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Alaska Senate

Candidates

Mark Begich

Mark Begich (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Ted Stevens*

Ted Stevens* (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Alaska Snapshot

RCP Senate Ranking: Leans Dem

Senate Race:
Competitive House Races: AK-AL

Key 2006 State Races: Governor

2004 Senate: Knowles (D) vs. Murkowski (R)

Polling Data

PollDateSampleBegich (D)Stevens (R)Spread
Final Results----47.846.5Begich +1.3
RCP Average10/17 - 10/30--52.041.7Begich +10.3
Research 200010/28 - 10/30600 LV5836Begich +22
Rasmussen10/28 - 10/28500 LV5244Begich +8
Ivan Moore Res.10/17 - 10/19500 LV4645Begich +1

All Alaska Senate Polling Data

Race Summary

Sen. Ted Stevens has never won re-election with less than 66% of the vote. If he is fortunate enough to win this year, it will likely be with far less than that. The six-term senator, who had been under federal investigation for at least a year, was indicted July 29 on seven felony counts of making false statements on his Senate financial disclosure forms. On Oct. 27, he was convicted on all 7 counts, all but crushing his re-election hopes.

After winning the seven-candidate August 26 primary with 64% of the vote, Stevens faces Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich, a candidate Democrats feel is a credible and competent challenger to Stevens\'s throne. Stevens has been a senator almost as long as Alaska\'s been a state, and voters love the pork he\'s brought home -- just see how many structures in the state have his name on them.

National Republicans might have felt better about this race had Stevens declined to run for re-election. Still, Alaska has voted Republican for president in 11 of the 12 years its had a vote, and Democratic statewide candidates regularly begin with an uphill challenge. Stevens\' conviction, however, makes this seat all but gone.

Previous Election Results

Senate
2004: L. Murkowski (R) 49, Knowles (D) 46
2002: Stevens (R) 78, Vondersaar (D) 11
1998: F. Murkowski (R) 74, Sonneman (D) 20
1996: Stevens (R) 77, Whittaker (G) 13

President
2004: Bush (R) 61, Kerry (D) 36
2000: Bush (R) 59, Gore (D) 28
1996: Dole (R) 51, Clinton (D) 33

Demographics

Population (2007 est.): 683,478
Registered Voters: Dem 68,170 | Rep 118,267 | Other 292,899
Occupation: Blue Collar 22.4% | White Collar 60.5% | Gray Collar 17.1%
Race: White 67.6% | Native Am. 15.4% | Hispanic 4.1% | Asian 3.9%

Polling Data

PollDateSampleBegich (D)Stevens (R)Spread
Final Results----47.846.5Begich +1.3
RCP Average10/17 - 10/30--52.041.7Begich +10.3
Research 200010/28 - 10/30600 LV5836Begich +22
Rasmussen10/28 - 10/28500 LV5244Begich +8
Ivan Moore Res.10/17 - 10/19500 LV4645Begich +1
Research 200010/14 - 10/16600 LV4846Begich +2
Rasmussen10/6 - 10/6500 LV4849Stevens +1
Ivan Moore Res.10/3 - 10/6500 LV4945Begich +4
Ivan Moore Res.9/20 - 9/22500 LV4846Begich +2
Fairleigh Dickinson9/17 - 9/21601 LV4743Begich +4
Research 20009/15 - 9/17600 LV5044Begich +6
Rasmussen9/9 - 9/9500 LV4846Begich +2
Ivan Moore Res.8/30 - 9/2500 LV4946Begich +3
Rasmussen7/30 - 7/30500 LV5037Begich +13
Rasmussen7/17 - 7/17500 LV5244Begich +8
Research 20007/14 - 7/16600 LV4745Begich +2
Rasmussen6/16 - 6/16500 LV4446Stevens +2
Rasmussen5/14 - 5/14500 LV4745Begich +2
Research 20005/12 - 5/14600 LV4843Begich +5
Rasmussen4/7 - 4/7500 LV4546Stevens +1
Research 200012/3 - 12/6600 LV4741Begich +6