|Poll||Date||Sample||Lance (R)||Stender (D)||Spread|
|Monmouth/Gannett||9/30 - 10/2||410 LV||43||39||Lance +4|
President Bush barely won Rep. Mike Ferguson's district, stretching from suburban New York to the Pennsylvania border, and Ferguson came surprisingly close to losing himself. National Democrats are excited for -- and spending money on -- a second run by State Assemblywoman Linda Stender (D), who has outraised State Senator Leonard Lance (R) by a three-to-one margin.
2006: Ferguson (R) 49, Stender (D) 48
2004: Ferguson (R) 57, Brozak (D) 42
2002: Ferguson (R) 58, Carden (D) 41
2004: Bush (R) 53, Kerry (D) 47
2000: Bush (R) 49, Gore (D) 48