Nearly a dozen Republicans told the national party they would not run for the seat, while national Democrats settled on former State Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick more than a year ago. With a big financial advantage over mining lobbyist Sydney Hay in a district that is rapidly moving toward Democrats, Kirkpatrick is the odds-on favorite.
2006: Renzi (R) 52, Simon (D) 43
2004: Renzi (R) 59, Babbitt (D) 36
2002: Renzi (R) 49, Cordova (D) 46
2004: Bush (R) 54, Kerry (D) 46
2000: Bush (R) 51, Gore (D) 46