Florida Marginals

 

 START

 Hello, my name is __________ and I am conducting a survey for Suffolk

 University and I would like to get your opinions on some political questions.

 Would you be willing to spend five minutes answering some questions?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Continue .......................................  1           ( 1/108)   800 100%

 

 GENDR

 RECORD GENDER

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Male ...........................................  1           ( 1/109)   383  48%

          Female .........................................  2                      417  52%

 

 S2. Are you enrolled as a Democrat, Republican, or Independent / No Party

 Affiliation?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Democrat .......................................  1           ( 1/113)   326  41%

          Republican .....................................  2                      287  36%

          No party/Other .................................  3                      187  23%

          Und/Ref/Not reg ................................  4                        0   0%

 

 S3. What is your age category?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          18-24 YRS ......................................  1           ( 1/116)    33   4%

          25-34 YRS ......................................  2                       50   6%

          35-44 YRS ......................................  3                      144  18%

          45-54 YRS ......................................  4                      168  21%

          55-64 YRS ......................................  5                      168  21%

          65-74 YRS ......................................  6                      144  18%

          75+ YRS ........................................  7                       81  10%

          Refused ........................................  8                       12   2%

 

 S4. For statistical purposes only, can you please tell me what your ethnic

 background / ancestry is?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          White/Caucasian ................................  1           ( 1/117)   536  67%

          Black/African-American .........................  2                       99  12%

          American Indian/Alaska Native ..................  3                        5   1%

          Asian ..........................................  4                        9   1%

          Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islander .........  5                        5   1%

          Hispanic/Latino ................................  6                      102  13%

          Other ..........................................  7                       20   3%

          Don't know(DO NOT READ) ........................  8                       24   3%

 

 PRE1

 Great, I am going to read you a list of individuals in state and local

 politics. For each, please tell me if your opinion of them is generally

 favorable or generally unfavorable. If you are undecided or if you have never

 heard of someone, just tell me that. First take Barack Obama.

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Continue .......................................  1           ( 1/118)   800 100%

 

 

 Q1. Is your opinion of Barack Obama generally favorable or generally

 unfavorable?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Never heard ....................................  1           ( 1/119)     2   0%

          Favorable ......................................  2                      361  45%

          Unfavorable ....................................  3                      384  48%

          Heard of/Undecided .............................  4                       53   7%

 

 

 Q2. Is your opinion of Rick Scott generally favorable or generally

 unfavorable?

         {RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

 

 Q3. Is your opinion of Bill Nelson generally favorable or generally

 unfavorable?

{RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

      

 Q4. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio (ROO-be-oh) generally favorable or

 generally unfavorable?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Never heard ....................................  1           ( 1/122)    59   7%

          Favorable ......................................  2                      321  40%

          Unfavorable ....................................  3                      246  31%

          Heard of/Undecided .............................  4                      174  22%

 Q5. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton generally favorable or generally

 unfavorable?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Never heard ....................................  1           ( 1/123)     1   0%

          Favorable ......................................  2                      509  64%

          Unfavorable ....................................  3                      220  28%

          Heard of/Undecided .............................  4                       70   9%

 

 Q6. Is your opinion of Charlie Crist generally favorable or generally

 unfavorable?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Never heard ....................................  1           ( 1/124)    35   4%

          Favorable ......................................  2                      363  45%

          Unfavorable ....................................  3                      282  35%

          Heard of/Undecided .............................  4                      120  15%

 

 Q7. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush generally favorable or generally unfavorable?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Never heard ....................................  1           ( 1/125)    14   2%

          Favorable ......................................  2                      410  51%

          Unfavorable ....................................  3                      284  36%

          Heard of/Undecided .............................  4                       92  12%

 Q8

 The following are questions about Florida politicians and issues:

 

 Q8. Do you think the country is heading in the right direction or is on the

 wrong track?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Right direction ................................  1           ( 1/126)   163  20%

          Wrong Track ....................................  2                      525  66%

          Undecided ......................................  3                      112  14%

 

 Q9. Do you think that Florida is heading in the right direction or is on the

 wrong track?

         {RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

   

 Q10. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as

 President?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Approve ........................................  1           ( 1/128)   327  41%

          Disapprove .....................................  2                      398  50%

          Undecided ......................................  3                       75   9%

 

 Q11. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Rick Scott is doing as Governor?

         {RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

     

 Q12. Is the recession over in Florida?

         {RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

       

 Q13. Which is more important to you: maintaining state services or cutting

 state spending?

         {RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

 

 Q14. Thinking about the 2012 Republican Primary for President of the United

 States, if the candidates were (READ LIST), for whom will you vote or toward

 whom would you LEAN at this time?

          N=                                                                       287 100%

          Michele Bachmann ...............................  01          ( 1/132)     3   1%

          Herman Cain ....................................  02                      69  24%

          Newt Gingrich ..................................  03                      31  11%

          Jon Huntsman ...................................  04                       5   2%

          Gary Johnson ...................................  05                       2   1%

          Fred Karger ....................................  06                       0   0%

          Ron Paul .......................................  08                      14   5%

          Rick Perry .....................................  09                      27   9%

          Buddy Roemer ...................................  10                       0   0%

          Mitt Romney ....................................  11                      71  25%

          Rick Santorum ..................................  12                       4   1%

          Other (DO NOT READ) ............................  13                       4   1%

          Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................  14                      57  20%

 

 

 Q15. If your first choice for the Republican Presidential nominee dropped out

 of the race, who would you vote for instead (READ LIST) for whom will you vote

 or toward whom would you LEAN at this time?

          N=                                                                       230 100%

          Michele Bachmann ...............................  01          ( 1/134)    17   7%

          Herman Cain ....................................  02                      62  27%

          Newt Gingrich ..................................  03                      32  14%

          Jon Huntsman ...................................  04                       6   3%

          Gary Johnson ...................................  05                       0   0%

          Fred Karger ....................................  06                       0   0%

          Ron Paul .......................................  08                       7   3%

          Rick Perry .....................................  09                      21   9%

          Buddy Roemer ...................................  10                       0   0%

          Mitt Romney ....................................  11                      40  17%

          Rick Santorum ..................................  12                       5   2%

          Other (DO NOT READ) ............................  13                       2   1%

          Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................  14                      38  17%

 

 Q16. If the General Election for United States President were held today and

 the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney for whom

 will you vote or towards whom do you LEAN at this time?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Obama ..........................................  1           ( 1/136)   334  42%

          Romney .........................................  2                      337  42%

          Other ..........................................  3                       39   5%

          Undecided ......................................  4                       80  10%

          Refused ........................................  5                       10   1%

 

 Q17. How about Barack Obama and Herman Cain?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Obama ..........................................  1           ( 1/137)   338  42%

          Cain ...........................................  2                      308  39%

          Other ..........................................  3                       32   4%

          Undecided ......................................  4                      115  14%

          Refused ........................................  5                        7   1%

 

 Q18. How about Barack Obama and Rick Perry?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Obama ..........................................  1           ( 1/138)   364  46%

          Perry ..........................................  2                      273  34%

          Other ..........................................  3                       34   4%

          Undecided ......................................  4                      119  15%

          Refused ........................................  5                       10   1%

 

 Q19. How about Barack Obama and Ron Paul?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Obama ..........................................  1           ( 1/139)   348  44%

          Paul ...........................................  2                      255  32%

          Other ..........................................  3                       39   5%

          Undecided ......................................  4                      151  19%

          Refused ........................................  5                        7   1%

 

 Q20. How about Barack Obama and Newt Gingrich?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Obama ..........................................  1           ( 1/140)   361  45%

          Gingrich .......................................  2                      302  38%

          Other ..........................................  3                       40   5%

          Undecided ......................................  4                       89  11%

          Refused ........................................  5                        8   1%

 

 Q21. How satisfied are you with the Republican field of candidates?

          N=                                                                       287 100%

          Very satisfied .................................  1           ( 1/141)    25   9%

          Somewhat satisfied .............................  2                      142  49%

          Somewhat dissatisfied ..........................  3                       64  22%

          Very dissatisfied ..............................  4                       42  15%

          Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................  5                       14   5%

 

 

         {ROTATE Q22 & Q23}

 Q22. Assume for a moment that Marco Rubio was selected as the vice

 presidential candidate of the Republican Party in 2012. Knowing this, would

 you vote for the Democratic ticket of Obama-Biden or the Republican ticket

 which would include Rubio as Vice President?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Dem Ticket Obama-Biden .........................  1           ( 1/142)   324  41%

          Rep Ticket Nominee-Rubio .......................  2                      369  46%

          Independent candidate (DO NOT READ) ............  3                       13   2%

          Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................  4                       94  12%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Q23. Assume for a moment that Hillary Clinton was selected as the vice

 presidential candidate of the Democratic Party in 2012-instead of Joe Biden.

 Knowing this, would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Obama-Clinton or for

 the Republican ticket?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Dem Ticket Obama-Clinton .......................  1           ( 1/143)   402  50%

          Rep Ticket .....................................  2                      330  41%

          Independent candidate (DO NOT READ) ............  3                       17   2%

          Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................  4                       51   6%

 

 Q24. Now, if the 2012 general election for president were held today, would yo

 u vote for a Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton or the Repu

 blican ticket with Marco Rubio as Vice President?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Dem Ticket Obama-Clinton .......................  1           ( 1/144)   365  46%

          Rep Ticket Nominee-Rubio .......................  2                      345  43%

          Independent candidate (DO NOT READ) ............  3                       13   2%

          Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................  4                       77  10%

 

 Q25. Thinking about how you feel going into the 2012 Presidential election,

 which of the following statements comes closest to how you feel?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          I will vote democratic no matter what ..........  1           ( 1/145)   235  29%

 

          I will vote republican no matter what ..........  2                      233  29%

 

          I will vote democratic only if the economy gets a 3                      104  13%

           lot better

 

          I will vote republican only if the economy gets a 4                       41   5%

           lot worse

 

          Undecided ......................................  5                      187  23%

 

 

 Q26. Despite who you're personally voting for, who do you expect the next

 president will be - Barack Obama or one of the Republican candidates?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Barack Obama ...................................  01          ( 1/146)   308  39%

          Michele Bachmann ...............................  02                       2   0%

          Herman Cain ....................................  03                      69   9%

          Newt Gingrich ..................................  04                      35   4%

          Jon Huntsman ...................................  05                       2   0%

          Gary Johnson ...................................  06                       0   0%

          Fred Karger ....................................  07                       0   0%

          Ron Paul .......................................  09                       2   0%

          Rick Perry .....................................  10                      38   5%

          Buddy Roemer ...................................  11                       0   0%

          Mitt Romney ....................................  12                     116  15%

          Rick Santorum ..................................  13                       0   0%

          Other (DO NOT READ) ............................  14                      17   2%

          Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................  15                     211  26%

 

 Q27. Marco Rubio's Senate website says his parents came to America following

 Fidel Castro's 1959 takeover. But media reports last week revealed they came

 to the U.S. three years earlier, before Castro was in Cuba. Marco Rubio says

 his parents were exiled from Cuba in 1961 when they tried to return. Do you

 think Marco Rubio exaggerated his story or did he tell the truth?

         {RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

 

 Q27A. Do you think the Republicans are intentionally stalling efforts to

 jumpstart the economy to insure that Barack Obama is not re-elected?

         {RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

 

 Q27B. During these difficult economic times would you be in favor of stopping

 monetary assistance to other countries until the United States can pay its own

 bills?

         {RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

  

 Q27C. Would you be in favor of a flat tax to replace the current federal tax

 rate?

         {RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Q28. Last November, in Florida's election for Governor for whom did you vote:

 Republican Rick Scott, Democrat Alex Sink, Independence Party Candidate Peter

 Allen, Independent Michael Arth, Independent Farid Khavari, Independent C.C.

 Reed, or Independent Daniel Imperato {Im-per-AH-toe}, or did you not vote?

         {RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

 

    

 Q29. Would you characterize Governor Rick Scott's first year on the job as

 positive and productive, negative and damaging or as having little impact?

         {RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}

 

       

 Q30. If you had the chance to vote again today would you vote for current

 Governor Republican Rick Scott, his former opponent Democrat Alex Sink, or

 someone else?

         {RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}    

 

 

 Q31. Is Governor Rick Scott staying true to his campaign promises?

         {RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}    

         

 

 Q32. Do you agree with how Governor Rick Scott is governing the state?

         {RESULTS EMBARGOED UNTIL WSVN-TV BROADCAST ON 11/2}    

 

 

 Q33. What do you think is the most important issue facing the country right

 now?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Reducing the national debt .....................  01          ( 1/158)   115  14%

          Taxes ..........................................  02                      20   3%

          Jobs and the economy ...........................  03                     406  51%

          Schools and education ..........................  04                      32   4%

          Health care ....................................  05                      33   4%

          Military involvement in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya  06                      29   4%

          Energy independence ............................  07                      26   3%

          Illegal immigration ............................  08                      32   4%

          Abortion policy ................................  09                       7   1%

          Same-sex marriage ..............................  10                       6   1%

          Civil liberties ................................  11                      12   2%

          Terrorism and National Security ................  12                      21   3%

          Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................  13                      61   8%

 

 

 Q34. What do you think is the second most important issue facing the country

 right now?

          N=                                                                       739 100%

          Reducing the national debt .....................  01          ( 1/160)   124  17%

          Taxes ..........................................  02                      57   8%

          Jobs and the economy ...........................  03                     154  21%

          Schools and education ..........................  04                      76  10%

          Health care ....................................  05                      86  12%

          Military involvement in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya  06                      49   7%

          Energy independence ............................  07                      13   2%

          Illegal immigration ............................  08                      42   6%

          Abortion policy ................................  09                       4   1%

          Same-sex marriage ..............................  10                       8   1%

          Civil liberties ................................  11                       8   1%

          Terrorism and National Security ................  12                      30   4%

          Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................  13                      88  12%

 

 

 Q35. Are your values similar to the values of the Tea Party?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Yes ............................................  1           ( 1/162)   235  29%

          No .............................................  2                      407  51%

          Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................  3                      148  19%

          Refused (DO NOT READ) ..........................  4                       10   1%

 

 

 Q36. Would you describe yourself as conservative, moderate or liberal?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Conservative ...................................  1           ( 1/163)   351  44%

          Moderate .......................................  2                      288  36%

          Liberal ........................................  3                      107  13%

          Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................  4                       54   7%

 

 

 DEMO

 THE FINAL TWO QUESTIONS WILL HELP US CLASSIFY YOUR ANSWERS WITH OTHERS TAKING

 THE SURVEY

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Continue .......................................  1           ( 1/164)   800 100%

 

 

 Q38. Are there any members of your household who are union members

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Yes ............................................  1           ( 1/165)   118  15%

          No .............................................  2                      670  84%

          Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................  3                       12   2%

 

 

 Q39. Do you currently have children in the school system?

          N=                                                                       800 100%

          Yes ............................................  1           ( 1/166)   165  21%

          No .............................................  2                      623  78%

          Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................  3                       12   2%