News & Election Videos

California: McCain vs. Obama

2008: CA-4 | 2006: Governor, CA-4, CA-11 

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEMcCain (R)Obama (D)Spread
Final Results------37.061.0Obama +24.0
RCP Average10/18 - 10/31----34.358.7Obama +24.4
SurveyUSA10/29 - 10/31637 LV3.93660Obama +24
Field10/18 - 10/28966 LV3.33355Obama +22
Rasmussen10/25 - 10/25500 LV4.53461Obama +27

All California: McCain vs. Obama Polling Data

RCP Poll Average
California: McCain vs. Obama
34.3McCain (R)
58.7Obama (D)+24.4

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEMcCain (R)Obama (D)Spread
Final Results------37.061.0Obama +24.0
RCP Average10/18 - 10/31----34.358.7Obama +24.4
SurveyUSA10/29 - 10/31637 LV3.93660Obama +24
Field10/18 - 10/28966 LV3.33355Obama +22
Rasmussen10/25 - 10/25500 LV4.53461Obama +27
PPIC10/12 - 10/191186 LV3.03356Obama +23
SurveyUSA10/15 - 10/16615 LV4.03559Obama +24
Rasmussen10/9 - 10/9500 LV--4056Obama +16
SurveyUSA10/4 - 10/5670 LV--3955Obama +16
SurveyUSA9/23 - 9/25661 LV--4353Obama +10
Rasmussen9/22 - 9/22500 LV--3956Obama +17
PPIC9/9 - 9/161157 LV--4050Obama +10
Field9/5 - 9/14830 LV--3652Obama +16
Rasmussen8/21 - 8/21500 LV4.54154Obama +13
PPIC8/12 - 8/191047 LV--3948Obama +9
Rasmussen7/24 - 7/24500 LV4.54252Obama +10
PPIC7/8 - 7/221401 LV--3550Obama +15
Rasmussen6/23 - 6/23500 LV--3058Obama +28
SurveyUSA6/17 - 6/19503 LV--4153Obama +12
Field5/16 - 5/27914 LV3.43552Obama +17
LA Times/KTLA5/20 - 5/21705 RV--4047Obama +7
SurveyUSA5/16 - 5/18600 RV--4149Obama +8
PPIC5/12 - 5/181086 LV--3754Obama +17
Rasmussen4/16 - 4/16500 LV--4350Obama +7
SurveyUSA4/11 - 4/13503 RV--4350Obama +7
PPIC3/11 - 3/181077 LV--4049Obama +9
SurveyUSA3/14 - 3/16489 RV--4054Obama +14
Rasmussen3/12 - 3/12500 LV--3853Obama +15
SurveyUSA2/26 - 2/28593 RV--4051Obama +11
SurveyUSA2/15 - 2/17512 RV--3461Obama +27

All Commentary & News Stories

- Veep Choice Must Be Test-Marketed - Quin Hillyer, American Spectator

- Running-Mate Math: Dems Need Strickland - George Will, Washington Post

- The Dems' Surrogate Circus - John Mercurio, National Journal

- Why is Obama's Pastor in the News? - Josh Marshall, Talking Points Memo

- Can McCain Paint Blue States Red? - Jonathan Martin, The Politico

- Don't Discount Clinton's Strength in Ohio - John Fortier, The Politico

- Michelle Obama: Alienated in the U.S.A. - Evan Thomas, Newsweek

- The Dems' Iraq Paralysis - Abe Greenwald, Contentions

- Talent, Not Race, Explains Obama's Success - Joe Klein, Time

- Obama's Pastor Problem - Brian Ross, Good Morning America

- The Party Won't Overrule Obama Delegate Win - Peter Brown, Politico

- Why the Democrats Won't Fracture - Mort Kondracke, Roll Call

- Spitzer and the Law Are At Fault - The Economist

- It's the War Economy, Stupid! - The Nation

- Obama's Minister of Hate - New York Post

- Wright and Ferraro Are Just Distractions - Chicago Tribune

- NRCC Audits Forged, Nearly $1M Missing - Reid Wilson, RealClearPolitics

- Obama's Iraq Inconsistencies - Michael Gerson, Washington Post

- Do Voters Want a More Isolationist Foreign Policy? - Andrew Kohut, NYT

- What Will Happen With Florida? - Jay Cost, RealClearPolitics

- Don't Discount Clinton's Strength in Ohio - John Fortier, The Politico

- Obama and the Minister - Ronald Kessler, Wall Street Journal

- Hillary's New Conservative Friends - Steve Kornacki, New York Observer

- Monsters & Racists & Sexists, Oh My! - Kathleen Parker, RealClearPolitics

- Adventures In Identity Politics - Charles Krauthammer, Washington Post

- Is Clinton Making Obama Unelectable? - Jonathan Chait, The New Republic

- The Risks and Rewards of Obama - Ronald Brownstein, National Journal

- What Will Obama Cost the Nation? - Ross Kaminsky, Human Events

- Someone's Going to Feel Cheated - Gloria Borger, US News & World Report

- Dems Can't Stay Silent on Iraq - Arianna Huffington, Huffington Post

- Why McCain Might Win - Michael Hirsh, Newsweek

- The SNL Effect - Howard Kurtz, Washington Post

- The Democrats' Veep Calculus - Kimberley Strassel, Wall Street Journal

- Why McCain Should Pick Jindal - James Lucier, American Spectator

- Addressing the Wright Problem - Ross Douthat, The Atlantic

- McCain on His Record, Tax Cuts & Immigration - Hannity & Colmes

- Democrats Need to Stop This Silliness - James Carville, Financial Times

- Playing by Obama's Rules - Pat Buchanan, Pittsburgh Tribune-Review

- Sorry, Hillary: You've Crossed the Line - Charles Pluckhahn, Seattle Times

- The Pastor Questions Aren't Going Away - Victor Davis Hanson, NRO

- Is Obama's Explanation Good Enough? - Noam Scheiber, New Republic

- On My Faith and My Church - Senator Barack Obama, Huffington Post

- How McCain Turned It Around - Chris Jones, Esquire

- Obama: I Trusted Rezko - David Jackson, Chicago Tribune

- The Keys to Pennsylvania - Terry Madonna & Michael Young, RCP

- Infighting Risks Dems' Key Voters - David Shribman, Pitt Post-Gazette

- For Progressives, A Sea-Change Election? - Robert Borosage, The Nation

- The Conservative Case for McCain - Gov. Mark Sanford, Wall Street Journal

- Why McCain Might Win - Michael Hirsh, Newsweek

- This is Why Hillary is Staying in the Race - John Podhoretz, Contentions

- The Pastor Story Behind the Story - Mike Allen, The Politico

- Controversial Minister Leaves Obama Campaign - Alex Johnson, MSNBC

- Democrats Might Not Need Florida - Adam Smith, St. Petersburg Times

- Obama Opens Up on Rezko - John Kass, Chicago Tribune

- Like Patton, McCain Wants to Win - Jeff Jacoby, Boston Globe

- The Deep Blue Divide - Julia Baird, Newsweek

- Dems Enter WWI Phase - Jonathan Martin and Mike Allen, The Politico

- McCain's Free Ride Will Cost Dems in Fall - Drew Westen, The New Republic

- Time to Buy Hillary Clinton - John McIntyre, RealClearPolitics

- Don't Bet Against a Clinton/Obama Ticket - Clive Crook, Financial Times

- Dems Risk Losing a Generation With Clinton - Ron Dzwonkowski, Detroit FP

- Generation Obama? Perhaps Not. - William Kristol, New York Times

- Has The Media Been Fair to Obama's Church? - Lisa Miller, Newsweek

- Pastor Calls Into Question Obama's Judgment - Peter Wehner, Nat'l Review

- The Dangers of Pitting Race Against Gender - Gary Younge, The Guardian

- White Male Vote Will Be Critical for Dems - Dan Balz, Washington Post

- The Growing Democratic Racial Divide - Robert Novak, Chicago Sun-Times

- The Fiscal Nightmare of 2009 - Marc Ambinder, The Atlantic

- Obama: How Does He Respond? - Mark Murray, NBC News

- White Suspicion, Black 'Luck' - Gregory Rodriguez, Los Angeles Times

- The Iraq Question McCain Must Answer - Peter Feaver, Weekly Standard

- Church Accuses Media of 'Crucifixion' - L. Lerer & M. Allen, The Politico

- Pastor's Remarks Spark Debate - Thomas Edsall, Huffington Post

- Obama's Campaign Has Been Fatally Damaged - Paul Burka, Texas Monthly

- Ready to End the War in Iraq - Senator Hillary Clinton, GW University

- Obama, Kristol & Newsmax - Michael Crowley, The New Republic

- Dems Need to Resolve Race Sooner Rather Than Later - Mike Cohen, WSJ

- What Do the Democrats Do Now? - Jennifer Rubin, Contentions

- Attacks on Obama, Wright are Ludicrous - Charles Coulter, Kansas City Star

- Beyond the Noise on Free Trade - Gregory Mankiw, New York Times

- Economic Chaos, Political Consequences - Nicholas von Hoffman, Nation

- Obama Walks Arrogance Line - Ron Fournier, Associated Press

- Pelosi's Not-So-Secret Support for Obama - Steve Kornacki, NY Observer

- Comparing Falwell and Wright is Silly - Ross Douthat, The Atlantic

- The Clinton Civil War - Markos Moulitsas, DailyKos

- The Problem with Obama's Explanation - Michael Medved, Townhall

- Obama in Cross Hairs for Pastor Remarks - Tapper & Rucci, ABC News

- The Wright Question - Washington Post

- How Much Danger Are Democrats In? - John Dickerson, Slate

- Clinton's Hopes for Florida Fade - Mark Halperin, Time

- Obama's Rationale for Bid in Jeopardy Over Wright - Tom Bevan, RCP

- Why Obama Can't Escape His Preacher - James Kirchick, The Politico

- Obama Right For Keeping the Faith - Rick Daugherty, PA Morning Call

- The Obama Bargain - Shelby Steele, Wall Street Journal

- On Wright, What Took Obama So Long? - Richard Cohen, Washington Post

- Eloquent Speech Masks the Real Issue - John Podhoretz, Contentions

- Speech Fine , Not Gen. Election - Tom Maguire, JustOneMinute

- Obama is Asking Voters to Excuse Jeremiah Wright - Stanley Kurtz, NRO

- An Honest, Honorable Candidate - Alan Wolfe, The New Republic

- Obama's Speech Was Brilliant, But... - Michael Crowley, The New Republic