News & Election Videos

New Jersey: McCain vs. Obama

2008: Senate, NJ-3, NJ-7 | 2006: Senate | 2004: President

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEMcCain (R)Obama (D)Spread
Final Results------41.757.3Obama +15.6
RCP Average10/26 - 11/2----39.054.5Obama +15.5
Rasmussen11/2 - 11/2500 LV4.54257Obama +15
Monmouth/Gannett10/29 - 10/31801 LV3.53455Obama +21
SurveyUSA10/29 - 10/30632 LV4.04252Obama +10
Research 200010/26 - 10/28600 LV4.03854Obama +16

All New Jersey: McCain vs. Obama Polling Data

RCP Poll Average
New Jersey: McCain vs. Obama
39.0McCain (R)
54.5Obama (D)+15.5

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEMcCain (R)Obama (D)Spread
Final Results------41.757.3Obama +15.6
RCP Average10/26 - 11/2----39.054.5Obama +15.5
Rasmussen11/2 - 11/2500 LV4.54257Obama +15
Monmouth/Gannett10/29 - 10/31801 LV3.53455Obama +21
SurveyUSA10/29 - 10/30632 LV4.04252Obama +10
Fairleigh Dickinson10/23 - 10/29852 LV3.53553Obama +18
Research 200010/26 - 10/28600 LV4.03854Obama +16
Strategic Vision (R)10/24 - 10/26800 LV3.03853Obama +15
Marist10/20 - 10/21628 LV4.03956Obama +17
Quinnipiac10/16 - 10/191184 LV2.93659Obama +23
Monmouth/Gannett10/15 - 10/18723 LV3.73855Obama +17
SurveyUSA10/11 - 10/12551 LV4.24055Obama +15
Rasmussen10/7 - 10/7500 LV4.54250Obama +8
Fairleigh Dickinson9/29 - 10/5790 LV3.53750Obama +13
SurveyUSA9/27 - 9/28611 LV4.04252Obama +10
Strategic Vision (R)9/26 - 9/28800 LV3.03948Obama +9
Rasmussen9/16 - 9/16500 LV--4255Obama +13
Strategic Vision (R)9/14 - 9/16800 LV3.04347Obama +4
Monmouth/Gannett9/11 - 9/14589 LV4.04149Obama +8
Quinnipiac9/10 - 9/141187 LV--4548Obama +3
Research 20009/9 - 9/11600 LV4.04150Obama +9
Marist9/5 - 9/8805 RV3.54548Obama +3
Fairleigh Dickinson9/4 - 9/7872 LV3.54147Obama +6
Quinnipiac8/4 - 8/101468 LV--4151Obama +10
Rasmussen8/4 - 8/4500 LV4.54252Obama +10
Monmouth/Gannett7/17 - 7/21698 LV3.73650Obama +14
Strategic Vision (R)7/11 - 7/13800 LV3.03847Obama +9
Rasmussen7/7 - 7/7500 LV--4447Obama +3
Fairleigh Dickinson6/17 - 6/23702 RV--3349Obama +16
Quinnipiac6/5 - 6/81473 LV2.63945Obama +6
Rasmussen6/4 - 6/4500 LV--3948Obama +9
Monmouth/Gannett4/24 - 4/28720 RV--3256Obama +24
Fairleigh Dickinson3/24 - 3/30800 RV--4247Obama +5
Rasmussen3/27 - 3/27500 LV--4645McCain +1
SurveyUSA2/26 - 2/28627 RV--4343Tie
Rasmussen2/27 - 2/27500 LV--4543McCain +2
Fairleigh Dickinson2/18 - 2/24795 RV--3843Obama +5
Quinnipiac2/13 - 2/181803 LV--3946Obama +7
Quinnipiac9/18 - 9/231230 RV--4144Obama +3
Quinnipiac6/26 - 7/21604 RV--4044Obama +4
Quinnipiac4/10 - 4/161424 RV--4143Obama +2
Quinnipiac2/20 - 2/251302 RV--4145Obama +4

All Commentary & News Stories

- Veep Choice Must Be Test-Marketed - Quin Hillyer, American Spectator

- Running-Mate Math: Dems Need Strickland - George Will, Washington Post

- The Dems' Surrogate Circus - John Mercurio, National Journal

- Why is Obama's Pastor in the News? - Josh Marshall, Talking Points Memo

- Can McCain Paint Blue States Red? - Jonathan Martin, The Politico

- Don't Discount Clinton's Strength in Ohio - John Fortier, The Politico

- Michelle Obama: Alienated in the U.S.A. - Evan Thomas, Newsweek

- The Dems' Iraq Paralysis - Abe Greenwald, Contentions

- Talent, Not Race, Explains Obama's Success - Joe Klein, Time

- Obama's Pastor Problem - Brian Ross, Good Morning America

- The Party Won't Overrule Obama Delegate Win - Peter Brown, Politico

- Why the Democrats Won't Fracture - Mort Kondracke, Roll Call

- Spitzer and the Law Are At Fault - The Economist

- It's the War Economy, Stupid! - The Nation

- Obama's Minister of Hate - New York Post

- Wright and Ferraro Are Just Distractions - Chicago Tribune

- NRCC Audits Forged, Nearly $1M Missing - Reid Wilson, RealClearPolitics

- Obama's Iraq Inconsistencies - Michael Gerson, Washington Post

- Do Voters Want a More Isolationist Foreign Policy? - Andrew Kohut, NYT

- What Will Happen With Florida? - Jay Cost, RealClearPolitics

- Don't Discount Clinton's Strength in Ohio - John Fortier, The Politico

- Obama and the Minister - Ronald Kessler, Wall Street Journal

- Hillary's New Conservative Friends - Steve Kornacki, New York Observer

- Monsters & Racists & Sexists, Oh My! - Kathleen Parker, RealClearPolitics

- Adventures In Identity Politics - Charles Krauthammer, Washington Post

- Is Clinton Making Obama Unelectable? - Jonathan Chait, The New Republic

- The Risks and Rewards of Obama - Ronald Brownstein, National Journal

- What Will Obama Cost the Nation? - Ross Kaminsky, Human Events

- Someone's Going to Feel Cheated - Gloria Borger, US News & World Report

- Dems Can't Stay Silent on Iraq - Arianna Huffington, Huffington Post

- Why McCain Might Win - Michael Hirsh, Newsweek

- The SNL Effect - Howard Kurtz, Washington Post

- The Democrats' Veep Calculus - Kimberley Strassel, Wall Street Journal

- Why McCain Should Pick Jindal - James Lucier, American Spectator

- Addressing the Wright Problem - Ross Douthat, The Atlantic

- McCain on His Record, Tax Cuts & Immigration - Hannity & Colmes

- Democrats Need to Stop This Silliness - James Carville, Financial Times

- Playing by Obama's Rules - Pat Buchanan, Pittsburgh Tribune-Review

- Sorry, Hillary: You've Crossed the Line - Charles Pluckhahn, Seattle Times

- The Pastor Questions Aren't Going Away - Victor Davis Hanson, NRO

- Is Obama's Explanation Good Enough? - Noam Scheiber, New Republic

- On My Faith and My Church - Senator Barack Obama, Huffington Post

- How McCain Turned It Around - Chris Jones, Esquire

- Obama: I Trusted Rezko - David Jackson, Chicago Tribune

- The Keys to Pennsylvania - Terry Madonna & Michael Young, RCP

- Infighting Risks Dems' Key Voters - David Shribman, Pitt Post-Gazette

- For Progressives, A Sea-Change Election? - Robert Borosage, The Nation

- The Conservative Case for McCain - Gov. Mark Sanford, Wall Street Journal

- Why McCain Might Win - Michael Hirsh, Newsweek

- This is Why Hillary is Staying in the Race - John Podhoretz, Contentions

- The Pastor Story Behind the Story - Mike Allen, The Politico

- Controversial Minister Leaves Obama Campaign - Alex Johnson, MSNBC

- Democrats Might Not Need Florida - Adam Smith, St. Petersburg Times

- Obama Opens Up on Rezko - John Kass, Chicago Tribune

- Like Patton, McCain Wants to Win - Jeff Jacoby, Boston Globe

- The Deep Blue Divide - Julia Baird, Newsweek

- Dems Enter WWI Phase - Jonathan Martin and Mike Allen, The Politico

- McCain's Free Ride Will Cost Dems in Fall - Drew Westen, The New Republic

- Time to Buy Hillary Clinton - John McIntyre, RealClearPolitics

- Don't Bet Against a Clinton/Obama Ticket - Clive Crook, Financial Times

- Dems Risk Losing a Generation With Clinton - Ron Dzwonkowski, Detroit FP

- Generation Obama? Perhaps Not. - William Kristol, New York Times

- Has The Media Been Fair to Obama's Church? - Lisa Miller, Newsweek

- Pastor Calls Into Question Obama's Judgment - Peter Wehner, Nat'l Review

- The Dangers of Pitting Race Against Gender - Gary Younge, The Guardian

- White Male Vote Will Be Critical for Dems - Dan Balz, Washington Post

- The Growing Democratic Racial Divide - Robert Novak, Chicago Sun-Times

- The Fiscal Nightmare of 2009 - Marc Ambinder, The Atlantic

- Obama: How Does He Respond? - Mark Murray, NBC News

- White Suspicion, Black 'Luck' - Gregory Rodriguez, Los Angeles Times

- The Iraq Question McCain Must Answer - Peter Feaver, Weekly Standard

- Church Accuses Media of 'Crucifixion' - L. Lerer & M. Allen, The Politico

- Pastor's Remarks Spark Debate - Thomas Edsall, Huffington Post

- Obama's Campaign Has Been Fatally Damaged - Paul Burka, Texas Monthly

- Ready to End the War in Iraq - Senator Hillary Clinton, GW University

- Obama, Kristol & Newsmax - Michael Crowley, The New Republic

- Dems Need to Resolve Race Sooner Rather Than Later - Mike Cohen, WSJ

- What Do the Democrats Do Now? - Jennifer Rubin, Contentions

- Attacks on Obama, Wright are Ludicrous - Charles Coulter, Kansas City Star

- Beyond the Noise on Free Trade - Gregory Mankiw, New York Times

- Economic Chaos, Political Consequences - Nicholas von Hoffman, Nation

- Obama Walks Arrogance Line - Ron Fournier, Associated Press

- Pelosi's Not-So-Secret Support for Obama - Steve Kornacki, NY Observer

- Comparing Falwell and Wright is Silly - Ross Douthat, The Atlantic

- The Clinton Civil War - Markos Moulitsas, DailyKos

- The Problem with Obama's Explanation - Michael Medved, Townhall

- Obama in Cross Hairs for Pastor Remarks - Tapper & Rucci, ABC News

- The Wright Question - Washington Post

- How Much Danger Are Democrats In? - John Dickerson, Slate

- Clinton's Hopes for Florida Fade - Mark Halperin, Time

- Obama's Rationale for Bid in Jeopardy Over Wright - Tom Bevan, RCP

- Why Obama Can't Escape His Preacher - James Kirchick, The Politico

- Obama Right For Keeping the Faith - Rick Daugherty, PA Morning Call

- The Obama Bargain - Shelby Steele, Wall Street Journal

- On Wright, What Took Obama So Long? - Richard Cohen, Washington Post

- Eloquent Speech Masks the Real Issue - John Podhoretz, Contentions

- Speech Fine , Not Gen. Election - Tom Maguire, JustOneMinute

- Obama is Asking Voters to Excuse Jeremiah Wright - Stanley Kurtz, NRO

- An Honest, Honorable Candidate - Alan Wolfe, The New Republic

- Obama's Speech Was Brilliant, But... - Michael Crowley, The New Republic