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Louisiana Senate

Candidates

John Kennedy

John Kennedy (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Mary Landrieu*

Mary Landrieu* (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Louisiana Snapshot

RCP Senate Ranking: Leans Dem

Senate Race:
Presidential Race:

Competitive House Races: LA-4
| LA-6

2004 Senate: Kennedy (D) vs. Vitter (R)

Polling Data

PollDateSampleKennedy (R)Landrieu (D)Spread
SE Louisiana10/20 - 10/23503 RV3453Landrieu +19
Rasmussen10/21 - 10/21500 LV4353Landrieu +10
Rasmussen9/27 - 9/27500 LV4154Landrieu +13
Rasmussen8/17 - 8/17500 LV3956Landrieu +17
Rasmussen7/9 - 7/9500 LV4449Landrieu +5
Southern Media & Opinion Research6/26 - 6/28600 LV4046Landrieu +6
Rasmussen5/28 - 5/28500 LV4447Landrieu +3
Mellman Group (D)*5/17 - 5/20600 LV3349Landrieu +16
Rasmussen4/9 - 4/9500 LV3955Landrieu +16
Southern Media & Opinion Research3/26 - 4/9600 LV3850Landrieu +12
SurveyUSA12/6 - 12/10651 RV4246Landrieu +4
Zogby10/10 - 10/141001 LV4538Kennedy +7

Race Summary

Mary Landrieu is the GOP\'s top target, and the Republican challenging her almost became her Democratic Senate colleague four years ago.

Republicans secured their candidate in August 2007, when  state Treasurer John Kennedy announced he was switching from the Democratic to the Republican Party, a clear sign he was planning to run. Kennedy previously ran for the Senate in 2004, running as a Democrat and finishing third behind the winner, Republican David Vitter, and fellow Democrat Chris John.

Landrieu\'s vulnerability stems from a number of things: despite the large voter registration advantage Democrats hold, Landrieu has never won more than 52%; and a chunk of the Democratic electorate left the state following Hurricane Katrina.

Although Landrieu should still be slightly favored to retain her seat, the GOP will likely expend a lot of money here, as Louisiana is its best chance at stealing a Senate seat.

Previous Elections

Senate
2004: Vitter (R) 51, John (D) 29, Kennedy (D) 15
2002: Landrieu (D) 52, Terrell (R) 48
1998: Breaux (D) 64, Donelson (R) 22
1996: Landrieu (D) 50, Jenkins (R) 50

President
2004: Bush 57, Kerry 42
2000: Bush 53, Gore 45
1996: Clinton 53, Dole 40

Demographics

Population (2007 est.): 4,293,204
Registered Voters:
Dem 52.7% | Rep 24.9% | Other 22.5%  
Occupation: Blue Collar 25.8% | White Collar 56.6% | Gray Collar 17.5%
Race: White 62.5% | Black 32.3% | Hispanic 2.4% | Asian 1.2%