News & Election Videos

Florida: McCain vs. Obama

2008: FL-8, FL-16, FL-21, FL-24, FL-25 | 2006: Gov, FL-13, FL-16, FL-22 | 2004: President, Senate

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEMcCain (R)Obama (D)Spread
Final Results------48.251.0Obama +2.8
RCP Average10/27 - 11/3----47.249.0Obama +1.8
Reuters/Zogby10/31 - 11/3678 LV4.14849Obama +1
SurveyUSA10/31 - 11/3691 LV3.84750Obama +3
FOX News/Rasmussen11/2 - 11/21000 LV3.05049McCain +1
Quinnipiac10/27 - 11/21773 LV2.34547Obama +2
ARG10/29 - 10/31600 LV4.04650Obama +4
Mason-Dixon10/29 - 10/30625 LV4.04749Obama +2

All Florida: McCain vs. Obama Polling Data

RCP Poll Average
Florida: McCain vs. Obama
47.2McCain (R)
49.0Obama (D)+1.8

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEMcCain (R)Obama (D)Spread
Final Results------48.251.0Obama +2.8
RCP Average10/27 - 11/3----47.249.0Obama +1.8
Reuters/Zogby10/31 - 11/3678 LV4.14849Obama +1
SurveyUSA10/31 - 11/3691 LV3.84750Obama +3
FOX News/Rasmussen11/2 - 11/21000 LV3.05049McCain +1
PPP (D)10/31 - 11/21717 LV2.44850Obama +2
Strategic Vision (R)10/31 - 11/21200 LV3.04749Obama +2
Quinnipiac10/27 - 11/21773 LV2.34547Obama +2
ARG10/29 - 10/31600 LV4.04650Obama +4
Mason-Dixon10/29 - 10/30625 LV4.04749Obama +2
CNN/Time10/23 - 10/28747 LV3.54751Obama +4
LA Times/Bloomberg10/25 - 10/27639 LV3.04350Obama +7
National Journal/FD10/23 - 10/27402 RV4.94448Obama +4
FOX News/Rasmussen10/26 - 10/261000 LV3.04751Obama +4
Suffolk10/23 - 10/26600 LV--4449Obama +5
Reuters/Zogby10/23 - 10/26603 LV4.14747Tie
Quinnipiac10/22 - 10/261435 LV2.64547Obama +2
Associated Press/GfK10/22 - 10/26600 LV4.04345Obama +2
Politico/InAdv10/22 - 10/22562 LV5.04748Obama +1
St. Petersburg Times10/20 - 10/22800 LV3.54249Obama +7
Strategic Vision (R)10/20 - 10/221200 LV3.04846McCain +2
NBC/Mason-Dixon10/20 - 10/21625 LV4.04645McCain +1
Quinnipiac10/16 - 10/211433 LV2.64449Obama +5
FOX News/Rasmussen10/19 - 10/191000 LV3.04948McCain +1
PPP (D)10/16 - 10/191158 LV2.94748Obama +1
SurveyUSA10/16 - 10/16553 LV4.34947McCain +2
Research 200010/13 - 10/15600 LV4.04549Obama +4
CNN/Time10/11 - 10/14765 LV3.54651Obama +5
InAdv/PollPosition10/13 - 10/13612 LV3.84448Obama +4
FOX News/Rasmussen10/12 - 10/121000 LV3.04651Obama +5
Rasmussen10/8 - 10/8700 LV4.04750Obama +3
Strategic Vision (R)10/6 - 10/81200 LV3.04452Obama +8
Research 200010/6 - 10/8600 LV4.04449Obama +5
Mason-Dixon10/4 - 10/6625 LV4.04648Obama +2
FOX News/Rasmussen10/5 - 10/51000 LV3.04552Obama +7
Florida Chamber (R)9/30 - 10/1619 RV4.04542McCain +3
InAdv/PollPosition9/30 - 9/30532 LV4.04649Obama +3
CNN/Time9/28 - 9/30770 LV3.54751Obama +4
Suffolk/WSVN9/27 - 9/30600 LV--4246Obama +4
Quinnipiac9/27 - 9/29836 LV3.44351Obama +8
FOX News/Rasmussen9/28 - 9/28500 LV4.54747Tie
SurveyUSA9/27 - 9/28599 LV4.14847McCain +1
PPP (D)9/27 - 9/28941 LV3.24649Obama +3
Rasmussen9/24 - 9/24700 LV4.04847McCain +1
Strategic Vision (R)9/21 - 9/231200 LV3.54845McCain +3
FOX News/Rasmussen9/21 - 9/21500 LV4.55146McCain +5
NBC/Mason-Dixon9/16 - 9/18625 LV4.04547Obama +2
Sun-Sentinel/R20009/15 - 9/18600 LV4.04645McCain +1
SurveyUSA9/16 - 9/17707 LV3.85145McCain +6
Miami Herald/SP Times9/14 - 9/17800 LV3.54745McCain +2
CNN/Time9/14 - 9/16907 RV3.54848Tie
National Journal/FD9/11 - 9/15400 RV4.94444Tie
FOX News/Rasmussen9/14 - 9/14500 LV4.54944McCain +5
InAdv/PollPosition9/10 - 9/10511 LV4.35042McCain +8
Quinnipiac9/5 - 9/91032 LV2.75043McCain +7
FOX News/Rasmussen9/7 - 9/7500 LV4.54848Tie
PPP (D)9/6 - 9/7986 LV3.15045McCain +5
Mason-Dixon8/25 - 8/26625 LV--4445Obama +1
Strategic Vision (R)8/22 - 8/241200 LV3.04942McCain +7
Quinnipiac8/17 - 8/241069 LV--4743McCain +4
Kitchens Group (D)8/18 - 8/21605 LV--4239McCain +3
Rasmussen8/18 - 8/18700 LV4.54846McCain +2
InAdv/PollPosition8/11 - 8/11418 LV5.04844McCain +4
SurveyUSA8/1 - 8/3679 LV--5044McCain +6
PPP (D)7/30 - 8/2800 LV--4744McCain +3
Quinnipiac7/23 - 7/291238 LV2.84446Obama +2
McLaughlin (R)7/20 - 7/281600 LV--4540McCain +5
Rasmussen7/22 - 7/22500 LV--4749Obama +2
Strategic Vision (R)6/27 - 6/291200 LV--4941McCain +8
PPP (D)6/26 - 6/29723 LV--4446Obama +2
Rasmussen6/26 - 6/26500 LV--4841McCain +7
Rasmussen6/18 - 6/18500 LV--4739McCain +8
ARG*6/13 - 6/17600 LV--4449Obama +5
Quinnipiac6/9 - 6/161453 LV2.64347Obama +4
Quinnipiac5/13 - 5/201419 RV2.64541McCain +4
Rasmussen5/19 - 5/19500 LV--5040McCain +10
Quinnipiac4/23 - 4/291411 RV--4443McCain +1
Rasmussen4/10 - 4/10500 LV--5338McCain +15
Quinnipiac3/24 - 3/311136 RV--4637McCain +9
PPP (D)3/15 - 3/16618 LV--5039McCain +11
Rasmussen3/12 - 3/12500 LV--4743McCain +4
SurveyUSA2/26 - 2/28632 RV--4745McCain +2
Mason-Dixon2/21 - 2/24625 RV--4737McCain +10
Rasmussen2/16 - 2/16500 LV--5337McCain +16
Quinnipiac2/6 - 2/121009 LV--4139McCain +2
St. Petersburg Times11/4 - 11/7800 RV--4745McCain +2
Quinnipiac10/17 - 10/221025 RV--4242Tie
Quinnipiac10/1 - 10/8869 RV--4139McCain +2
Quinnipiac9/3 - 9/91141 RV--4239McCain +3

All Commentary & News Stories

- Veep Choice Must Be Test-Marketed - Quin Hillyer, American Spectator

- Running-Mate Math: Dems Need Strickland - George Will, Washington Post

- The Dems' Surrogate Circus - John Mercurio, National Journal

- Why is Obama's Pastor in the News? - Josh Marshall, Talking Points Memo

- Can McCain Paint Blue States Red? - Jonathan Martin, The Politico

- Don't Discount Clinton's Strength in Ohio - John Fortier, The Politico

- Michelle Obama: Alienated in the U.S.A. - Evan Thomas, Newsweek

- The Dems' Iraq Paralysis - Abe Greenwald, Contentions

- Talent, Not Race, Explains Obama's Success - Joe Klein, Time

- Obama's Pastor Problem - Brian Ross, Good Morning America

- The Party Won't Overrule Obama Delegate Win - Peter Brown, Politico

- Why the Democrats Won't Fracture - Mort Kondracke, Roll Call

- Spitzer and the Law Are At Fault - The Economist

- It's the War Economy, Stupid! - The Nation

- Obama's Minister of Hate - New York Post

- Wright and Ferraro Are Just Distractions - Chicago Tribune

- NRCC Audits Forged, Nearly $1M Missing - Reid Wilson, RealClearPolitics

- Obama's Iraq Inconsistencies - Michael Gerson, Washington Post

- Do Voters Want a More Isolationist Foreign Policy? - Andrew Kohut, NYT

- What Will Happen With Florida? - Jay Cost, RealClearPolitics

- Don't Discount Clinton's Strength in Ohio - John Fortier, The Politico

- Obama and the Minister - Ronald Kessler, Wall Street Journal

- Hillary's New Conservative Friends - Steve Kornacki, New York Observer

- Monsters & Racists & Sexists, Oh My! - Kathleen Parker, RealClearPolitics

- Adventures In Identity Politics - Charles Krauthammer, Washington Post

- Is Clinton Making Obama Unelectable? - Jonathan Chait, The New Republic

- The Risks and Rewards of Obama - Ronald Brownstein, National Journal

- What Will Obama Cost the Nation? - Ross Kaminsky, Human Events

- Someone's Going to Feel Cheated - Gloria Borger, US News & World Report

- Dems Can't Stay Silent on Iraq - Arianna Huffington, Huffington Post

- Why McCain Might Win - Michael Hirsh, Newsweek

- The SNL Effect - Howard Kurtz, Washington Post

- The Democrats' Veep Calculus - Kimberley Strassel, Wall Street Journal

- Why McCain Should Pick Jindal - James Lucier, American Spectator

- Addressing the Wright Problem - Ross Douthat, The Atlantic

- McCain on His Record, Tax Cuts & Immigration - Hannity & Colmes

- Democrats Need to Stop This Silliness - James Carville, Financial Times

- Playing by Obama's Rules - Pat Buchanan, Pittsburgh Tribune-Review

- Sorry, Hillary: You've Crossed the Line - Charles Pluckhahn, Seattle Times

- The Pastor Questions Aren't Going Away - Victor Davis Hanson, NRO

- Is Obama's Explanation Good Enough? - Noam Scheiber, New Republic

- On My Faith and My Church - Senator Barack Obama, Huffington Post

- How McCain Turned It Around - Chris Jones, Esquire

- Obama: I Trusted Rezko - David Jackson, Chicago Tribune

- The Keys to Pennsylvania - Terry Madonna & Michael Young, RCP

- Infighting Risks Dems' Key Voters - David Shribman, Pitt Post-Gazette

- For Progressives, A Sea-Change Election? - Robert Borosage, The Nation

- The Conservative Case for McCain - Gov. Mark Sanford, Wall Street Journal

- Why McCain Might Win - Michael Hirsh, Newsweek

- This is Why Hillary is Staying in the Race - John Podhoretz, Contentions

- The Pastor Story Behind the Story - Mike Allen, The Politico

- Controversial Minister Leaves Obama Campaign - Alex Johnson, MSNBC

- Democrats Might Not Need Florida - Adam Smith, St. Petersburg Times

- Obama Opens Up on Rezko - John Kass, Chicago Tribune

- Like Patton, McCain Wants to Win - Jeff Jacoby, Boston Globe

- The Deep Blue Divide - Julia Baird, Newsweek

- Dems Enter WWI Phase - Jonathan Martin and Mike Allen, The Politico

- McCain's Free Ride Will Cost Dems in Fall - Drew Westen, The New Republic

- Time to Buy Hillary Clinton - John McIntyre, RealClearPolitics

- Don't Bet Against a Clinton/Obama Ticket - Clive Crook, Financial Times

- Dems Risk Losing a Generation With Clinton - Ron Dzwonkowski, Detroit FP

- Generation Obama? Perhaps Not. - William Kristol, New York Times

- Has The Media Been Fair to Obama's Church? - Lisa Miller, Newsweek

- Pastor Calls Into Question Obama's Judgment - Peter Wehner, Nat'l Review

- The Dangers of Pitting Race Against Gender - Gary Younge, The Guardian

- White Male Vote Will Be Critical for Dems - Dan Balz, Washington Post

- The Growing Democratic Racial Divide - Robert Novak, Chicago Sun-Times

- The Fiscal Nightmare of 2009 - Marc Ambinder, The Atlantic

- Obama: How Does He Respond? - Mark Murray, NBC News

- White Suspicion, Black 'Luck' - Gregory Rodriguez, Los Angeles Times

- The Iraq Question McCain Must Answer - Peter Feaver, Weekly Standard

- Church Accuses Media of 'Crucifixion' - L. Lerer & M. Allen, The Politico

- Pastor's Remarks Spark Debate - Thomas Edsall, Huffington Post

- Obama's Campaign Has Been Fatally Damaged - Paul Burka, Texas Monthly

- Ready to End the War in Iraq - Senator Hillary Clinton, GW University

- Obama, Kristol & Newsmax - Michael Crowley, The New Republic

- Dems Need to Resolve Race Sooner Rather Than Later - Mike Cohen, WSJ

- What Do the Democrats Do Now? - Jennifer Rubin, Contentions

- Attacks on Obama, Wright are Ludicrous - Charles Coulter, Kansas City Star

- Beyond the Noise on Free Trade - Gregory Mankiw, New York Times

- Economic Chaos, Political Consequences - Nicholas von Hoffman, Nation

- Obama Walks Arrogance Line - Ron Fournier, Associated Press

- Pelosi's Not-So-Secret Support for Obama - Steve Kornacki, NY Observer

- Comparing Falwell and Wright is Silly - Ross Douthat, The Atlantic

- The Clinton Civil War - Markos Moulitsas, DailyKos

- The Problem with Obama's Explanation - Michael Medved, Townhall

- Obama in Cross Hairs for Pastor Remarks - Tapper & Rucci, ABC News

- The Wright Question - Washington Post

- How Much Danger Are Democrats In? - John Dickerson, Slate

- Clinton's Hopes for Florida Fade - Mark Halperin, Time

- Obama's Rationale for Bid in Jeopardy Over Wright - Tom Bevan, RCP

- Why Obama Can't Escape His Preacher - James Kirchick, The Politico

- Obama Right For Keeping the Faith - Rick Daugherty, PA Morning Call

- The Obama Bargain - Shelby Steele, Wall Street Journal

- On Wright, What Took Obama So Long? - Richard Cohen, Washington Post

- Eloquent Speech Masks the Real Issue - John Podhoretz, Contentions

- Speech Fine , Not Gen. Election - Tom Maguire, JustOneMinute

- Obama is Asking Voters to Excuse Jeremiah Wright - Stanley Kurtz, NRO

- An Honest, Honorable Candidate - Alan Wolfe, The New Republic

- Obama's Speech Was Brilliant, But... - Michael Crowley, The New Republic