special Polling Data

Race Summary

In this special election to fill the remaining four years of the retired Trent Lott\'s Senate term, Republican Roger Wicker and Democrat Ronnie Musgrove are in for what should be a far more competitive race than initially expected.

Wicker, who had represented the 1st District since 1994, left his House seat at the end of 2007 after being appointed by Gov. Haley Barbour to serve in this seat until the November election. Ronnie Musgrove has won two statewide elections, including for lieutenant governor in 1995 and governor in 1999.

When Wicker\'s conservative House district flipped to the Democrats in a May special election, it sparked the view of this race as one to watch. That election marked the third vacant GOP seat that Democrats won this year. Though not the most conservative district in the state, Bush won 62% there in 2004.

Musgrove holds an advantage of more statewide name recognition, while Wicker is known mainly by just his Northern Mississippi district. Still, Wicker is running as a Republican in a state that has voted Republican in the last seven presidential elections.

Demographics

Population (2007 est.): 2,918,785 
Registered Voters: No party registration
Occupation: Blue Collar 31.6% | White Collar 52.3% | Gray Collar 16.1%
Race: White 60.7% | Black 36.2 % | Hispanic 1.4% | Asian 0.6%

Previous Election Results

Senate
2006: Lott (R) 64, Fleming (D) 35
2002: Cochran (R) 85, O\'Hara (Ref) 15
2000: Lott (R) 66, Brown (D) 32
1996: Cochran (R) 71, Hunt (D) 27

President
2004: Bush (R) 59, Kerry (D) 40
2000: Bush (R) 58, Gore (D) 41
1996: Dole (R) 49, Clinton (D) 44

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMusgrove (D)Wicker (R)Spread
Final Results----44.755.3Wicker +10.6
RCP Average10/13 - 10/29--39.750.0Wicker +10.3
Research 200010/27 - 10/29600 LV4451Wicker +7
Rasmussen10/27 - 10/27500 LV4354Wicker +11
Press Register10/13 - 10/23405 LV3245Wicker +13
Research 200010/14 - 10/15600 LV4647Wicker +1
Rasmussen9/30 - 9/30500 LV4749Wicker +2
InsiderAdvantage9/24 - 9/24500 LV4348Wicker +5
Research 20009/8 - 9/10600 LV4348Wicker +5
Rasmussen8/21 - 8/21500 LV4352Wicker +9
Rasmussen7/28 - 7/28500 LV4352Wicker +9
Research 20007/21 - 7/23600 LV4445Wicker +1
Rasmussen6/24 - 6/24500 LV4748Wicker +1
Rasmussen5/27 - 5/27500 LV4746Musgrove +1
Research 20005/19 - 5/21600 LV4246Wicker +4
Hamilton Beattie & Staff (D)5/15 - 5/18600 LV4840Musgrove +8
Research 200012/10 - 12/12600 LV3947Wicker +8