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RealClearPolitics
Poll AverageSM
3-Way
Race: Bush/Cheney vs Kerry/Edwards vs Nader/Camejo
Email This Page to a Friend | Graph:
RCP Historical Poll Average
| Poll |
Date
|
Bush/
Cheney
|
Kerry/
Edwards
|
Nader/
Camejo
|
Spread
|
|
RCP
Average
|
FINAL
|
50.0%
|
48.5%
|
1.0%
|
Bush
+1.5
|
|
RCP
Average
|
10/27
- 11/1
|
48.9%
|
47.4%
|
0.9%
|
Bush
+1.5
|
|
|
11/1
|
49%
|
50%
|
0%
|
Kerry
+1
|
|
|
10/31
- 11/1
|
50%
|
46%
|
0%
|
Bush
+4
|
|
|
10/30
- 11/1
|
50.1%
|
48.0%
|
1.1%
|
Bush
+2.1
|
|
|
10/29
- 11/1
|
49%
|
47%
|
1%
|
Bush
+2
|
|
|
10/29
- 11/1
|
49%
|
48%
|
2%
|
Bush
+1
|
|
|
10/30
- 10/31
|
46%
|
48%
|
1%
|
Kerry
+2
|
|
|
10/29
- 10/31
|
48%
|
47%
|
1%
|
Bush
+1
|
|
|
10/29
- 10/31
|
49%
|
49%
|
1%
|
TIE
|
|
|
10/29
- 10/31
|
48%
|
47%
|
1%
|
Bush
+1
|
|
|
10/28
- 10/31
|
49%
|
48%
|
0%
|
Bush
+1
|
|
|
10/28
- 10/30
|
48%
|
48%
|
1%
|
TIE
|
|
|
10/28
- 10/30
|
49%
|
46%
|
1%
|
Bush
+3
|
|
|
10/27
- 10/30
|
51%
|
48%
|
1%
|
Bush
+3
|
|
|
10/27
- 10/29
|
50%
|
44%
|
1%
|
Bush
+6
|
|
|
10/25
- 10/28
|
51%
|
46%
|
0%
|
Bush
+5
|
|
|
10/22
- 10/26
|
48%
|
45%
|
2%
|
Bush
+3
|
|
|
10/22
- 10/24
|
51%
|
46%
|
1%
|
Bush
+5
|
|
|
10/21
- 10/24
|
48%
|
48%
|
1%
|
TIE
|
|
|
10/21
- 10/22
|
48%
|
46%
|
1%
|
Bush
+2
|
|
|
10/19
- 10/21
|
51%
|
46%
|
2%
|
Bush
+5
|
|
|
10/18
- 10/21
|
49%
|
45%
|
1%
|
Bush
+4
|
|
|
10/18
- 10/20
|
46%
|
49%
|
2%
|
Kerry
+3
|
|
|
10/17
- 10/19
|
49%
|
48%
|
1%
|
Bush
+1
|
|
|
10/17
- 10/18
|
49%
|
42%
|
2%
|
Bush
+7
|
|
|
10/15
- 10/19
|
47%
|
47%
|
1%
|
TIE
|
|
|
10/16
- 10/18
|
51%
|
46%
|
1%
|
Bush
+5
|
|
|
10/16
- 10/18
|
48%
|
48%
|
1%
|
TIE
|
|
|
10/14
- 10/17
|
49.5%
|
44.5%
|
1%
|
Bush
+5
|
|
|
10/14
- 10/17
|
47%
|
45%
|
2%
|
Bush
+2
|
|
|
10/14
- 10/16
|
52%
|
44%
|
1%
|
Bush
+8
|
|
|
10/14
- 10/15
|
48%
|
47%
|
3%
|
Bush
+1
|
|
|
10/14
- 10/15
|
50%
|
44%
|
1%
|
Bush
+6
|
|
|
10/11
- 10/14
|
49%
|
46%
|
0%
|
Bush
+3
|
|
|
10/11
- 10/13
|
48%
|
48%
|
1%
|
TIE
|
|
|
10/9
- 10/11
|
45%
|
45%
|
2%
|
TIE
|
|
|
10/9
- 10/11
|
48%
|
45%
|
2%
|
Bush
+3
|
|
|
10/9
- 10/11
|
48%
|
43%
|
2%
|
Bush
+5
|
|
|
10/9
- 10/10
|
48%
|
49%
|
1%
|
Kerry
+1
|
|
|
10/6
- 10/7
|
46%
|
45%
|
4%
|
Bush
+1
|
|
|
10/3
- 10/7
|
49%
|
46%
|
0%
|
Bush
+3
|
|
|
10/4
- 10/6
|
46%
|
50%
|
2%
|
Kerry
+4
|
|
|
10/4
- 10/5
|
49%
|
46%
|
1%
|
Bush
+3
|
|
|
10/3
- 10/4
|
47%
|
45%
|
1%
|
Bush
+2
|
|
|
10/1
- 10/5
|
51%
|
45%
|
2%
|
Bush
+6
|
|
|
10/2
- 10/4
|
46%
|
46%
|
2%
|
TIE
|
|
|
10/1
- 10/3
|
51%
|
46%
|
1%
|
Bush
+5
|
|
|
10/1
- 10/3
|
47%
|
47%
|
1%
|
TIE
|
|
|
10/1
- 10/3
|
46%
|
43%
|
2%
|
Bush
+3
|
|
|
10/1
- 10/3
|
49%
|
44%
|
2%
|
Bush
+5
|
|
|
10/1
- 10/3
|
49%
|
49%
|
1%
|
TIE
|
|
|
9/30
- 10/2
|
45%
|
47%
|
2%
|
Kerry
+2
|
|
|
9/27
- 10/2
|
48%
|
43%
|
2%
|
Bush
+5
|
|
|
9/27
- 9/30
|
51%
|
44%
|
1%
|
Bush
+7
|
|
|
9/25
- 9/28
|
51%
|
45%
|
2%
|
Bush
+6
|
|
|
9/24
- 9/26
|
52%
|
44%
|
3%
|
Bush
+8
|
|
|
9/22
- 9/27
|
45%
|
45%
|
2%
|
TIE
|
|
|
9/23
- 9/26
|
51%
|
45%
|
1%
|
Bush
+6
|
|
|
9/22
- 9/26
|
48%
|
40%
|
2%
|
Bush
+8
|
|
|
9/21
- 9/23
|
48%
|
42%
|
5%
|
Bush
+6
|
|
|
9/21
- 9/22
|
46%
|
42%
|
1%
|
Bush
+4
|
|
|
9/20
- 9/23
|
50%
|
45%
|
0%
|
Bush
+5
|
|
|
9/20
- 9/22
|
50%
|
44%
|
2%
|
Bush
+6
|
|
|
9/20
- 9/22
|
51%
|
42%
|
2%
|
Bush
+9
|
|
|
9/20
- 9/22
|
52%
|
45%
|
1%
|
Bush
+7
|
|
|
9/17
- 9/21
|
45%
|
42%
|
3%
|
Bush
+3
|
|
|
9/17
- 9/19
|
50%
|
46%
|
1%
|
Bush
+4
|
|
|
9/17
- 9/19
|
46%
|
43%
|
1%
|
Bush
+3
|
|
|
9/14
- 9/18
|
45%
|
42%
|
2%
|
Bush
+3
|
|
|
9/7
- 9/21
|
47%
|
46%
|
1%
|
Bush
+1
|
|
|
9/12
- 9/16
|
50%
|
41%
|
3%
|
Bush
+9
|
|
|
9/13
- 9/15
|
54%
|
40%
|
3%
|
Bush
+14
|
|
|
9/12
- 9/15
|
49%
|
45%
|
1%
|
Bush
+4
|
|
|
9/11
- 9/14
|
47%
|
46%
|
1%
|
Bush
+1
|
|
|
9/9
- 9/13
|
47%
|
48%
|
2%
|
Kerry
+1
|
|
|
9/9
- 9/10
|
49%
|
43%
|
2%
|
Bush
+6
|
|
|
9/7
- 9/12
|
46%
|
46%
|
3%
|
TIE
|
|
|
9/8
- 9/9
|
46%
|
42%
|
2%
|
Bush
+4
|
|
|
9/7
- 9/9
|
52%
|
41%
|
3%
|
Bush
+11
|
|
|
9/7
- 9/9
|
51%
|
46%
|
1%
|
Bush
+5
|
|
|
9/7
- 9/8
|
47%
|
43%
|
3%
|
Bush
+4
|
|
|
9/6
- 9/8
|
52%
|
43%
|
2%
|
Bush
+9
|
|
|
9/8
- 9/10
|
54%
|
38%
|
2%
|
Bush
+16
|
|
|
9/6
- 9/8
|
49%
|
42%
|
1%
|
Bush
+7
|
|
|
9/3
- 9/5
|
52%
|
45%
|
1%
|
Bush
+7
|
|
|
9/2
- 9/3
|
52%
|
41%
|
3%
|
Bush
+11
|
|
|
*Gallup's
Final Allocated Estimate
**ABC News and Washington Post use different likely voter models
for the same field data, RealClearPolitics will use the Washington
Post model when the two are different.
***Democracy Corps is a Democratic Polling Firm
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