|Poll||Date||Sample||Dahlkemper (D)||English (R)||Spread|
|Daily Kos/R2000||10/6 - 10/8||LV||48||41||Dahlkemper +7|
Rep. Phil English (R) received his lowest winning percentage in 2006 since his first re-election 10 years earlier. He had previously never won less than 60% of the vote. This Erie-based district could flip if voter registration increases in the more Democratic-leaning Erie County. English's opponent, Kathy Dahlkemper (D), is a political neophyte and small-business owner, and appears to be giving English a run for his money. The NRCC is running ads here, so Dahlkemper will need cash to stay competitive.
2006: English (R) 54, Porter (D) 42
2004: English (R) 60, Porter (D) 40
2002: English (R) 78, Benson (G) 22
2004: Bush (R) 53, Kerry (D) 47
2000: Bush (R) 51, Gore (D) 46