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California Governor Race

Candidates

Arnold S.

Arnold S. (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Phil Angelides

Phil Angelides (D)

Bio ">Bio | Campaign Site

RealClearPolitics Snapshot
RCP Average: Arnold S. +14.7 % |RCP Chart
RCP Ranking: Likely Republican
Key State Races: Senate | CA-4 | CA-11

Polling Data

PollDateSampleArnold S. (R)Angelides (D)Und.Spread
Final Results----39.055.9--Arnold S. +16.9
RCP Average10/23 - 11/4--37.051.78.0Arnold S. +14.7
SurveyUSA11/2 - 11/4553 LV53389Arnold S. +15
Field10/23 - 10/30795 LV493312Arnold S. +16
Rasmussen10/28 - 10/28500 LV53403Arnold S. +13

All California Governor Race Polling Data

Previous Elections

Governor
2003: Schwarzenegger 49, Bustamante 32, McClintock 13
2002: Davis 47, Simon 42
1998: Davis 58, Lungren 38

President
2004: Kerry 54, Bush 44
2000: Gore 53, Bush 42
1996: Clinton 51, Dole 38

Demographics

Registered Voters: Dem 43.0% | Rep 34.7% | Other 22.3%
Occupation: Blue Collar 21.2% | White Collar 62.7% | Gray Collar 16.1%
Race: White 46.7% | Hispanic 32.4% | Asian 10.8% | Black 6.4%

Links for More Information

More Analysis: Washington Post

State Newspaper Coverage: Los Angeles Times | San Francisco Chronicle | San Diego Union-Tribune | Sacramento Bee

State Parties: Ca GOP | Ca Dems

Polling Data

PollDateSampleArnold S. (R)Angelides (D)Und.Spread
Final Results----39.055.9--Arnold S. +16.9
RCP Average10/23 - 11/4--37.051.78.0Arnold S. +14.7
SurveyUSA11/2 - 11/4553 LV53389Arnold S. +15
Field10/23 - 10/30795 LV493312Arnold S. +16
Rasmussen10/28 - 10/28500 LV53403Arnold S. +13
Zogby Interactive*10/23 - 10/27LV 4839--Arnold S. +9
Polimetrix10/19 - 10/27877 LV504010Arnold S. +10
SurveyUSA10/23 - 10/25507 LV55378Arnold S. +18
PPIC10/15 - 10/221076 LV483018Arnold S. +18
Zogby Interactive*10/10 - 10/161261 LV4740--Arnold S. +7
Rasmussen10/10 - 10/11500 LV49407Arnold S. +9
Pub Op Str (R)10/3 - 10/5800 LV463318Arnold S. +13
San Jose State9/26 - 9/30585 LV463318Arnold S. +13
Mason-Dixon9/25 - 9/28625 LV493612Arnold S. +13
LA Times9/23 - 9/28989 LV50339Arnold S. +17
SurveyUSA9/24 - 9/26445 LV52389Arnold S. +14
Zogby Interactive*9/19 - 9/25--433411Arnold S. +9
Field9/14 - 9/24557 LV443415Arnold S. +10
PPIC9/13 - 9/201091 LV483118Arnold S. +17
Datamar9/12 - 9/151879 LV54314Arnold S. +23
Rasmussen9/7 - 9/7500 LV47397Arnold S. +8
Zogby Interactive*8/29 - 9/5n/a 444016Arnold S. +4
SurveyUSA8/25 - 8/27525 LV52388Arnold S. +14
PPIC8/16 - 8/23989 LV453217Arnold S. +13
Rasmussen8/22 - 8/22500 LV48426Arnold S. +6
Zogby Interactive*8/15 - 8/211057 LV454015Arnold S. +5
Field7/10 - 7/23731 LV453715Arnold S. +8
Rasmussen7/20 - 7/20500 LV47416Arnold S. +6
PPIC7/5 - 7/182501 A433019Arnold S. +13
Rasmussen7/5 - 7/5500 LV44466Angelides +2
San Jose State6/26 - 6/30614 RV443714Arnold S. +7
Field5/23 - 5/31702 LV463911Arnold S. +7
LA Times5/20 - 5/251542 RV45469Angelides +1
PPIC5/14 - 5/212000 A383824Tie
LA Times4/21 - 4/271399 RV434314Tie
Field4/3 - 4/10706 LV444013Arnold S. +4
Rasmussen4/5 - 4/5500 LV49365Arnold S. +13
San Jose State3/27 - 3/31686 RV403723Arnold S. +3
PPIC3/15 - 3/221008 LV412930Arnold S. +12
Rasmussen3/15 - 3/15500 LV44457Angelides +1
Field2/12 - 2/26507 LV393920Tie
Rasmussen2/8 - 2/8500 LV404111Angelides +1
Rasmussen1/15 - 1/15500 LV413911Arnold S. +2
San Jose State1/2 - 1/6757 RV302535Arnold S. +5
Rasmussen12/8 - 12/8500 LV40448Angelides +4
Field10/25 - 10/30774 LV414712Angelides +6
Field8/19 - 8/291301 A404317Angelides +3
Field6/13 - 6/19711 RV424612Angelides +4
Field2/8 - 2/17800 RV523513Arnold S. +17