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Iowa Democratic Caucus

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Thursday, January 3 | Delegates at Stake: 45

Polling Data

PollDateSample
Clinton
Edwards
Obama
Biden
Richardson
Spread
Final Results----29.429.737.50.92.1Obama +7.8
RCP Average12/26 - 1/2--29.226.030.85.45.2Obama +1.6
InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdvantage1/2 - 1/2415 LV323334----Obama +1
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group12/31 - 1/2600 LV34212586Clinton +9
Reuters/CSpan/ZogbyReuters/CSpan/Zogby12/30 - 1/2905 LV24273157Obama +4
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)12/28 - 12/30600 LV27293252Obama +3
Des Moines RegisterDes Moines Register12/27 - 12/30800 LV25243246Obama +7
CNNCNN12/26 - 12/30482 LV33223155Clinton +2

All Iowa Democratic Caucus Polling Data

RCP Poll Average
Iowa Democratic Caucus
29.2
Clinton
26.0
Edwards
30.8
Obama +1.6
5.4
Biden
5.2
Richardson
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Polling Data

PollDateSample
Clinton
Edwards
Obama
Biden
Richardson
Spread
Final Results----29.429.737.50.92.1Obama +7.8
RCP Average12/26 - 1/2--29.226.030.85.45.2Obama +1.6
InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdvantage1/2 - 1/2415 LV323334----Obama +1
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group12/31 - 1/2600 LV34212586Clinton +9
Reuters/CSpan/ZogbyReuters/CSpan/Zogby12/30 - 1/2905 LV24273157Obama +4
Reuters/CSpan/ZogbyReuters/CSpan/Zogby12/29 - 1/1933 LV28262847Tie
Reuters/CSpan/ZogbyReuters/CSpan/Zogby12/28 - 12/31925 LV30252655Clinton +4
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)12/28 - 12/30600 LV27293252Obama +3
Des Moines RegisterDes Moines Register12/27 - 12/30800 LV25243246Obama +7
Reuters/CSpan/ZogbyReuters/CSpan/Zogby12/27 - 12/30899 LV30262655Clinton +4
CNNCNN12/26 - 12/30482 LV33223155Clinton +2
Insider AdvantageInsider Advantage12/28 - 12/29788 LV302922----Clinton +1
Reuters/CSpan/ZogbyReuters/CSpan/Zogby12/26 - 12/29934 LV31242755Clinton +4
Mason-DixonMason-Dixon12/26 - 12/28400 LV232422812Edwards +1
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group12/26 - 12/28600 LV31242455Clinton +7
Quad City TimesQuad City Times12/26 - 12/27500 LV28292937Tie
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)12/26 - 12/27600 LV29283052Obama +1
LA Times/BloombergLA Times/Bloomberg12/20 - 12/26389 LV31252267Clinton +6
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group12/20 - 12/23600 LV34201985Clinton +14
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group12/16 - 12/19600 LV29182587Clinton +4
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)12/16 - 12/18600 LV27273053Obama +3
CNNCNN12/14 - 12/18543 LV30262837Clinton +2
RasmussenRasmussen12/17 - 12/17775 LV31222759Clinton +4
InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdvantage12/16 - 12/17633 HLV242627----Obama +1
ABC/Wash PostABC/Wash Post12/13 - 12/17652 LV29203348Obama +4
Quad City TimesQuad City Times12/10 - 12/13500 LV24243339Obama +9
Hotline/FDHotline/FD12/7 - 12/12569 LV27222758Tie
RasmussenRasmussen12/10 - 12/101106 LV29222657Clinton +3
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)12/8 - 12/10600 LV25243344Obama +8
NewsweekNewsweek12/5 - 12/6395 LV29183549Obama +6
Mason-DixonMason-Dixon12/3 - 12/6400 LV27212559Clinton +2
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)11/30 - 12/2600 LV25253253Obama +7
ZogbyZogby11/29 - 12/1514 LV27212458Clinton +3
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group11/26 - 11/29600 LV25232784Obama +2
Des Moines RegisterDes Moines Register11/25 - 11/28500 LV25232869Obama +3
RasmussenRasmussen11/26 - 11/271156 LV272425410Clinton +2
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)11/23 - 11/25600 LV29232946Tie
AP-PewAP-Pew11/7 - 11/25460 LV311926210Clinton +5
ABC/Wash PostABC/Wash Post11/14 - 11/18500 LV262230411Obama +4
Iowa StateIowa State11/6 - 11/18LV 312420411Clinton +7
Research 2000Research 200011/12 - 11/14400 LV272125410Clinton +2
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group11/10 - 11/14600 LV272021512Clinton +6
RasmussenRasmussen11/12 - 11/121239 LV292524310Clinton +4
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)11/9 - 11/12600 LV29202757Clinton +2
CBS News/NY TimesCBS News/NY Times11/2 - 11/12319 LV252322412Clinton +2
ZogbyZogby11/6 - 11/6502 LV28212539Clinton +3
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group10/26 - 10/29600 LV32152257Clinton +10
Univ. of IowaUniv. of Iowa10/17 - 10/24306 LV29202757Clinton +2
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)10/12 - 10/14600 LV28202369Clinton +5
RasmussenRasmussen10/10 - 10/141007 LV33222147Clinton +11
Des Moines RegisterDes Moines Register10/1 - 10/3399 LV29232258Clinton +6
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group9/26 - 9/29600 LV301924310Clinton +6
NewsweekNewsweek9/26 - 9/27LV 242228310Obama +4
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)9/21 - 9/23LV 242221413Clinton +2
LA Times/BloombergLA Times/Bloomberg9/6 - 9/10462 LV282319210Clinton +5
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group8/26 - 8/29600 LV282023113Clinton +5
TimeTime8/22 - 8/25519 LV242922511Edwards +5
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)8/17 - 8/19600 LV212322514Edwards +1
ZogbyZogby8/17 - 8/18503 LV302319310Clinton +7
Univ. of IowaUniv. of Iowa7/29 - 8/5425 LV272222--9Clinton +5
Hart Research (D)Hart Research (D)8/2 - 8/3509 LV223018513Edwards +8
ABC News/Wash PostABC News/Wash Post7/26 - 7/31500 LV262627211Obama +1
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group7/26 - 7/30600 LV302115313Clinton +9
Research 2000Research 20007/23 - 7/25400 LV222716311Edwards +5
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group6/26 - 6/30600 LV32291325Clinton +3
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)6/22 - 6/24600 LV202621411Edwards +5
Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Assoc (D)Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Assoc (D)6/18 - 6/20500 LV243417313Edwards +10
Mason-DixonMason-Dixon6/13 - 6/16400 LV22211846Clinton +1
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group5/23 - 5/26600 LV31251138Clinton +6
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)5/18 - 5/20600 LV16292439Edwards +5
Research 2000Research 20005/14 - 5/16400 LV28262227Clinton +2
Des Moines RegisterDes Moines Register5/12 - 5/16400 LV212923310Edwards +6
ZogbyZogby5/14 - 5/15511 LV24262246Edwards +2
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group4/27 - 4/30600 LV23271965Edwards +4
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)3/30 - 4/1600 LV19272044Edwards +7
Univ. of IowaUniv. of Iowa3/19 - 3/31298 LV293419----Edwards +5
ZogbyZogby3/26 - 3/26506 LV25272333Edwards +2
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group3/19 - 3/22600 LV34331621Clinton +1
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)2/16 - 2/18600 LV18241853Edwards +6
ZogbyZogby2/7 - 2/9500 LV2424184--Tie
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group1/29 - 2/1600 LV35181421Clinton +17
Strategic Vision (R)Strategic Vision (R)1/19 - 1/21600 LV15251741Edwards +8
ZogbyZogby1/15 - 1/16596 LV16271731Edwards +10
American Res. GroupAmerican Res. Group12/19 - 12/23600 LV31201021Clinton +11
Research 2000Research 200012/18 - 12/20400 LV10222211Tie
Harstad Strategic Res. (D)Harstad Strategic Res. (D)10/12 - 10/19602 A1636135--Edwards +20

All Commentary & News Stories

- Veep Choice Must Be Test-Marketed - Quin Hillyer, American Spectator

- Running-Mate Math: Dems Need Strickland - George Will, Washington Post

- The Dems' Surrogate Circus - John Mercurio, National Journal

- Why is Obama's Pastor in the News? - Josh Marshall, Talking Points Memo

- Can McCain Paint Blue States Red? - Jonathan Martin, The Politico

- Don't Discount Clinton's Strength in Ohio - John Fortier, The Politico

- Michelle Obama: Alienated in the U.S.A. - Evan Thomas, Newsweek

- The Dems' Iraq Paralysis - Abe Greenwald, Contentions

- Talent, Not Race, Explains Obama's Success - Joe Klein, Time

- Obama's Pastor Problem - Brian Ross, Good Morning America

- The Party Won't Overrule Obama Delegate Win - Peter Brown, Politico

- Why the Democrats Won't Fracture - Mort Kondracke, Roll Call

- Spitzer and the Law Are At Fault - The Economist

- It's the War Economy, Stupid! - The Nation

- Obama's Minister of Hate - New York Post

- Wright and Ferraro Are Just Distractions - Chicago Tribune

- NRCC Audits Forged, Nearly $1M Missing - Reid Wilson, RealClearPolitics

- Obama's Iraq Inconsistencies - Michael Gerson, Washington Post

- Do Voters Want a More Isolationist Foreign Policy? - Andrew Kohut, NYT

- What Will Happen With Florida? - Jay Cost, RealClearPolitics

- Don't Discount Clinton's Strength in Ohio - John Fortier, The Politico

- Obama and the Minister - Ronald Kessler, Wall Street Journal

- Hillary's New Conservative Friends - Steve Kornacki, New York Observer

- Monsters & Racists & Sexists, Oh My! - Kathleen Parker, RealClearPolitics

- Adventures In Identity Politics - Charles Krauthammer, Washington Post

- Is Clinton Making Obama Unelectable? - Jonathan Chait, The New Republic

- The Risks and Rewards of Obama - Ronald Brownstein, National Journal

- What Will Obama Cost the Nation? - Ross Kaminsky, Human Events

- Someone's Going to Feel Cheated - Gloria Borger, US News & World Report

- Dems Can't Stay Silent on Iraq - Arianna Huffington, Huffington Post

- Why McCain Might Win - Michael Hirsh, Newsweek

- The SNL Effect - Howard Kurtz, Washington Post

- The Democrats' Veep Calculus - Kimberley Strassel, Wall Street Journal

- Why McCain Should Pick Jindal - James Lucier, American Spectator

- Addressing the Wright Problem - Ross Douthat, The Atlantic

- McCain on His Record, Tax Cuts & Immigration - Hannity & Colmes

- Democrats Need to Stop This Silliness - James Carville, Financial Times

- Playing by Obama's Rules - Pat Buchanan, Pittsburgh Tribune-Review

- Sorry, Hillary: You've Crossed the Line - Charles Pluckhahn, Seattle Times

- The Pastor Questions Aren't Going Away - Victor Davis Hanson, NRO

- Is Obama's Explanation Good Enough? - Noam Scheiber, New Republic

- On My Faith and My Church - Senator Barack Obama, Huffington Post

- How McCain Turned It Around - Chris Jones, Esquire

- Obama: I Trusted Rezko - David Jackson, Chicago Tribune

- The Keys to Pennsylvania - Terry Madonna & Michael Young, RCP

- Infighting Risks Dems' Key Voters - David Shribman, Pitt Post-Gazette

- For Progressives, A Sea-Change Election? - Robert Borosage, The Nation

- The Conservative Case for McCain - Gov. Mark Sanford, Wall Street Journal

- Why McCain Might Win - Michael Hirsh, Newsweek

- This is Why Hillary is Staying in the Race - John Podhoretz, Contentions

- The Pastor Story Behind the Story - Mike Allen, The Politico

- Controversial Minister Leaves Obama Campaign - Alex Johnson, MSNBC

- Democrats Might Not Need Florida - Adam Smith, St. Petersburg Times

- Obama Opens Up on Rezko - John Kass, Chicago Tribune

- Like Patton, McCain Wants to Win - Jeff Jacoby, Boston Globe

- The Deep Blue Divide - Julia Baird, Newsweek

- Dems Enter WWI Phase - Jonathan Martin and Mike Allen, The Politico

- McCain's Free Ride Will Cost Dems in Fall - Drew Westen, The New Republic

- Time to Buy Hillary Clinton - John McIntyre, RealClearPolitics

- Don't Bet Against a Clinton/Obama Ticket - Clive Crook, Financial Times

- Dems Risk Losing a Generation With Clinton - Ron Dzwonkowski, Detroit FP

- Generation Obama? Perhaps Not. - William Kristol, New York Times

- Has The Media Been Fair to Obama's Church? - Lisa Miller, Newsweek

- Pastor Calls Into Question Obama's Judgment - Peter Wehner, Nat'l Review

- The Dangers of Pitting Race Against Gender - Gary Younge, The Guardian

- White Male Vote Will Be Critical for Dems - Dan Balz, Washington Post

- The Growing Democratic Racial Divide - Robert Novak, Chicago Sun-Times

- The Fiscal Nightmare of 2009 - Marc Ambinder, The Atlantic

- Obama: How Does He Respond? - Mark Murray, NBC News

- White Suspicion, Black 'Luck' - Gregory Rodriguez, Los Angeles Times

- The Iraq Question McCain Must Answer - Peter Feaver, Weekly Standard

- Church Accuses Media of 'Crucifixion' - L. Lerer & M. Allen, The Politico

- Pastor's Remarks Spark Debate - Thomas Edsall, Huffington Post

- Obama's Campaign Has Been Fatally Damaged - Paul Burka, Texas Monthly

- Ready to End the War in Iraq - Senator Hillary Clinton, GW University

- Obama, Kristol & Newsmax - Michael Crowley, The New Republic

- Dems Need to Resolve Race Sooner Rather Than Later - Mike Cohen, WSJ

- What Do the Democrats Do Now? - Jennifer Rubin, Contentions

- Attacks on Obama, Wright are Ludicrous - Charles Coulter, Kansas City Star

- Beyond the Noise on Free Trade - Gregory Mankiw, New York Times

- Economic Chaos, Political Consequences - Nicholas von Hoffman, Nation

- Obama Walks Arrogance Line - Ron Fournier, Associated Press

- Pelosi's Not-So-Secret Support for Obama - Steve Kornacki, NY Observer

- Comparing Falwell and Wright is Silly - Ross Douthat, The Atlantic

- The Clinton Civil War - Markos Moulitsas, DailyKos

- The Problem with Obama's Explanation - Michael Medved, Townhall

- Obama in Cross Hairs for Pastor Remarks - Tapper & Rucci, ABC News

- The Wright Question - Washington Post

- How Much Danger Are Democrats In? - John Dickerson, Slate

- Clinton's Hopes for Florida Fade - Mark Halperin, Time

- Obama's Rationale for Bid in Jeopardy Over Wright - Tom Bevan, RCP

- Why Obama Can't Escape His Preacher - James Kirchick, The Politico

- Obama Right For Keeping the Faith - Rick Daugherty, PA Morning Call

- The Obama Bargain - Shelby Steele, Wall Street Journal

- On Wright, What Took Obama So Long? - Richard Cohen, Washington Post

- Eloquent Speech Masks the Real Issue - John Podhoretz, Contentions

- Speech Fine , Not Gen. Election - Tom Maguire, JustOneMinute

- Obama is Asking Voters to Excuse Jeremiah Wright - Stanley Kurtz, NRO

- An Honest, Honorable Candidate - Alan Wolfe, The New Republic

- Obama's Speech Was Brilliant, But... - Michael Crowley, The New Republic