One of the harbingers of what could be a mounting Democratic wave could also be one of the shortest-term members of Congress. Rep. Don Cazayoux beat a weak Republican in June, but in November he will face much stronger State Senator Bill Cassidy (R) as well as independent State Rep. Michael Jackson. Jackson, who is African American, will eat significantly into Cazayoux's Democratic base.
2008*: Cazayoux (D) 49, Jenkins (R) 46
2006: Baker (R) 83, Fontanesi (Libertarian) 17
2004: Baker (R) 72, Craig (D) 19
2002: Baker (R) 84, Moscatello (I) 16
2004: Bush (R) 59, Kerry (D) 40
2000: Bush (R) 55, Gore (D) 43