RealClearPolitics - Election 2006 - California Governor Race

California Governor Race

Candidates

Arnold S. (R)

Bio | Campaign Site

Phil Angelides (D)

Bio ">Bio | Campaign Site

RealClearPolitics Snapshot

RCP Average: Arnold S. +14.7 % |RCP Chart
RCP Ranking: Likely Republican
Key State Races: Senate | CA-4 | CA-11

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Arnold S. (R)	Angelides (D)	Und.	Spread
Final Results	--	--	39.0	55.9	--	Arnold S. +16.9
RCP Average	10/23 - 11/4	--	37.0	51.7	8.0	Arnold S. +14.7
SurveyUSA	11/2 - 11/4	553 LV	53	38	9	Arnold S. +15
Field	10/23 - 10/30	795 LV	49	33	12	Arnold S. +16
Rasmussen	10/28 - 10/28	500 LV	53	40	3	Arnold S. +13

All California Governor Race Polling Data

Previous Elections

Governor
2003: Schwarzenegger 49, Bustamante 32, McClintock 13
2002: Davis 47, Simon 42
1998: Davis 58, Lungren 38

President
2004: Kerry 54, Bush 44
2000: Gore 53, Bush 42
1996: Clinton 51, Dole 38

Demographics

Links for More Information

More Analysis: Washington Post

State Newspaper Coverage: Los Angeles Times | San Francisco Chronicle | San Diego Union-Tribune | Sacramento Bee

State Parties: Ca GOP | Ca Dems

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Arnold S. (R)	Angelides (D)	Und.	Spread
Final Results	--	--	39.0	55.9	--	Arnold S. +16.9
RCP Average	10/23 - 11/4	--	37.0	51.7	8.0	Arnold S. +14.7
SurveyUSA	11/2 - 11/4	553 LV	53	38	9	Arnold S. +15
Field	10/23 - 10/30	795 LV	49	33	12	Arnold S. +16
Rasmussen	10/28 - 10/28	500 LV	53	40	3	Arnold S. +13
Zogby Interactive*	10/23 - 10/27	LV	48	39	--	Arnold S. +9
Polimetrix	10/19 - 10/27	877 LV	50	40	10	Arnold S. +10
SurveyUSA	10/23 - 10/25	507 LV	55	37	8	Arnold S. +18
PPIC	10/15 - 10/22	1076 LV	48	30	18	Arnold S. +18
Zogby Interactive*	10/10 - 10/16	1261 LV	47	40	--	Arnold S. +7
Rasmussen	10/10 - 10/11	500 LV	49	40	7	Arnold S. +9
Pub Op Str (R)	10/3 - 10/5	800 LV	46	33	18	Arnold S. +13
San Jose State	9/26 - 9/30	585 LV	46	33	18	Arnold S. +13
Mason-Dixon	9/25 - 9/28	625 LV	49	36	12	Arnold S. +13
LA Times	9/23 - 9/28	989 LV	50	33	9	Arnold S. +17
SurveyUSA	9/24 - 9/26	445 LV	52	38	9	Arnold S. +14
Zogby Interactive*	9/19 - 9/25	--	43	34	11	Arnold S. +9
Field	9/14 - 9/24	557 LV	44	34	15	Arnold S. +10
PPIC	9/13 - 9/20	1091 LV	48	31	18	Arnold S. +17
Datamar	9/12 - 9/15	1879 LV	54	31	4	Arnold S. +23
Rasmussen	9/7 - 9/7	500 LV	47	39	7	Arnold S. +8
Zogby Interactive*	8/29 - 9/5	n/a	44	40	16	Arnold S. +4
SurveyUSA	8/25 - 8/27	525 LV	52	38	8	Arnold S. +14
PPIC	8/16 - 8/23	989 LV	45	32	17	Arnold S. +13
Rasmussen	8/22 - 8/22	500 LV	48	42	6	Arnold S. +6
Zogby Interactive*	8/15 - 8/21	1057 LV	45	40	15	Arnold S. +5
Field	7/10 - 7/23	731 LV	45	37	15	Arnold S. +8
Rasmussen	7/20 - 7/20	500 LV	47	41	6	Arnold S. +6
PPIC	7/5 - 7/18	2501 A	43	30	19	Arnold S. +13
Rasmussen	7/5 - 7/5	500 LV	44	46	6	Angelides +2
San Jose State	6/26 - 6/30	614 RV	44	37	14	Arnold S. +7
Field	5/23 - 5/31	702 LV	46	39	11	Arnold S. +7
LA Times	5/20 - 5/25	1542 RV	45	46	9	Angelides +1
PPIC	5/14 - 5/21	2000 A	38	38	24	Tie
LA Times	4/21 - 4/27	1399 RV	43	43	14	Tie
Field	4/3 - 4/10	706 LV	44	40	13	Arnold S. +4
Rasmussen	4/5 - 4/5	500 LV	49	36	5	Arnold S. +13
San Jose State	3/27 - 3/31	686 RV	40	37	23	Arnold S. +3
PPIC	3/15 - 3/22	1008 LV	41	29	30	Arnold S. +12
Rasmussen	3/15 - 3/15	500 LV	44	45	7	Angelides +1
Field	2/12 - 2/26	507 LV	39	39	20	Tie
Rasmussen	2/8 - 2/8	500 LV	40	41	11	Angelides +1
Rasmussen	1/15 - 1/15	500 LV	41	39	11	Arnold S. +2
San Jose State	1/2 - 1/6	757 RV	30	25	35	Arnold S. +5
Rasmussen	12/8 - 12/8	500 LV	40	44	8	Angelides +4
Field	10/25 - 10/30	774 LV	41	47	12	Angelides +6
Field	8/19 - 8/29	1301 A	40	43	17	Angelides +3
Field	6/13 - 6/19	711 RV	42	46	12	Angelides +4
Field	2/8 - 2/17	800 RV	52	35	13	Arnold S. +17