Florida 21st District
Florida Snapshot
RCP House Ranking: Leans GOPPresidential Race: Obama (D) vs. McCain (R)
House Races: FL-8 | FL-16 | FL-21 | FL-24 | FL-25
Key 2006 State Races: Gov | FL-13 | FL-16 | FL-22
2004 President: Kerry (D) vs. Bush (R)
2004 Senate: Castor (D) vs. Martinez (R)
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | L. Diaz-Balart (R) | Martinez (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily Kos/R2000 | 10/20 - 10/23 | LV | 45 | 44 | L. Diaz-Balart +1 |
| Telemundo 51 | 9/27 - 10/1 | 300 RV | 48 | 43 | L. Diaz-Balart +5 |
| SurveyUSA | 8/24 - 8/26 | 632 LV | 46 | 48 | Martinez +2 |
Previous Election Results
House
2006: L. Diaz-Balart (R) 59, Gonzalez (D) 41
2004: L. Diaz-Balart (R) 73, Gonzalez (Libertarian) 27
2002: L. Diaz-Balart (R), unopposed
President
2004: Bush (R) 57, Kerry (D) 43
2000: Bush (R) 58, Gore (D) 42
Race Summary
Rep. Lincoln Diaz-Balart could see a closer race this year as Cuban voters consider Democrats for the first time in years. His opponent, ex-Hialeah Mayor Raul Martinez (D), is a candidate with roots in a Republican part of the district, and he's still got more than $1 million in the bank. But Lincoln's district is more Republican than his brother Mario's district, making Martinez's task all the more difficult.