News & Election Videos

Pennsylvania: McCain vs. Obama

2008: PA-3, PA-10, PA-11 | 2006: Sen, Gov, PA-4, PA-6, PA-7, PA-8, PA-10 | 2004: President

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEMcCain (R)Obama (D)Spread
Final Results------44.254.5Obama +10.3
RCP Average10/27 - 11/3----43.751.0Obama +7.3
Reuters/Zogby10/31 - 11/3682 LV4.14151Obama +10
SurveyUSA10/31 - 11/3657 LV3.94352Obama +9
Morning Call10/29 - 11/2617 LV4.04652Obama +6
Quinnipiac10/27 - 11/21493 LV2.54252Obama +10
Rasmussen11/1 - 11/1700 LV4.04652Obama +6
ARG10/29 - 10/31600 LV4.04551Obama +6
NBC/Mason-Dixon10/27 - 10/28625 LV4.04347Obama +4

All Pennsylvania: McCain vs. Obama Polling Data

RCP Poll Average
Pennsylvania: McCain vs. Obama
43.7McCain (R)
51.0Obama (D)+7.3

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEMcCain (R)Obama (D)Spread
Final Results------44.254.5Obama +10.3
RCP Average10/27 - 11/3----43.751.0Obama +7.3
Reuters/Zogby10/31 - 11/3682 LV4.14151Obama +10
SurveyUSA10/31 - 11/3657 LV3.94352Obama +9
PPP (D)10/31 - 11/21529 LV2.54553Obama +8
Strategic Vision (R)10/31 - 11/21200 LV3.04451Obama +7
Morning Call10/29 - 11/2617 LV4.04652Obama +6
Quinnipiac10/27 - 11/21493 LV2.54252Obama +10
Rasmussen11/1 - 11/1700 LV4.04652Obama +6
ARG10/29 - 10/31600 LV4.04551Obama +6
SurveyUSA10/29 - 10/31700 LV3.84451Obama +7
Strategic Vision (R)10/27 - 10/291200 LV3.04449Obama +5
NBC/Mason-Dixon10/27 - 10/28625 LV4.04347Obama +4
CNN/Time10/23 - 10/28768 LV3.54355Obama +12
Rasmussen10/27 - 10/27500 LV4.54653Obama +7
Marist10/26 - 10/27713 LV4.04155Obama +14
InAdv/PollPosition10/26 - 10/26588 LV3.84251Obama +9
Associated Press/GfK10/22 - 10/26607 LV4.04052Obama +12
Quinnipiac10/22 - 10/261364 LV2.74153Obama +12
Franklin & Marshall10/21 - 10/26LV4.24053Obama +13
Temple Univ.10/20 - 10/26761 LV3.64150Obama +9
Morning Call10/19 - 10/23608 LV4.04052Obama +12
SurveyUSA10/21 - 10/22620 LV4.04153Obama +12
Strategic Vision (R)10/20 - 10/221200 LV3.04350Obama +7
Big10 Battleground10/19 - 10/22566 LV4.24152Obama +11
Quinnipiac10/16 - 10/211425 LV2.64053Obama +13
Morning Call10/16 - 10/20600 LV4.04153Obama +12
National Journal/FD10/16 - 10/20412 RV4.94151Obama +10
Susquehanna10/16 - 10/18700 LV3.74048Obama +8
Morning Call10/10 - 10/14584 LV4.03852Obama +14
SurveyUSA10/11 - 10/13516 LV4.44055Obama +15
Marist10/5 - 10/8757 LV3.54153Obama +12
Strategic Vision (R)10/5 - 10/71200 LV3.04054Obama +14
Rasmussen10/6 - 10/6700 LV4.04154Obama +13
SurveyUSA10/5 - 10/6653 LV3.94055Obama +15
Morning Call9/26 - 9/30598 LV4.04148Obama +7
Quinnipiac9/27 - 9/29832 LV3.43954Obama +15
FOX News/Rasmussen9/28 - 9/28500 LV4.54250Obama +8
Franklin & Marshall9/23 - 9/28767 RV3.53845Obama +7
Morning Call9/21 - 9/25577 LV4.54347Obama +4
Rasmussen9/24 - 9/24500 LV4.04549Obama +4
SurveyUSA9/23 - 9/241094 LV3.04450Obama +6
CNN/Time9/21 - 9/23730 LV3.54453Obama +9
Strategic Vision (R)9/21 - 9/231200 LV3.04647Obama +1
National Journal/FD9/18 - 9/22406 RV4.94143Obama +2
FOX News/Rasmussen9/21 - 9/21500 LV4.54548Obama +3
NBC/Mason-Dixon9/16 - 9/18625 LV4.04446Obama +2
Big10 Battleground9/14 - 9/17600 RV4.04545Tie
Marist9/11 - 9/15535 LV3.54449Obama +5
FOX News/Rasmussen9/14 - 9/14500 LV4.54747Tie
Quinnipiac9/5 - 9/91001 LV3.14548Obama +3
FOX News/Rasmussen9/7 - 9/7500 LV4.54547Obama +2
Strategic Vision (R)9/5 - 9/71200 LV3.04547Obama +2
CNN/Time8/24 - 8/26669 RV4.04348Obama +5
Quinnipiac8/17 - 8/241234 LV2.84249Obama +7
Rasmussen8/19 - 8/19700 LV4.04548Obama +3
Susquehanna8/11 - 8/14700 LV--4146Obama +5
Franklin & Marshall8/4 - 8/9370 LV--4146Obama +5
Quinnipiac7/23 - 7/291317 LV2.74249Obama +7
Strategic Vision (R)7/25 - 7/271200 LV3.04049Obama +9
Rasmussen7/23 - 7/23700 LV4.04551Obama +6
Rasmussen6/22 - 6/221000 LV3.04246Obama +4
Franklin & Marshall6/16 - 6/221501 RV2.53642Obama +6
Quinnipiac6/9 - 6/161511 LV2.54052Obama +12
Rasmussen5/21 - 5/21500 LV--4345Obama +2
Quinnipiac5/13 - 5/201667 RV2.44046Obama +6
SurveyUSA5/16 - 5/18600 RV--4048Obama +8
Susquehanna5/1 - 5/6800 LV--3946Obama +7
Quinnipiac4/23 - 4/291494 RV--3847Obama +9
Rasmussen4/24 - 4/24500 LV--4443McCain +1
Strategic Vision (R)4/11 - 4/131200 LV--4939McCain +10
Rasmussen4/9 - 4/9500 LV--3947Obama +8
Temple Univ.3/27 - 4/91175 RV--4047Obama +7
Strategic Vision (R)3/28 - 3/311200 LV--4742McCain +5
Quinnipiac3/24 - 3/313484 RV--3943Obama +4
Rasmussen3/10 - 3/10500 LV--4443McCain +1
Susquehanna3/5 - 3/10700 RV--4541McCain +4
Strategic Vision (R)3/7 - 3/91,200 LV--4744McCain +3
SurveyUSA2/26 - 2/28608 RV--4742McCain +5
Quinnipiac2/21 - 2/251872 RV--4042Obama +2
Franklin & Marshall2/13 - 2/18640 RV--4443McCain +1
Morning Call2/9 - 2/17588 RV--4239McCain +3
Rasmussen2/14 - 2/14500 LV--3949Obama +10
Quinnipiac2/6 - 2/121419 LV--4142Obama +1
Quinnipiac10/1 - 10/8878 RV--4145Obama +4
Keystone Poll8/24 - 9/2232 RV--4247Obama +5
Quinnipiac8/14 - 8/201160 RV--4043Obama +3
Keystone Poll5/29 - 6/7RV --4337McCain +6
Morning Call5/15 - 5/21416 RV--3936McCain +3
Keystone Poll2/19 - 2/25540 RV--4337McCain +6

All Commentary & News Stories

- Veep Choice Must Be Test-Marketed - Quin Hillyer, American Spectator

- Running-Mate Math: Dems Need Strickland - George Will, Washington Post

- The Dems' Surrogate Circus - John Mercurio, National Journal

- Why is Obama's Pastor in the News? - Josh Marshall, Talking Points Memo

- Can McCain Paint Blue States Red? - Jonathan Martin, The Politico

- Don't Discount Clinton's Strength in Ohio - John Fortier, The Politico

- Michelle Obama: Alienated in the U.S.A. - Evan Thomas, Newsweek

- The Dems' Iraq Paralysis - Abe Greenwald, Contentions

- Talent, Not Race, Explains Obama's Success - Joe Klein, Time

- Obama's Pastor Problem - Brian Ross, Good Morning America

- The Party Won't Overrule Obama Delegate Win - Peter Brown, Politico

- Why the Democrats Won't Fracture - Mort Kondracke, Roll Call

- Spitzer and the Law Are At Fault - The Economist

- It's the War Economy, Stupid! - The Nation

- Obama's Minister of Hate - New York Post

- Wright and Ferraro Are Just Distractions - Chicago Tribune

- NRCC Audits Forged, Nearly $1M Missing - Reid Wilson, RealClearPolitics

- Obama's Iraq Inconsistencies - Michael Gerson, Washington Post

- Do Voters Want a More Isolationist Foreign Policy? - Andrew Kohut, NYT

- What Will Happen With Florida? - Jay Cost, RealClearPolitics

- Don't Discount Clinton's Strength in Ohio - John Fortier, The Politico

- Obama and the Minister - Ronald Kessler, Wall Street Journal

- Hillary's New Conservative Friends - Steve Kornacki, New York Observer

- Monsters & Racists & Sexists, Oh My! - Kathleen Parker, RealClearPolitics

- Adventures In Identity Politics - Charles Krauthammer, Washington Post

- Is Clinton Making Obama Unelectable? - Jonathan Chait, The New Republic

- The Risks and Rewards of Obama - Ronald Brownstein, National Journal

- What Will Obama Cost the Nation? - Ross Kaminsky, Human Events

- Someone's Going to Feel Cheated - Gloria Borger, US News & World Report

- Dems Can't Stay Silent on Iraq - Arianna Huffington, Huffington Post

- Why McCain Might Win - Michael Hirsh, Newsweek

- The SNL Effect - Howard Kurtz, Washington Post

- The Democrats' Veep Calculus - Kimberley Strassel, Wall Street Journal

- Why McCain Should Pick Jindal - James Lucier, American Spectator

- Addressing the Wright Problem - Ross Douthat, The Atlantic

- McCain on His Record, Tax Cuts & Immigration - Hannity & Colmes

- Democrats Need to Stop This Silliness - James Carville, Financial Times

- Playing by Obama's Rules - Pat Buchanan, Pittsburgh Tribune-Review

- Sorry, Hillary: You've Crossed the Line - Charles Pluckhahn, Seattle Times

- The Pastor Questions Aren't Going Away - Victor Davis Hanson, NRO

- Is Obama's Explanation Good Enough? - Noam Scheiber, New Republic

- On My Faith and My Church - Senator Barack Obama, Huffington Post

- How McCain Turned It Around - Chris Jones, Esquire

- Obama: I Trusted Rezko - David Jackson, Chicago Tribune

- The Keys to Pennsylvania - Terry Madonna & Michael Young, RCP

- Infighting Risks Dems' Key Voters - David Shribman, Pitt Post-Gazette

- For Progressives, A Sea-Change Election? - Robert Borosage, The Nation

- The Conservative Case for McCain - Gov. Mark Sanford, Wall Street Journal

- Why McCain Might Win - Michael Hirsh, Newsweek

- This is Why Hillary is Staying in the Race - John Podhoretz, Contentions

- The Pastor Story Behind the Story - Mike Allen, The Politico

- Controversial Minister Leaves Obama Campaign - Alex Johnson, MSNBC

- Democrats Might Not Need Florida - Adam Smith, St. Petersburg Times

- Obama Opens Up on Rezko - John Kass, Chicago Tribune

- Like Patton, McCain Wants to Win - Jeff Jacoby, Boston Globe

- The Deep Blue Divide - Julia Baird, Newsweek

- Dems Enter WWI Phase - Jonathan Martin and Mike Allen, The Politico

- McCain's Free Ride Will Cost Dems in Fall - Drew Westen, The New Republic

- Time to Buy Hillary Clinton - John McIntyre, RealClearPolitics

- Don't Bet Against a Clinton/Obama Ticket - Clive Crook, Financial Times

- Dems Risk Losing a Generation With Clinton - Ron Dzwonkowski, Detroit FP

- Generation Obama? Perhaps Not. - William Kristol, New York Times

- Has The Media Been Fair to Obama's Church? - Lisa Miller, Newsweek

- Pastor Calls Into Question Obama's Judgment - Peter Wehner, Nat'l Review

- The Dangers of Pitting Race Against Gender - Gary Younge, The Guardian

- White Male Vote Will Be Critical for Dems - Dan Balz, Washington Post

- The Growing Democratic Racial Divide - Robert Novak, Chicago Sun-Times

- The Fiscal Nightmare of 2009 - Marc Ambinder, The Atlantic

- Obama: How Does He Respond? - Mark Murray, NBC News

- White Suspicion, Black 'Luck' - Gregory Rodriguez, Los Angeles Times

- The Iraq Question McCain Must Answer - Peter Feaver, Weekly Standard

- Church Accuses Media of 'Crucifixion' - L. Lerer & M. Allen, The Politico

- Pastor's Remarks Spark Debate - Thomas Edsall, Huffington Post

- Obama's Campaign Has Been Fatally Damaged - Paul Burka, Texas Monthly

- Ready to End the War in Iraq - Senator Hillary Clinton, GW University

- Obama, Kristol & Newsmax - Michael Crowley, The New Republic

- Dems Need to Resolve Race Sooner Rather Than Later - Mike Cohen, WSJ

- What Do the Democrats Do Now? - Jennifer Rubin, Contentions

- Attacks on Obama, Wright are Ludicrous - Charles Coulter, Kansas City Star

- Beyond the Noise on Free Trade - Gregory Mankiw, New York Times

- Economic Chaos, Political Consequences - Nicholas von Hoffman, Nation

- Obama Walks Arrogance Line - Ron Fournier, Associated Press

- Pelosi's Not-So-Secret Support for Obama - Steve Kornacki, NY Observer

- Comparing Falwell and Wright is Silly - Ross Douthat, The Atlantic

- The Clinton Civil War - Markos Moulitsas, DailyKos

- The Problem with Obama's Explanation - Michael Medved, Townhall

- Obama in Cross Hairs for Pastor Remarks - Tapper & Rucci, ABC News

- The Wright Question - Washington Post

- How Much Danger Are Democrats In? - John Dickerson, Slate

- Clinton's Hopes for Florida Fade - Mark Halperin, Time

- Obama's Rationale for Bid in Jeopardy Over Wright - Tom Bevan, RCP

- Why Obama Can't Escape His Preacher - James Kirchick, The Politico

- Obama Right For Keeping the Faith - Rick Daugherty, PA Morning Call

- The Obama Bargain - Shelby Steele, Wall Street Journal

- On Wright, What Took Obama So Long? - Richard Cohen, Washington Post

- Eloquent Speech Masks the Real Issue - John Podhoretz, Contentions

- Speech Fine , Not Gen. Election - Tom Maguire, JustOneMinute

- Obama is Asking Voters to Excuse Jeremiah Wright - Stanley Kurtz, NRO

- An Honest, Honorable Candidate - Alan Wolfe, The New Republic

- Obama's Speech Was Brilliant, But... - Michael Crowley, The New Republic