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Missouri 9th District

Open Seat (R)


Judy Baker

Judy Baker (D)

Bio | Campaign Site

Blaine Luetkemeyer

Blaine Luetkemeyer (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Missouri Snapshot

RCP House Ranking: Leans GOP

Presidential Race: Obama (D) vs. McCain (R)
Governor: Nixon (D) vs. Hulshof (R)
House Races: MO-6 | MO-9

Key 2006 State Races:

2004 President:
Kerry (D) vs. Bush (R)

Polling Data

PollDateSampleBaker (D)Luetkemeyer (R)Spread
Daily Kos/R200010/20 - 10/22LV4247Luetkemeyer +5
Daily Kos/R20009/17 - 9/18LV4049Luetkemeyer +9
SurveyUSA9/1 - 9/2634 LV3850Luetkemeyer +12

Previous Election Results

2006: Hulshof (R) 61, Burghard (D) 36
2004: Hulshof (R) 65, Jacobsen (D) 34
2002: Hulshof (R) 68, Deichman (D) 29

2004: Bush (R) 59, Kerry (D) 41
2000: Bush (R) 55, Gore (D) 42

Race Summary

This seat became open when Rep. Kenny Huslhof (R) announced he would run for governor rather than for a seventh term. Facing off in the general election is state Rep. Judy Baker (D) and former state tourism dir. Blaine Luetkemeyer (R), who both defeated four opponents in the August 5 primaries.

Two tough primaries produced nominees of fractured parties, but Republicans came out with the more moderate candidate. Luetkemeyer beat out a Club for Growth-backed candidate, while Democratic observers admit Baker was not the most centrist candidate the party could have picked. A poll for Baker's campaign showed her leading right after the primary, but that could change once Luetkemeyer consolidates his base.