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Iowa Republican Caucus

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Thursday, January 3  |  Delegates at Stake: 41

Polling Data

PollDate
Huckabee
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Paul
Giuliani
Spread
Final Results--34.413.025.213.49.93.4Huckabee +9.2
RCP Average12/26 - 1/229.711.826.711.77.36.0Huckabee +3.0
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group12/31 - 1/22924111368Huckabee +5
Reuters/CSpan/ZogbyReuters/CSpan/Zogby12/30 - 1/231251011106Huckabee +6
InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdvantage1/1 - 1/13024111175Huckabee +6
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)12/28 - 12/302830161344Romney +2
Des Moines RegisterDes Moines Register12/27 - 12/30322613995Huckabee +6
CNNCNN12/26 - 12/302831101388Romney +3

All Iowa Republican Caucus Polling Data

RCP Poll Average
Iowa Republican Caucus
29.7
Huckabee +3.0
11.8
McCain
26.7
Romney
11.7
Thompson
7.3
Paul
6.0
Giuliani
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Polling Data

PollDate
Huckabee
McCain
Romney
Thompson
Paul
Giuliani
Spread
Final Results--34.413.025.213.49.93.4Huckabee +9.2
RCP Average12/26 - 1/229.711.826.711.77.36.0Huckabee +3.0
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group12/31 - 1/22924111368Huckabee +5
Reuters/CSpan/ZogbyReuters/CSpan/Zogby12/30 - 1/231251011106Huckabee +6
InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdvantage1/1 - 1/13024111175Huckabee +6
Reuters/CSpan/ZogbyReuters/CSpan/Zogby12/29 - 1/12826121297Huckabee +2
Reuters/CSpan/ZogbyReuters/CSpan/Zogby12/28 - 12/312925121078Huckabee +4
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)12/28 - 12/302830161344Romney +2
Des Moines RegisterDes Moines Register12/27 - 12/30322613995Huckabee +6
Reuters/CSpan/ZogbyReuters/CSpan/Zogby12/27 - 12/30292713877Huckabee +2
CNNCNN12/26 - 12/302831101388Romney +3
Reuters/CSpan/ZogbyReuters/CSpan/Zogby12/26 - 12/29292811888Huckabee +1
Mason-DixonMason-Dixon12/26 - 12/282327131455Romney +4
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group12/26 - 12/28233211766Romney +9
Quad City TimesQuad City Times12/26 - 12/27342781188Huckabee +7
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)12/26 - 12/272927141544Huckabee +2
LA Times/BloombergLA Times/Bloomberg12/20 - 12/26362881018Huckabee +8
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group12/20 - 12/2323211731014Huckabee +2
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group12/16 - 12/192817205413Huckabee +8
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)12/16 - 12/18312581656Huckabee +6
CNNCNN12/14 - 12/18332599611Huckabee +8
RasmussenRasmussen12/17 - 12/17282714868Huckabee +1
InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdvantage12/16 - 12/17252871165Romney +3
ABC/Wash PostABC/Wash Post12/13 - 12/1735276988Huckabee +8
Quad City TimesQuad City Times12/10 - 12/1331227979Huckabee +9
Hotline/FDHotline/FD12/7 - 12/12362358512Huckabee +13
RasmussenRasmussen12/10 - 12/1039236858Huckabee +16
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)12/8 - 12/103025513410Huckabee +5
NewsweekNewsweek12/5 - 12/6391761089Huckabee +22
Mason-DixonMason-Dixon12/3 - 12/6322071125Huckabee +12
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)11/30 - 12/22724611513Huckabee +3
ZogbyZogby11/29 - 12/1252658512Romney +1
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group11/26 - 11/29272891439Romney +1
Des Moines RegisterDes Moines Register11/25 - 11/28292479713Huckabee +5
RasmussenRasmussen11/26 - 11/272825411512Huckabee +3
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)11/23 - 11/252426710514Romney +2
AP-PewAP-Pew11/7 - 11/252425512514Romney +1
ABC/Wash PostABC/Wash Post11/14 - 11/182428615613Romney +4
Iowa StateIowa State11/6 - 11/18222589316Romney +3
Research 2000Research 200011/12 - 11/141827610516Romney +9
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group11/10 - 11/1424261011311Romney +2
RasmussenRasmussen11/12 - 11/121629614415Romney +13
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)11/9 - 11/121930711512Romney +11
CBS News/NY TimesCBS News/NY Times11/2 - 11/12212749415Romney +6
ZogbyZogby11/6 - 11/71531810411Romney +16
ARGARG10/26 - 10/291927148116Romney +8
Univ. of IowaUniv. of Iowa10/17 - 10/241336611--13Romney +23
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)10/12 - 10/141227510413Romney +14
RasmussenRasmussen10/10 - 10/141825619--13Romney +6
Des Moines RegisterDes Moines Register10/1 - 10/31229718411Romney +11
Insider AdvantageInsider Advantage10/2 - 10/213241013416Romney +8
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group9/26 - 9/294221116121Romney +1
NewsweekNewsweek9/26 - 9/271224916513Romney +8
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)9/21 - 9/23830613317Romney +13
LA Times/BloombergLA Times/Bloomberg9/6 - 9/10828716216Romney +12
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group8/26 - 8/291427513117Romney +10
McLaughlin (R)McLaughlin (R)8/20 - 8/211135711112Romney +23
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)8/17 - 8/19831815--13Romney +16
ZogbyZogby8/17 - 8/18833612--14Romney +19
Univ. of IowaUniv. of Iowa7/29 - 8/532737--11Romney +16
ABC News/Wash PostABC News/Wash Post7/26 - 7/31826813--14Romney +12
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group7/26 - 7/301211713--22Giuliani +1
Research 2000Research 20007/23 - 7/252251014--13Romney +11
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group6/26 - 6/301251314--18Romney +7
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)6/22 - 6/245231017--14Romney +6
Mason-DixonMason-Dixon6/13 - 6/16725617--15Romney +8
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group5/24 - 5/27--16256--23McCain +2
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)5/18 - 5/20--201610--18Romney +2
Research 2000Research 20005/14 - 5/16--16189--17McCain +1
Des Moines RegisterDes Moines Register5/12 - 5/16--3018----17Romney +12
ZogbyZogby5/14 - 5/15--19189--18Romney +1
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group4/27 - 4/30--142613--19McCain +7
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)3/30 - 4/1--82011--25Giuliani +5
Univ. of IowaUniv. of Iowa3/19 - 3/31--17215--20McCain +1
ZogbyZogby3/28 - 3/28--11197--25Giuliani +6
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group3/19 - 3/22--102912--29Tie
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)2/16 - 2/18--922----29Giuliani +7
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group1/29 - 2/1--1122----27Giuliani +5
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)1/19 - 1/21--821----25Giuliani +4
ZogbyZogby1/15 - 1/16--517----19Giuliani +2
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group12/19 - 12/23--626----28Giuliani +2
Research 2000Research 200012/18 - 12/20--927----26McCain +1

All Commentary & News Stories

- Veep Choice Must Be Test-Marketed - Quin Hillyer, American Spectator

- Running-Mate Math: Dems Need Strickland - George Will, Washington Post

- The Dems' Surrogate Circus - John Mercurio, National Journal

- Why is Obama's Pastor in the News? - Josh Marshall, Talking Points Memo

- Can McCain Paint Blue States Red? - Jonathan Martin, The Politico

- Don't Discount Clinton's Strength in Ohio - John Fortier, The Politico

- Michelle Obama: Alienated in the U.S.A. - Evan Thomas, Newsweek

- The Dems' Iraq Paralysis - Abe Greenwald, Contentions

- Talent, Not Race, Explains Obama's Success - Joe Klein, Time

- Obama's Pastor Problem - Brian Ross, Good Morning America

- The Party Won't Overrule Obama Delegate Win - Peter Brown, Politico

- Why the Democrats Won't Fracture - Mort Kondracke, Roll Call

- Spitzer and the Law Are At Fault - The Economist

- It's the War Economy, Stupid! - The Nation

- Obama's Minister of Hate - New York Post

- Wright and Ferraro Are Just Distractions - Chicago Tribune

- NRCC Audits Forged, Nearly $1M Missing - Reid Wilson, RealClearPolitics

- Obama's Iraq Inconsistencies - Michael Gerson, Washington Post

- Do Voters Want a More Isolationist Foreign Policy? - Andrew Kohut, NYT

- What Will Happen With Florida? - Jay Cost, RealClearPolitics

- Don't Discount Clinton's Strength in Ohio - John Fortier, The Politico

- Obama and the Minister - Ronald Kessler, Wall Street Journal

- Hillary's New Conservative Friends - Steve Kornacki, New York Observer

- Monsters & Racists & Sexists, Oh My! - Kathleen Parker, RealClearPolitics

- Adventures In Identity Politics - Charles Krauthammer, Washington Post

- Is Clinton Making Obama Unelectable? - Jonathan Chait, The New Republic

- The Risks and Rewards of Obama - Ronald Brownstein, National Journal

- What Will Obama Cost the Nation? - Ross Kaminsky, Human Events

- Someone's Going to Feel Cheated - Gloria Borger, US News & World Report

- Dems Can't Stay Silent on Iraq - Arianna Huffington, Huffington Post

- Why McCain Might Win - Michael Hirsh, Newsweek

- The SNL Effect - Howard Kurtz, Washington Post

- The Democrats' Veep Calculus - Kimberley Strassel, Wall Street Journal

- Why McCain Should Pick Jindal - James Lucier, American Spectator

- Addressing the Wright Problem - Ross Douthat, The Atlantic

- McCain on His Record, Tax Cuts & Immigration - Hannity & Colmes

- Democrats Need to Stop This Silliness - James Carville, Financial Times

- Playing by Obama's Rules - Pat Buchanan, Pittsburgh Tribune-Review

- Sorry, Hillary: You've Crossed the Line - Charles Pluckhahn, Seattle Times

- The Pastor Questions Aren't Going Away - Victor Davis Hanson, NRO

- Is Obama's Explanation Good Enough? - Noam Scheiber, New Republic

- On My Faith and My Church - Senator Barack Obama, Huffington Post

- How McCain Turned It Around - Chris Jones, Esquire

- Obama: I Trusted Rezko - David Jackson, Chicago Tribune

- The Keys to Pennsylvania - Terry Madonna & Michael Young, RCP

- Infighting Risks Dems' Key Voters - David Shribman, Pitt Post-Gazette

- For Progressives, A Sea-Change Election? - Robert Borosage, The Nation

- The Conservative Case for McCain - Gov. Mark Sanford, Wall Street Journal

- Why McCain Might Win - Michael Hirsh, Newsweek

- This is Why Hillary is Staying in the Race - John Podhoretz, Contentions

- The Pastor Story Behind the Story - Mike Allen, The Politico

- Controversial Minister Leaves Obama Campaign - Alex Johnson, MSNBC

- Democrats Might Not Need Florida - Adam Smith, St. Petersburg Times

- Obama Opens Up on Rezko - John Kass, Chicago Tribune

- Like Patton, McCain Wants to Win - Jeff Jacoby, Boston Globe

- The Deep Blue Divide - Julia Baird, Newsweek

- Dems Enter WWI Phase - Jonathan Martin and Mike Allen, The Politico

- McCain's Free Ride Will Cost Dems in Fall - Drew Westen, The New Republic

- Time to Buy Hillary Clinton - John McIntyre, RealClearPolitics

- Don't Bet Against a Clinton/Obama Ticket - Clive Crook, Financial Times

- Dems Risk Losing a Generation With Clinton - Ron Dzwonkowski, Detroit FP

- Generation Obama? Perhaps Not. - William Kristol, New York Times

- Has The Media Been Fair to Obama's Church? - Lisa Miller, Newsweek

- Pastor Calls Into Question Obama's Judgment - Peter Wehner, Nat'l Review

- The Dangers of Pitting Race Against Gender - Gary Younge, The Guardian

- White Male Vote Will Be Critical for Dems - Dan Balz, Washington Post

- The Growing Democratic Racial Divide - Robert Novak, Chicago Sun-Times

- The Fiscal Nightmare of 2009 - Marc Ambinder, The Atlantic

- Obama: How Does He Respond? - Mark Murray, NBC News

- White Suspicion, Black 'Luck' - Gregory Rodriguez, Los Angeles Times

- The Iraq Question McCain Must Answer - Peter Feaver, Weekly Standard

- Church Accuses Media of 'Crucifixion' - L. Lerer & M. Allen, The Politico

- Pastor's Remarks Spark Debate - Thomas Edsall, Huffington Post

- Obama's Campaign Has Been Fatally Damaged - Paul Burka, Texas Monthly

- Ready to End the War in Iraq - Senator Hillary Clinton, GW University

- Obama, Kristol & Newsmax - Michael Crowley, The New Republic

- Dems Need to Resolve Race Sooner Rather Than Later - Mike Cohen, WSJ

- What Do the Democrats Do Now? - Jennifer Rubin, Contentions

- Attacks on Obama, Wright are Ludicrous - Charles Coulter, Kansas City Star

- Beyond the Noise on Free Trade - Gregory Mankiw, New York Times

- Economic Chaos, Political Consequences - Nicholas von Hoffman, Nation

- Obama Walks Arrogance Line - Ron Fournier, Associated Press

- Pelosi's Not-So-Secret Support for Obama - Steve Kornacki, NY Observer

- Comparing Falwell and Wright is Silly - Ross Douthat, The Atlantic

- The Clinton Civil War - Markos Moulitsas, DailyKos

- The Problem with Obama's Explanation - Michael Medved, Townhall

- Obama in Cross Hairs for Pastor Remarks - Tapper & Rucci, ABC News

- The Wright Question - Washington Post

- How Much Danger Are Democrats In? - John Dickerson, Slate

- Clinton's Hopes for Florida Fade - Mark Halperin, Time

- Obama's Rationale for Bid in Jeopardy Over Wright - Tom Bevan, RCP

- Why Obama Can't Escape His Preacher - James Kirchick, The Politico

- Obama Right For Keeping the Faith - Rick Daugherty, PA Morning Call

- The Obama Bargain - Shelby Steele, Wall Street Journal

- On Wright, What Took Obama So Long? - Richard Cohen, Washington Post

- Eloquent Speech Masks the Real Issue - John Podhoretz, Contentions

- Speech Fine , Not Gen. Election - Tom Maguire, JustOneMinute

- Obama is Asking Voters to Excuse Jeremiah Wright - Stanley Kurtz, NRO

- An Honest, Honorable Candidate - Alan Wolfe, The New Republic

- Obama's Speech Was Brilliant, But... - Michael Crowley, The New Republic