Newsweek/Daily Beast Poll

Douglas E. Schoen LLC

National Survey of 918 Adults

 

The Newsweek/Daily Beast Poll was conducted with a representative sample of the national population with 918 likely voters. The fieldwork took place between Saturday, February 12 and Tuesday, February 15, 2011. The margin of sampling error for this poll is +/-3.5 percent.

 

 

1)      How likely are you to vote in the next general election?

 

              Absolutely certain                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         62%

              Very likely                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   38%

              Possibly {END}                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    

              Not very likely {END}      

              Not at all likely {END}     

 

2)      With which political party are you currently registered?

 

Republican                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  34%

                           Democrat                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      36%

                           Independent                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             29%

                           Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           1%

 

3)      Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is performing his job as President?

 

TOTAL APPROVE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         50%

TOTAL DISAPPROVE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               44%

Strongly approve                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               24%

Somewhat approve                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        27%

Somewhat disapprove                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 12%

Strongly disapprove                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        32%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    6%

 

4)      Overall, do you approve or disapprove of Congress?

 

TOTAL APPROVE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         30%

TOTAL DISAPPROVE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               58%

Strongly approve                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              9%

Somewhat approve                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        21%

Somewhat disapprove                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  29%

Strongly disapprove                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        29%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12%

 

 


 

5)      Do you think Obama has a real plan to balance the budget, or does he not have a real plan?

 

Obama has a real plan to balance the budget                                                                                                                                                        38%

He does not have a real plan                                                                                                                                                                                                                  47%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     16%

 

6)      Do you think Obama has a real plan to cut spending, or does he not have a real plan?

 

 

Obama has a real plan to cut spending                                                                                                                                                                                           41%

He does not have a real plan                                                                                                                                                                                                                    49%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     10%

 

 

7)      Do you think that Obama has a real plan to cut the deficit, or does he not have a real plan?

 

Obama has a real plan to cut the deficit                                                                                                                                                                            42%

He does not have a real plan                                                                                                                                                                                                                  46%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     12%

 

8)      Do you favor or oppose the health care bill that was passed last year?

 

TOTAL FAVOR                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              37%

TOTAL OPPOSE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              56%

Strongly favor                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        21%

Somewhat favor                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 16%

Somewhat oppose                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           12%

Strongly oppose                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  44%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    8%

 

 

9)      Two judges have found all or part of the health care bill unconstitutional, while two judges have upheld the constitutionality of the law.  Do you think that Congress should work to implement the law, or do you think Congress should repeal the law?

 

Congress should work to implement the law                                                                                                                                                                        41%

Congress should repeal the law                                                                                                                                                                                                             44%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       15%

 

 

10)  In your opinion, have the Republicans made positive proposals to change America, or have they just criticized Obama?

 

The Republicans have made positive proposals to change America                                                                               37%

They have they just criticized Obama                                                                                                                                                                                            49%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     15%

 

11)  Okay, and in your opinion, has Obama made positive proposals to change America, or is he just criticizing the Republicans?

 

Obama has made positive proposals to change America                                                                                                                               58%

He is just criticizing the Republicans                                                                                                                                                                                          25%          

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     18%

 

 

12)  Do you favor or oppose a national summit designed to initiate a bipartisan process to balance the budget, reform entitlements like Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security, and fundamentally reform the tax system?

 

TOTAL FAVOR                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 68%

TOTAL OPPOSE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              19%

Strongly favor                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        30%

Somewhat favor                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 38%

Somewhat oppose                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           11%

Strongly oppose                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 8%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     13%

 

13)  Do you approve or disapprove of the way Republicans are doing their job running the House of Representatives?

 

TOTAL APPROVE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         42%

TOTAL DISAPPROVE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               44%

Strongly approve                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               16%

Somewhat approve                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        26%

Somewhat disapprove                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 19%

Strongly disapprove                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        24%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     15%

 

14)  Do you approve or disapprove of the way Democrats are doing their job running the Senate?

 

TOTAL APPROVE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         39%

TOTAL DISAPPROVE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               54%

Strongly approve                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               14%

Somewhat approve                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        25%

Somewhat disapprove                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 25%

Strongly disapprove                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        29%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      7%

 

15)  John Boehner is performing his job as Speaker of the House?

 

TOTAL APPROVE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         40%

TOTAL DISAPPROVE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               23%

Strongly approve                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               11%

Somewhat approve                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        29%

Somewhat disapprove                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                7%

Strongly disapprove                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        16%          

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     37%

 

16)  Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mitch McConnell is performing his job as Senate Minority Leader?

 

TOTAL APPROVE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         26%

TOTAL DISAPPROVE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               28%

Strongly approve                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5%

Somewhat approve                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        21%

Somewhat disapprove                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 12%

Strongly disapprove                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        16%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     46%

 

17)  Do you approve or disapprove of the way Nancy Pelosi is performing her job as House Minority Leader?

 

TOTAL APPROVE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         33%

TOTAL DISAPPROVE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               53%

Strongly approve                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               14%

Somewhat approve                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        19%

Somewhat disapprove                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 15%

Strongly disapprove                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        37%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     14%

 

18)  Do you approve or disapprove of the way Harry Reid is performing his job as Senate Majority Leader?

 

TOTAL APPROVE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         27%

TOTAL DISAPPROVE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               44%

Strongly approve                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4%

Somewhat approve                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        23%

Somewhat disapprove                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 17%

Strongly disapprove                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        27%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     29%

 

19)  Which do you prefer – our government that is currently divided, with the Republicans in charge of the House and the Democrats in charge of the Senate and the White House, or government when the Democrats had control of both Congress and the White House?

 

Divided government, with the Republicans in charge of the House and the Democrats in                       54%

charge of the Senate and the White House                                                                                                                                                                                                   

Government when the Democrats had control of both Congress and the White House               23%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     23%

 

 

 

20)  Who would you like to see control Congress after the 2012 elections – the Democrats or the Republicans?

 

The Democrats                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   31%

The Republicans                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                38%

Divided government                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      13%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     18%

 


 

21)  [Ask of Republican and Independent voters] In thinking about the 2012 Republican primary for President, supposed you had a choice between Sarah Palin, Tim Pawlenty, Hailey Barbour, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Mitch Daniels Newt Gingrich and Jon Huntsman.  If the election were held today, who would you vote for?

 

Sarah Palin                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              10%

Tim Pawlenty                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5%

Hailey Barbour                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1%

Mike Huckabee                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   18%

Mitt Romney                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          19%

Mitch Daniels                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1%

Jon Huntsman                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1%

Donald Trump                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    8%

Newt Gingrich                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      7%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     31%

 

22)  In thinking about the 2012 Presidential election, suppose you had a choice between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Sarah Palin.  If the election were held today, who would you vote for?

 

Barack Obama                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    51%

Sarah Palin                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              40%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    9%

 

23)  In thinking about the 2012 Presidential election, suppose you had a choice between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney.  If the election were held today, who would you vote for?

 

Barack Obama                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    49%

Mitt Romney                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          47%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      5%

 

24)  In thinking about the 2012 Presidential election, suppose you had a choice between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Donald Trump.  If the election were held today, who would you vote for?

 

Barack Obama                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    43%

Donald Trump                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    41%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     16%

 


 

25)  In thinking about the 2012 Presidential election, suppose you had a choice between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mike Huckabee.  If the election were held today, who would you vote for?

 

Barack Obama                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    46%

Mike Huckabee                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   46%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    8%

 

 

26)  In thinking about the 2012 Presidential election, suppose you had a choice between Democrat In thinking about the 2012 Presidential election, suppose you had a choice between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, and Independent Donald Trump.  If the election were held today, who would you vote for?

 

Barack Obama                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    44%

Mitt Romney                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          38%

Donald Trump                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   8%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     10%

 

 

27)  In thinking about the 2012 Presidential election, suppose you had a choice between Democrat In thinking about the 2012 Presidential election, suppose you had a choice between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Sarah Palin, and Independent Donald Trump.  If the election were held today, who would you vote for?

 

Barack Obama                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    48%

Sarah Palin                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              21%

Donald Trump                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    20%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     12%

 

 

28)  How satisfied are you with the way the Obama administration has handled the crisis in Egypt?

 

TOTAL SATISFIED                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        66%

TOTAL NOT SATISFIED                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          34%

Very satisfied                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         18%

Somewhat satisfied                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          48%

Not very satisfied                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                16%

Not at all satisfied                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 18%

 


 

29)  Do you think that the result of the crisis in Egypt will be a stable transition to democracy, or will it not be a stable transition to democracy?

 

The result of the crisis in Egypt will be a stable transition to democracy                                                                 23%

The result will not be a stable transition to democracy                                                                                                                           55%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       22%

 

 

30)  Do you think that an Islamic fundamentalist government like IranŐs government will emerge as EgyptŐs next government, or do you think Egypt will have a secular, Western-style democratic government?

 

An Islamic fundamentalist government like Iran's government will emerge                                                                     26%

as Egypt's next   government               

Egypt will have a secular, Western- style democratic government                                                                                      38%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     36%

 

Demographics

 

31)  Age

 

18-29                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           11%

30-39                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           15%

40-49                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             21%

50-64                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             33%

65 and older                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          21%

 

32)  Gender

 

Male                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    46%

Female                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           54%

 

33)  Race/Ethnicity

 

White or Caucasian                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          77%

Black or African-American                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11%

Hispanic                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     10%

Asian                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           *

Some other racial or ethnic heritage                                                                                                                                                                                             1%

DK/Refused                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1%

 

34)  Religion

 

Protestant (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Methodist, Episcopal,                                                                                                                       48%

Presbyterian, and other Christians)

Evangelical                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3%

Catholic                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       26%

Jewish                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2%

Muslim                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      *

Atheist or Agnostic                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            4%

Other                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            6%

 

None                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           9%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1%

 

35)  Do you consider yourself liberal, moderate or conservative?

 

Liberal                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         17%

Moderate                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 39%

Conservative                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          39%

DK/Refused                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5%

 

 

36)  Do you belong to a union?

 

Yes                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        14%

No                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           86%

 

37)  [If yes] Is it a public or private union?

 

Public                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           60%

Private                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         33%

DK/Refused                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7%

 

38)  Who did you vote for in the 2008 election for President?

 

Barack Obama                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    44%

John McCain                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           39%

Some other candidate                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   7%

Did not vote                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             10%

 

39)  Who did you vote for in the 2010 Congressional election?

 

A Democrat                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           36%

A Republican                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      42%

Other                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                10%

Did not vote                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          12%

 

40)  Are you currently employed?

 

Yes                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       59%

No                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          41%

 

41)  Are you married?

 

Yes                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       65%

No                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          35%

 

 

42)  Who is the primary income earner?

 

The husband                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           54%

The wife                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           13%

Both equally                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             31%

Neither                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2%

 

43)  Who does more household work?

 

The husband                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           9%

The wife                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           56%

Both equally                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             33%

Neither                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2%

 

44)  What do you think is the ideal balance for a couple in terms of salary and domestic responsibility?

 

The husband should be the primary income earner and the wife  should                                                                             18%

 primarily take care of domestic responsibilities

The wife should be the primary income earner and the husband should                                                                              *

primarily take care of domestic responsibilities

The husband and wife should be equal income earners and share the                                                                                     71%

domestic responsibilities equally

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      11%

 

45)  Do you have children living at home?

 

Yes                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       38%

No                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          62%

 

46)  [if yes] Who spends more time taking care of your children?

 

The husband                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      5%

The wife                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      39%

Both equally                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        43%

Neither                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        14%

 

47)  Region

 

New England                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6%

Middle Atlantic                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      15%

East North Central                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             16%

West North Central                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7%

South Atlantic                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         19%

East South Central                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            7%

West South Central                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           9%

Mountain                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       6%

Pacific                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           15%

 

 

48)  Income

 

You and your family earnÉ less than $20,000 annually                                                                                                       12%

$20,000 to $40,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                18%

$40,000 to $60,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                14%

$60,000 to $75,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                               11%

$75,000 to $100,000                                                                                                                                                                                               14%

More than $100,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                           21%

Not sure                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10%