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Minnesota Senate Race

Candidates

Mark Kennedy (R)
Bio | Campaign Site

Amy Klobuchar (D)
Bio | Campaign Site
RealClearPolitics Snapshot
RCP Average: Klobuchar + 16.6% | RCP Chart
RCP Ranking: Leans Democrat
Key State Races: Governor | MN-6

Polling Data
PollDateSampleKennedy (R)Klobuchar (D)Und.Spread
RCP Average10/23 - 11/06-37.454.04.6Klobuchar +16.6
Star Tribune11/05 - 11/06747 LV34557Klobuchar +21.0
SurveyUSA11/03 - 11/05710 LV40561Klobuchar +16.0
Rasmussen11/01 - 11/01500 LV40542Klobuchar +14.0
U. of Minnesota10/23 - 10/28663 LV33558Klobuchar +22.0
Mason-Dixon10/23 - 10/27625 RV40505Klobuchar +10.0
See All Minnesota Senate Race Polling Data
RealClearPolitics Analysis
(October 13) Hard to know what happened here for the Republicans. This is a race on paper that Kennedy should have been able to make competitive, it basically hasn’t been since June. Kennedy’s problems may be a warning sign for Minnesota Republicans in both the Governor’s race and Kennedy’s current House seat MN-6. Both of these races Republicans were felt to have the edge, but current polls indicate toss-ups.
Kennedy’s problems could be foreshadowing a bad night for Minnesota Republicans across the board.
(August 20) Six months ago this race looked like a real opportunity for Republicans to pick up a Democratic seat. However, a quick glance of the polls the last nine months shows Klobuchar pulling away, while the Star-Tribune’s 19 point lead for the Democrat is inflated, Rasmussen Reports most recent poll taken at the beginning of August had Kennedy trailing by double digits for the first time. With anti-Bush sentiment running high and the difficulties in Iraq, Kennedy’s current deficit compels us to move this race into the Leans Democrat column.
Previous Election Results

Senate
2002: Coleman 50, Mondale 47
2000: Dayton 49, Grams 43
1996: Wellstone 50, Boschwitz 41

President
2004: Kerry 51, Bush 48
2000: Gore 48, Bush 46
1996: Clinton 51, Dole 35

Demographics
Occupation: Blue Collar 23.3% | White Collar 62.3% | Gray Collar 14.4%
Race: White 88.2% | Black 3.4% | Hispanic 2.9% | Asian 2.9%

Links for More Information

Money Race: Latest FEC Filings

Blogs: Minnesota Democrats Exposed | DFLSenate | Minnesota Campaign Report | MN Publius | Kennedy v. The Machine | Inside Minnesota Politics | Minnesota Blue | The Wind Beneath the Right Wing | The Klobuchar Chronicle

State Newspaper Coverage: Minneapolis Star Tribune | St. Paul Pioneer Press

State Parties:
MN GOP | MN DFL

Recent Commentary & News Stories
- Comedian Al Franken to Run for Senate - Associated Press
- MN: Gore Visits to Boost Klobuchar Campaign - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Klobuchar Still in Command - St. Paul Pioneer-Press
- MN: Kennedy Takes on Klobuchar Over Iraq - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Kennedy Goes his Own Way in Ad That Embraces Iraq War - Associated Press
See All Minnesota Senate Race Commentary & News Stories
Polling Data
PollDateSampleKennedy (R)Klobuchar (D)Und.Spread
RCP Average10/23 - 11/06-37.454.04.6Klobuchar +16.6
Star Tribune11/05 - 11/06747 LV34557Klobuchar +21.0
SurveyUSA11/03 - 11/05710 LV40561Klobuchar +16.0
Rasmussen11/01 - 11/01500 LV40542Klobuchar +14.0
U. of Minnesota10/23 - 10/28663 LV33558Klobuchar +22.0
Zogby Interactive*10/23 - 10/27LV43516Klobuchar +8.0
Mason-Dixon10/23 - 10/27625 RV40505Klobuchar +10.0
St. Cloud State U.10/15 - 10/27494 LV31565Klobuchar +25.0
Rasmussen10/25 - 10/25500 LV39546Klobuchar +15.0
SurveyUSA10/21 - 10/23606 LV39551Klobuchar +16.0
Zogby Interactive *10/10 - 10/16737 LV43506Klobuchar +7.0
Star Tribune10/06 - 10/11818 LV34555Klobuchar +21.0
Rasmussen10/04 - 10/04500 LV40571Klobuchar +17.0
SurveyUSA09/25 - 09/27616 LV43513Klobuchar +8.0
Zogby Interactive*09/19 - 09/25404911Klobuchar +9.0
Mason-Dixon09/18 - 09/20625 RV37529Klobuchar +15.0
U. of Minnesota09/13 - 09/181023 LV36525Klobuchar +16.0
Star Tribune09/13 - 09/15820 LV32568Klobuchar +24.0
Zogby Interactive*08/29 - 09/05n/a404911Klobuchar +9.0
Rasmussen08/28 - 08/28500 LV40476Klobuchar +7.0
USA Today/Gallup08/23 - 08/27790 LV40505Klobuchar +10.0
Zogby Interactive*08/15 - 08/21n/a42508Klobuchar +8.0
Rasmussen08/01 - 08/01500 LV38507Klobuchar +12.0
SurveyUSA07/21 - 07/23616 RV42476Klobuchar +5.0
Bennett, Petts (D)07/16 - 07/20800 LV304822Klobuchar +18.0
Zogby Interactive*07/11 - 07/19n/a43494Klobuchar +6.0
Star Tribune07/06 - 07/11813 LV315014Klobuchar +19.0
Rasmussen06/26 - 06/26500 LV44477Klobuchar +3.0
Rasmussen04/27 - 04/27500 LV43459Klobuchar +2.0
Greenberg Quinlan (D)04/20 - 04/26603 LV42506Klobuchar +8.0
Mellman Group (D)02/15 - 02/17600 LV384012Klobuchar +2.0
Rasmussen02/14 - 02/14500 LV42458Klobuchar +3.0
Rasmussen01/16 - 01/16500 LV42439Klobuchar +1.0
Rasmussen12/14 - 12/14500 LV41487Klobuchar +7.0
All Commentary & News Stories
- Comedian Al Franken to Run for Senate - Associated Press
- MN: Gore Visits to Boost Klobuchar Campaign - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Klobuchar Still in Command - St. Paul Pioneer-Press
- MN: Kennedy Takes on Klobuchar Over Iraq - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Kennedy Goes his Own Way in Ad That Embraces Iraq War - Associated Press
- MN: Senate Race Picks up Speed - St. Paul Pioneer-Press
- MN: Sharp Exchanges in for Senate Candidates in Nat'l Spotlight - Star Tribune
- Patricia Lopez on Minnesota Senate Race (Video) - Washington Journal
- Minnesota Senate Debate: Kennedy vs. Klobuchar - Meet the Press
- MN: Klobuchar Still Leads Big Over Kennedy - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Ticket Splitters Favor Pawlenty, Klobuchar - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Senate Candidates Air Differences on Taxes, Iraq - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Klobuchar's Legal Record is Asset & Demerit - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Kennedy Feels Right at Home in Rural Minnesota - Crookston Daily Times
- MN: Coleman, Kennedy Returning Foley Money - Associated Press
- MN: Kennedy Sticks with Bush, but Runs as Outsider - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Sneak Peek at Kennedy Ad Draws Claim of Poll Misuse - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: 18 Attempts Got Blogger into Kennedy Ad Firm's Website - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Another Poll Shows Klobuchar Ahead - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- Is Klobuchar Imploding? - John Hinderaker, Powerline
- MN: Klobuchar Aide Loses Job for Viewing Leaked Kennedy Ad - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Klobuchar Keeps Big Lead Over Kennedy - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Kobuchar Targets Deficit in New Ad - Minneapolis Star-Tribune
- MN: Kennedy, Klobuchar Cruise in Senate Primaries - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Kennedy, Klobuchar Come Out Swinging in Debate - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Senate Candidates Spar In State Fair Debate - Associated Press
- GOP Lags in Key Races For Senate - USA Today
- MN: Tight Fundraising Contest Between Candidates - Associated Press
- MN: Klobuchar Lists Ways to Balance U.S. Budget - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Resumes Are Latest Flashpoint in Senate Race - Pioneer Press/AP
- Minnesota's Muddled Election Scene - Steven Schier, St. Paul Pioneer Press
- MN: Kennedy Campaigns Across the State - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- For the GOP, a Heartland Plunge - David Broder, Washington Post
- MN Senate Poll: Klobuchar (DFL) 50% Kennedy (R) 38% - Rasmussen Reports
- MN: Senate Race Opens Debate into Role of Prosecutor - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Kennedy Ad Claims 'Create a False Impression' - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Kennedy, Klobuchar, Others Spar at Farmfest - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- Senate Race Tight in Red-and-Blue Minnesota - Washington Times
- MN Senate Poll: Klobuchar (D) 47% Kennedy (R) 42% - Survey USA
- MN: Kennedy, Klobuchar Quicken Pace of Race - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Rove Stumps for Bachmann, Kennedy - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- GOP Disputes Mn. Senate Poll Giving Klobuchar Huge Lead - The Hill
- Skewed Minnesota Poll No Surprise At All - Ed Morissey, Captain's Quarters
- MN Senate Poll: Klobuchar (D) 50% Kennedy (R) 31% - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Senate Race a Money Magnet - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Will Summer Tiffs Hurt DFL in Fall Elections? - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Ford Bell Withdraws From U.S. Senate Race - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- Minnesota: Test Case for the GOP - David Broder, Seattle Times
- MN Senate Poll: Klobuchar (D) 47%, Kennedy (R) 44% - Rasmussen Reports
- MN: Democrats Rip Mark Kennedy's PAC Fundraisers - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Klobuchar Calls for 'New Direction' on Energy Policy - Star Tribune
- MN: A Campaign Preview: Half Empty or Half Full? - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Senate Battle Heats Up - Associated Press
- MN: DFL Backs Klobuchar as She Girds for Battle - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Laura Bush Stumps for Kennedy - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Kennedy Vows He'll Push for Change - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: Bell Concedes DFL Party Nod to Klobuchar - Pioneer Press
- MN Senate Poll: Klobuchar (D) 45% Kennedy (R) 43% - Rasmussen Reports
- As Minnesota Goes . . . - Barry Casselman, Weekly Standard
- MN: Senate Race Brings in Big Money - Minneapolis Star Tribune
- MN: U.S. Senate Race Lures Distant Money - Grand Forks Herald
- MN: Hatch, Klobuchar Dominate DFL Rivals at Precinct Caucuses - Pioneer Press
- MN: In First Debate, Divisions Clear in U.S. Senate Race - St. Paul Pioneer Press
- MN: Senate Race Lures Distant Dollars - Minneapolis Star Tribune