|Poll||Date||Sample||Lee (R)||Markell (D)||Spread|
|SurveyUSA||10/27 - 10/28||657 LV||27||62||Markell +35|
|Rasmussen||10/10 - 10/10||500 LV||34||62||Markell +28|
|West Chester Univ.||10/6 - 10/8||429 LV||30||61||Markell +31|
|Fairleigh Dickinson||9/17 - 9/21||601 LV||27||61||Markell +34|
With Republicans unable to recruit a top-tier candidate, the winner of the September 9 Democratic primary appears likely to win the governorship in November.
That person is State Treas. Jack Markell (D), who defeated Lt. Gov. John Carney (D) in the Democratic primary 51%-49%. The two had been campaigning against each other since June 2007, when Markell decided to run despite calls for deference to Carney, who has served two terms as lieutenant governor under term-limited Gov. Ruth Ann Minner (D). Party leaders asked Markell to run for lieutenant governor instead.
The top GOP recruit, Alan Levin, the former CEO of Happy Harry's drug store chain, dropped his bid in January. The GOP nominee is Retired Superior Court Judge Bill Lee (R), who defeated perennial candidate Mike Protack (R) with 72% of the vote in the GOP primary.
2004: Minner 51, Lee, 46
2000: Minner 59, Burris 40
2004: Kerry 53, Bush 46
2000: Gore 55, Bush 42
1996: Clinton 52, Dole 37