Election Central 2018

Divided Government Returns to Washington

Activists in both major political parties touted the 2018 midterm elections as a referendum on the distinctive and disruptive presidency of Donald J. Trump. If so, the verdict was a split decision....

GOP, Dems Push Get-Out-the-Vote Strategies

Joel and Adrienne Garreau live in a farmhouse surrounded by woods down a long, unlit and unpaved driveway in Fauquier County,...

What Is a Wave Election?

Democrats look poised to have a good showing on Tuesday. They are almost certain to gain seats in the House, and may break even in a Senate cycle...

Real Clear Politics Election 2018

A Midterm Overview

Election Day is nearly here, and Americans – with Mississippians possibly excepted -- will soon be casting the final ballots of the 2018 election cycle. Wild predictions of a blue wave in the...

ANALYSIS

What a Dem Wave Might Look Like

Yesterday I sketched out a plausible scenario for Republicans retaining – though just barely -- the House. Today I will do the reverse: game out a Democratic win in excess of 40 seats. ...

ANALYSIS

How the GOP Might Hold the House

As we move toward the close of this election cycle, impending control of the House of Representatives remains up in the air. The general consensus among analysts is that Democrats are the...

COMMENTARY

Midterms' Known Unknowns

Talk to consultants in either party and they’re sure of a few mutually accepted truths about the midterm elections on Tuesday. White women with college degrees will be the decisive voting bloc...

RNC Pushes to Gain Trump Voters

One of the big questions surrounding this election has been whether President Trump can transfer his stunning 2016 success into victory for his party in the more challenging environment of a midterm...

ANALYSIS

Uncertainties Loom in Final Stretch of 2018

The 2018 midterms are working their way toward a conclusion. In a week, we should finally know who will control the House (although if the outcome is close, it could take weeks to finish counting...

With Redistricting, Dems' Focus Is on States

This year’s midterm races are nearing the finish line and politicos are already looking to 2020, but not all of the future focus is on the next presidential contest. The coming decade will...

Is Trump Transforming Midterms With Rallies?

One of the new dynamics in this midterm election is President Trump reprising the rallies that helped fuel his victory in 2016. While it’s common for presidents to campaign during midterms,...

Five Reasons GOP Can Hold the House

Despite conventional wisdom, there is a path for Republicans to hold their majority in the House. Democrats need a net pickup of 23 seats to gain control of the chamber and most election watchers...