2004 Battleground States
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Florida  ( 27 Electoral Votes)
>> Results from 2000 Election: Bush 48.9, Gore 48.8, Nader 1.6  (Bush +0.1) 
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/25-11/1
-
-
48.2
47.6
1.0
Bush +0.6
600 LV
4.0
48
50
1
Kerry +2
601 LV
4.1
48
48
-
TIE
700 LV
3.0
44
49
1
Kerry +5
742 LV
3.7
49
48
-
Bush +1
Insdr Adv | 10/29-31
400 LV
5.0
48
48
1
TIE
1098 LV
3.0
51
43
1
Bush +8
1138 LV
4.1
47
50
-
Kerry +3
600 LV
4.0
50
47
-
Bush +3
625 LV
4.0
49
45
-
Bush +4
All Florida Polls | Nader: ON the Ballot
Ohio  ( 20 Electoral Votes)
>>Results from 2000 Election: Bush 50.0, Gore 46.5, Nader 2.5  (Bush +3.5) 
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/25-11/1
-
-
48.8
46.7
Off Ballot
Bush +2.1
601 LV
4.1
49
43
-
Bush +6
700 LV
3.0
50
47
-
Bush +3
816 LV
3.5
49
47
-
Bush +2
1111 LV
4.0
46
50
-
Kerry +4
877LV
3.3
50.1
49.2
-
Bush +0.9
625 LV
4.0
48
46
-
Bush +2
600 LV
4.0
50
46
-
Bush +4
1500 LV
2.6
48
45
-
Bush +3
All Ohio Polls | Nader: OFF the Ballot
Pennsylvania  ( 21 Electoral Votes)
>>Results from 2000 Election: Bush 46.4, Gore 50.6, Nader 2.1 (Gore +4.2) 
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/25-11/1
-
-
47.3
48.2
Off Ballot
Kerry +0.9
657 LV
3.9
48
49
-
Kerry +1
601 LV
4.1
46
50
-
Kerry +4
601 LV
4.1
50
46
-
Bush +4
909 LV
3.3
47
47
-
TIE
600 LV
4.0
47
49
-
Kerry +2
625 LV
4.0
46
48
-
Kerry +2
All Pennsylvania Polls | Nader: OFF the Ballot - Write In
Wisconsin  ( 10 Electoral Votes)
>>Results from 2000 Election: Bush 47.6, Gore 47.8, Nader 3.6 (Gore +0.2) 
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/23-11/1
-
-
47.7
46.8
1.7
Bush +0.9
601 LV
4.1
45
51
-
Kerry +6
700 LV
3.0
48
45
1
Bush +3
1119 LV
4.0
52
44
-
Bush +8
625 LV
4.0
46
48
-
Kerry +2
601 LV
4.1
47
48
1
Kerry +1
545 LV
4.1
48
45
3
Bush +3
All Wisconsin Polls | Nader: ON the Ballot
Iowa  ( 7 Electoral Votes)
>>Results from 2000 Election: Bush 48.2, Gore 48.5, Nader 2.2 (Gore +0.3) 
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/25-11/1
-
-
47.4
47.1
1.0
Bush +0.3
519 LV
4.4
47
50
-
Kerry +3
601 LV
4.1
45
50
-
Kerry +5
700 LV
3.0
48
44
1
Bush +4
LV
4.0
48
46
-
Bush +2
625 LV
4.0
49
44
-
Bush +5
806 LV
3.5
45
48
1
Kerry +3
600 LV
4.0
49
48
1
Bush +1
600 LV
4.0
48
47
1
Bush +1
All Iowa Polls | Nader: ON the Ballot
Minnesota  ( 10 Electoral Votes)
>>Results from 2000 Election: Bush 45.5, Gore 47.9, Nader 5.2 (Gore +2.4) 
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/24-11/1
-
-
45.3
48.5
5.0
Kerry +3.2
601 LV
4.1
45
51
-
Kerry +6
1098 LV
3.0
44
52
-
Kerry +8
600 LV
4.0
47
48
-
Kerry +1
625 LV
4.0
48
47
-
Bush +1
996 LV
3.5
41
49
-
Kerry +8
690 LV
4.1
47
44
5
Bush +3
All Minnesota Polls | Nader: ON the Ballot
Michigan  ( 17 Electoral Votes)
>>Results from 2000 Election: Bush 46.1, Gore 51.3, Nader 2.0  (Gore +5.2)  
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/25 - 11/1
-
-
45.2
48.7
1.5
Kerry +3.5
601 LV
4.1
46
52
-
Kerry +6
671 LV
3.9
47
50
-
Kerry +3
625 LV
4.0
45
47
-
Kerry +2
600 LV
5.0
46
50
-
Kerry +4
600 LV
4.0
41
43
2
Kerry +2
Research 2000 | 10/25-27
600 LV
4.0
46
50
1
Kerry +4
All Michigan Polls | Nader: ON the Ballot - In Court
Missouri  ( 11 Electoral Votes)
>>Results from 2000 Election: Bush 50.4, Gore 47.1, Nader 1.6  (Bush +3.3)
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/22-10/31
-
-
49.5
45.3
Off Ballot
Bush +4.2
694 LV
3.8
52
47
-
Bush +5
625 LV
4.0
49
44
-
Bush +5
553 LV
4.1
49
45
-
Bush +4
800 LV
3.5
48
45
-
Bush +3
All Missouri Polls | Nader: OFF the Ballot - Write In
New Mexico  ( 5 Electoral Votes)
>>Results from 2000 Election: Bush 47.9, Gore 47.9, Nader 3.6 (Gore +0.06) 
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/26-11/1
-
-
47.8
46.4
1.3
Bush +1.4
601 LV
4.1
48
51
-
Kerry +3
600 LV
4.0
47
48
1
Kerry +1
625 LV
4.0
49
45
-
Bush +4
-
3.0
47
44
1
Bush +3
500 LV
4.5
48
44
2
Bush +4
All New Mexico Polls | Nader: ON the Ballot
Nevada  ( 5 Electoral Votes)
>>Results from 2000 Election: Bush 49.5, Gore 46.0, Nader 2.5 (Bush +3.5) 
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/27-11/1
-
-
51.0
44.7
-
Bush +6.3
636 LV
4.0
53
45
-
Bush +8
601 LV
4.1
50
45
-
Bush +5
625 LV
4.0
50
44
-
Bush +6
All Nevada Polls | Nader: ON the Ballot
Colorado  ( 9 Electoral Votes)
>>Results from 2000 Election: Bush 50.8, Gore 42.4, Nader 5.3 (Bush +8.4) 
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/25-11/1
-
-
50.0
44.8
1.0
Bush +5.2
705 LV
3.8
50
47
-
Bush +3
600 LV
4.1
49
47
-
Bush +2
625 LV
4.0
50
43
1
Bush +7
500 LV
4.3
51
42
-
Bush +9
All Colorado Polls | Nader: ON the Ballot
New Hampshire  ( 4 Electoral Votes)
>>Results from 2000 Election: Bush 48.1, Gore 46.8, Nader 3.9   (Bush +1.3)
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/26-11/1
-
-
47.5
48.5
1.3
Kerry +1.0
600 LV
4.0
49
48
1
Bush +1
716 LV
3.7
49
50
1
Kerry +1
625 LV
4.0
46
47
-
Kerry +1
600 LV
4.0
46
49
2
Kerry +3
All New Hampshire Polls | Nader: ON the Ballot
Maine  ( 4 Electoral Votes)
>>Results from 2000 Election: Bush 44.0, Gore 49.1, Nader 5.7 (Gore +5.1) 
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/21 - 10/30
-
-
41.5
51.0
1.0
Kerry +9.5
1008 LV
3.2
44
52
-
Kerry +8
402 LV
5.0
39
50
1
Kerry +11
All Maine Polls | Nader: ON the Ballot
West Virginia  ( 5 Electoral Votes)
>>Results from 2000 Election: Bush 51.9, Gore 45.6, Nader 1.7 (Bush +6.3)
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/25-10/29
-
-
51.5
43.0
-
Bush +8.5
625 LV
4.0
51
43
-
Bush +8
398 LV
4.9
52
43
-
Bush +9
All West Virginia Polls | Nader: ON the Ballot
Oregon  ( 7 Electoral Votes)
>>Results from 2000 Election: Bush 46.5, Gore 47.0, Nader 5.0 (Gore +0.5) 
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/25-10/29
-
-
45.0
49.8
-
Kerry +4.8
625 LV
4.0
44
50
-
Kerry +6
687 LV
3.8
47
50
-
Kerry +3
608 LV
3.8
43
49
-
Kerry +6
600 LV
4.0
46
50
-
Kerry +4
All Oregon Polls | Nader: Write In - In Court
New Jersey  ( 15 Electoral Votes)
>>Results from 2000 Election: Bush 40.3, Gore 56.2, Nader 3  (Gore +15.9)
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/27-10/31
-
-
42.0
49.0
2.0
Kerry +7.0
984 LV
3.1
43
48
2
Kerry +5
740 LV
3.6
41
45
-
Kerry +4
794 LV
3.5
42
54
-
Kerry +12
All New Jersey Polls | Nader: ON the Ballot
Arkansas  ( 6 Electoral Votes)
>>Results from 2000 Election: Bush 50.9, Gore 45.4, Nader 1.4 (Bush +5.5) 
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/27-11/1
-
-
51.0
44.5
-
Bush +6.5
550 LV
4.3
51
46
-
Bush +5
625 LV
4.0
51
43
-
Bush +8
All Arkansas Polls | Nader: ON the Ballot
Hawaii   ( 4 Electoral Votes)  
>> Results from 2000 Election: Bush 37.5, Gore 55.8, Nader 5.9 (Gore +18.3)  
Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/13 - 10/20
-
-
44.7
43.8
-
Bush +0.9
612 LV
4.0
46
45
-
Bush +1
600 LV
4.0
43.3
42.6
-
Bush +0.7
All Hawaii Polls | Nader: OFF the Ballot - In Court

Email This Page to a Friend Key: RV = Registered Voters, LV = Likely Voters, A = Adults
* Strategic Vision is a Republican polling firm.
**Zogby Interactive/WSJ polls use an Internet-based interactive survey methodology.
*** Libertarian candidate Michael Badnarik registered 3% support in the poll.

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